2021 Ed (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,225.76 points (102.15 average)

8th place

6.58 expected wins (0.548)

88-68 all-play record (0.564)

+8.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 109.60 127.82 Dave -18.22
2 W 92.03 75.92 Rob 16.11
3 L 80.16 100.35 Matt -20.19
4 L 106.49 130.98 Derrek -24.49
5 L 99.24 137.65 Kevin -38.41
6 W 125.74 91.28 Pat 34.46
7 L 113.70 123.50 Richie -9.80
8 W 113.83 104.34 Schertz 9.49 Team Blangums
9 L 87.10 96.45 Dave -9.35
10 L 75.84 82.07 Rabbit -6.23
11 W 117.58 68.21 Mike R. 49.37
12 W 104.45 101.28 Pulley 3.17
13 Scott
14 Babel

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.23076923076923415.1%228.3550295857988399.634958447394950.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2274745361137300.0%69.77514792899409141.1500749309166710.3%109.42011834319527140.3946791911175521.8%149.06508875739644136.3760561718029336.4%188.71005917159763123.6615120153164540.0%228.3550295857988358.03914766402056523.9%268.075.53735927174982625.2%307.6449704142011772.0717.4%347.2899408284024593.333003270616887.6%386.93491124260356120.217428134488992.0%426.5798816568048135.73486440834554100.3%466.2248520710059140.46775862942698110.0%505.8698224852071141.188385877098212Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520717th65.13776223776223140.75739644970415210th118.52937062937062208.213017751479339th171.92097902097902185.7278106508876410th225.3125874125874208.213017751479358th278.7041958041958163.2426035502958569th332.09580419580413185.727810650887678th385.4874125874125163.2426035502958588th438.87902097902094163.2426035502958598th492.27062937062936163.24260355029585107th545.6622377622377140.75739644970415115th599.05384615384695.7869822485207128th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958516th65.13776223776223118.2721893491124129th118.52937062937062185.7278106508876311th171.92097902097902230.698224852071411th225.3125874125874230.69822485207159th278.7041958041958185.727810650887669th332.09580419580413185.727810650887679th385.4874125874125185.727810650887689th438.87902097902094185.727810650887699th492.27062937062936185.7278106508876109th545.6622377622377185.7278106508876118th599.053846153846163.24260355029585125th11.74615384615384595.786982248520717th65.13776223776223140.75739644970415210th118.52937062937062208.213017751479339th171.92097902097902185.7278106508876410th225.3125874125874208.213017751479359th278.7041958041958185.7278106508876610th332.09580419580413208.213017751479378th385.4874125874125163.2426035502958589th438.87902097902094185.727810650887699th492.27062937062936185.7278106508876108th545.6622377622377163.24260355029585117th599.053846153846140.7573964497041512Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2
5
7
7
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Aaron Jones RB
2.12 26 Robert Woods WR
3.03 31 Josh Jacobs RB
4.12 54 DeVonta Smith WR
5.03 59 Brandin Cooks WR
6.12 82 Jalen Hurts QB
7.03 87 Tyler Higbee TE
8.12 110 Jamaal Williams RB
9.03 115 Mike Davis K RB
10.12 138 A.J. Brown K WR
11.03 143 Justin Tucker K
12.12 166 David Johnson RB
13.03 171 A.J. Green WR
14.12 194 Gerald Everett TE
15.03 199 Sam Darnold QB
16.12 222 Carolina DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.38261.12307692307692114.7616783798125820.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.874201.6358974358974580.7086542164068460.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.752271.8923076923076789.1347859939689380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.794377.276923076923186.23895498351634110.587412.4051282051282100.62431407734914120.68225.99487179487179594.0131448624125310.00061.1230769230769288.2925875288559320.19796.25128205128203127.5673184971516930.623131.3794871794871798.1161412401200240.494166.5076923076923107.0388163318907450.000201.6358974358974520.18653920204444360.749236.7641025641025689.3636924310562570.000271.8923076923076737.0388027571686480.303307.0205128205128120.2316377981320390.140342.14871794871794131.555231017697100.000377.276923076923131.247140736263447110.000412.405128205128260.0178589239290412Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231563.6326923076923114.6035502958579920100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.77371794871794141.2307692307692340173.3442307692307141.23076923076923510209.9147435897435887.9763313609467460246.4852564102564141.23076923076923713283.055769230769272.080319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.230769230769231010392.767307692307787.976331360946741110429.337820512820587.9763313609467412927.06217948717948593.301775147928991063.632692307692387.9763313609467423100.20320512820511125.2544378698224837136.77371794871794103.9526627218934942173.3442307692307130.5798816568047350209.9147435897435834.72189349112425611246.485256410256482.650887573964570283.05576923076922.769230769230773685319.62628205128203114.6035502958579993356.19679487179485125.25443786982248100392.767307692307734.72189349112425110429.337820512820534.7218934911242512All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Ed 5-7 8th 102.15 0.548 14.88 6-8 8th
1 987 2011 Babel 7-5 5th 103.19 0.547 17.78 7-6 7th
2 984 2023 Mike R. 6-6 7th 104.47 0.550 16.67 7-7 8th
3 982 2022 Ed 5-7 12th 103.02 0.551 19.34 7-7 7th
4 971 2010 Pulley 8-4 3rd 99.61 0.544 19.99 8-5 4th 5th place
5 969 2012 Ed 8-4 4th 102.14 0.554 24.68 8-5 4th 4th place
6 964 2009 Matt 8-4 2nd 104.08 0.560 17.28 9-4 2nd Blingabowl II champion
7 957 2024 Rabbit 4-8 10th 105.21 0.560 18.03 6-8 8th
8 957 2020 Matt 7-5 3rd 103.14 0.535 21.55 8-5 2nd 2nd place
9 956 2013 Mike R. 7-5 4th 99.71 0.560 20.29 7-6 6th 5th place
10 955 2009 Kevin 5-7 8th 102.94 0.567 12.92 6-7 6th 5th place