2019 Ed

5-8 (0.385), 1,265.45 points

11th place

5.85 expected wins (0.450)

77-92 all-play record (0.456)

+5.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 134.73 82.17 Scott 52.56
2 L 73.47 147.14 Pulley -73.67
3 W 102.86 79.62 Dave 23.24
4 L 66.53 106.19 Rob -39.66 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 94.00 117.60 Pat -23.60
6 W 111.07 91.43 Richie 19.64
7 L 87.98 97.47 Kevin -9.49
8 L 127.73 129.62 Derrek -1.89
9 L 79.81 106.67 Mike R. -26.86
10 W 129.73 120.04 Rabbit 9.69 Team Blangums
11 L 50.42 70.63 Schertz -20.21 Slapped Heartbeat
12 W 126.04 96.18 Matt 29.86
13 L 81.08 106.03 Babel -24.95

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.23076923076923424.3%212.780219780219884.7805542062501450.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.228550409652300.0%65.52747252747253141.1571378392591210.4%102.34065934065934140.247454679850322.9%139.15384615384613134.43731282317844311.2%175.96703296703296115.1456442194111440.0%212.780219780219828.330339181731063529.8%249.593406593406672.0620.8%286.406593406593492.7823087653893578.3%323.2197802197802121.8489330178648181.9%360.032967032967136.867169304575690.2%396.8461538461538140.70461410550493100.0%433.6593406593406141.2008265959014110.0%470.4725274725274141.23019633119267120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307692307692313Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557616th60.68846153846153118.2721893491124126th109.6307692307692118.27218934911241311th158.5730769230769230.698224852071411th207.5153846153846230.69822485207159th256.4576923076923185.7278106508876610th305.4208.213017751479378th354.3423076923077163.24260355029585810th403.28461538461534208.213017751479395th452.22692307692395.78698224852071012th501.16923076923075253.18343195266272118th550.1115384615384163.24260355029585129th599.053846153846185.7278106508876132nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557615th60.6884615384615395.786982248520725th109.630769230769295.7869822485207310th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793411th207.5153846153846230.69822485207158th256.4576923076923163.24260355029585610th305.4208.2130177514793710th354.3423076923077208.2130177514793811th403.28461538461534230.698224852071910th452.226923076923208.21301775147931011th501.16923076923075230.698224852071119th550.1115384615384185.72781065088761211th599.053846153846230.698224852071132nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557615th60.6884615384615395.786982248520726th109.6307692307692118.27218934911241311th158.5730769230769230.698224852071411th207.5153846153846230.69822485207159th256.4576923076923185.7278106508876610th305.4208.213017751479378th354.3423076923077163.2426035502958589th403.28461538461534185.727810650887696th452.226923076923118.272189349112411011th501.16923076923075230.698224852071119th550.1115384615384185.72781065088761210th599.053846153846208.213017751479313Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
5
8
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Julio Jones WR
2.12 26 T.Y. Hilton K WR
3.03 31 Deshaun Watson QB
4.12 54 Royce Freeman RB
5.03 59 Tarik Cohen RB
6.12 82 DeSean Jackson WR
7.03 87 Adrian Peterson RB
8.12 110 Kalen Ballage RB
9.03 115 O.J. Howard K TE
10.12 138 Dion Lewis RB
11.03 143 Tre'Quan Smith WR
12.12 166 Zay Jones WR
13.03 171 Chris Herndon TE
14.12 194 A.J. Brown WR
15.03 199 Denver DEF
16.12 222 Mason Crosby K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.90424.6437869822485277.0488967343336210.00057.069822485207105138.2664946703781720.53489.49585798816568102.0709620476610830.000121.92189349112428138.2664946703781740.000154.34792899408282138.2664946703781750.679186.773964497041492.2623124448367160.000219.2138.2664946703781770.000251.62603550295853138.2664946703781780.000284.0520710059171138.2664946703781790.877316.478106508875778.87272727272727100.000348.9041420118343138.26649467037817110.849381.3301775147928780.76328331862311120.000413.75621301775146138.26649467037817130.00024.6437869822485215.83129879828908310.09457.069822485207105131.8750220653133220.00089.4958579881656865.8754294249439930.035121.92189349112428135.8785525154457340.389154.34792899408282111.9018534863195150.000186.773964497041446.2581302192952760.293219.2118.396469549867670.861251.6260355029585379.9180935569285180.169284.0520710059171126.8483671668137790.000316.478106508875719.4789598750763710-0.022348.9041420118343139.7486319505737110.000381.3301775147928723.260071966868068120.183413.75621301775146125.8363636363636413Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112131225.65562130177514577.325443786982251059.413017751479295141.230769230769232893.1704142011834298.6272189349112430126.92781065088758141.2307692307692340160.6852071005917141.2307692307692359194.4426035502958493.3017751479289960228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.23076923076923913329.4721893491123472.0100363.2295857988165141.230769230769231112396.986982248520777.32544378698225120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.65562130177514513.420118343195271259.413017751479295130.579881656804732093.1704142011834256.0236686390532430126.92781065088758141.2307692307692344160.6852071005917119.9289940828402350194.4426035502958445.37278106508874564228.2119.92899408284023710261.957396449704187.9763313609467482295.7147928994083130.5798816568047390329.472189349112342.7692307692307736100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923110396.986982248520713.42011834319527121430.74437869822486135.9053254437869813All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2019 Ed 5-8 11th 97.34 0.450 26.02
1 990 2019 Dave 6-7 10th 96.85 0.452 24.14
2 987 2011 Dave 3-10 12th 96.89 0.448 22.01
3 985 2011 Derrek 8-5 3rd 97.76 0.448 21.11 6th place
4 974 2019 Kevin 6-7 8th 101.02 0.448 29.55
5 972 2021 Kevin 5-9 9th 96.60 0.440 23.11
6 969 2019 Pat 6-7 9th 97.81 0.446 14.73
7 968 2016 Allen 4-9 13th 96.47 0.458 20.34
8 968 2016 Matt 5-8 10th 96.11 0.460 29.06
9 968 2012 Schertz 5-8 9th 91.61 0.446 25.21
10 967 2012 Allen 6-7 8th 94.79 0.442 21.78