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Expected Wins Calculator
Score:
Year:
Expected wins:
0.130
Expected Wins
0.000
0.000
0.200
0.200
0.400
0.400
0.600
0.600
0.800
0.800
1.000
1.000
40
40
80
80
120
120
160
160
Expected Wins
Score
25: 0.000
10.307692307692308
298.07145535155104
30: 0.001
25.925407925407924
297.8055204662948
35: 0.001
41.54312354312354
297.80448165814926
40: 0.001
57.16083916083916
297.796171192985
45: 0.004
72.77855477855478
296.98882248737925
50: 0.008
88.3962703962704
295.9239142871906
55: 0.017
104.013986013986
293.30903940835884
60: 0.029
119.63170163170162
289.8182544863162
65: 0.051
135.24941724941723
283.3494663130693
70: 0.081
150.86713286713285
274.3484534340695
75: 0.122
166.48484848484847
262.5407757223691
75.7: 0.131
168.67132867132864
259.86311787624174
80: 0.189
182.1025641025641
243.05266998667668
85: 0.264
197.72027972027968
220.8689869643465
90: 0.339
213.3379953379953
198.9687687147284
95: 0.425
228.9557109557109
173.87051466358048
100: 0.497
244.5734265734265
152.96489028780033
105: 0.590
260.19114219114215
125.81713269102656
110: 0.682
275.80885780885774
98.9813421654579
115: 0.755
291.4265734265734
77.42750150686567
120: 0.819
307.044289044289
58.7825184322908
125: 0.863
322.6620046620046
45.96485950109678
130: 0.900
338.2797202797202
35.19858695529234
135: 0.925
353.8974358974358
27.975948695934562
140: 0.954
369.51515151515144
19.292746183958513
145: 0.963
385.1328671328671
16.78519317166206
150: 0.979
400.75058275058274
12.12704759607766
155: 0.985
416.3682983682983
10.28679896626744
160: 0.990
431.986013986014
8.841427282777659
165: 0.991
447.60372960372956
8.622238764070289
170: 0.995
463.22144522144515
7.379564519977464
175: 0.999
478.8391608391608
6.311539895352269
180: 1.000
494.4568764568764
6.04560501009604
185: 1.000
510.07459207459203
5.912637567467925
190: 1.000
525.6923076923076
5.846153846153811