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Expected Wins Calculator
Score:
Year:
Expected wins:
0.110
Expected Wins
0.000
0.000
0.200
0.200
0.400
0.400
0.600
0.600
0.800
0.800
1.000
1.000
40
40
80
80
120
120
160
160
Expected Wins
Score
25: 0.000
10.307692307692308
298.15384615384613
30: 0.000
25.925407925407924
298.0608729692699
35: 0.001
41.54312354312354
297.8749266001174
40: 0.001
57.16083916083916
297.7819534155412
45: 0.004
72.77855477855478
296.8522215697788
50: 0.010
88.3962703962704
295.27167743198277
55: 0.018
104.013986013986
292.8543746330006
60: 0.033
119.63170163170162
288.57760814249366
65: 0.058
135.24941724941723
281.23272656097083
70: 0.098
150.86713286713285
269.6110784889411
71.44: 0.109
155.3650349650349
266.1710706596203
75: 0.147
166.48484848484847
255.29320806420043
80: 0.204
182.1025641025641
238.65100802505384
85: 0.277
197.72027972027968
217.0812292033666
90: 0.353
213.3379953379953
195.04658445879818
95: 0.439
228.9557109557109
169.8508514386377
100: 0.517
244.5734265734265
147.16539440203562
105: 0.606
260.19114219114215
120.94695635153653
110: 0.696
275.80885780885774
94.82149148561365
115: 0.769
291.4265734265734
73.25171266392641
120: 0.833
307.044289044289
54.56410256410254
125: 0.874
322.6620046620046
42.71002153063222
130: 0.910
338.2797202797202
32.2505382658054
135: 0.937
353.8974358974358
24.394304169113354
140: 0.958
369.51515151515144
18.025641025640994
145: 0.971
385.1328671328671
14.213740458015252
150: 0.982
400.75058275058274
11.238598551575706
155: 0.987
416.3682983682983
9.658054413779666
160: 0.991
431.986013986014
8.44940301428852
165: 0.993
447.60372960372956
7.798590722254858
170: 0.997
463.22144522144515
6.682912507340006
175: 0.999
478.8391608391608
6.125073399882581
180: 0.999
494.4568764568764
6.032100215306343
185: 1.000
510.07459207459203
5.939127030730106
190: 1.000
525.6923076923076
5.846153846153868