2021 Ed (through 13 weeks)

6-7 (0.462), 1,332.09 points (102.47 average)

8th place

7.20 expected wins (0.554)

97-72 all-play record (0.574)

+1.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 109.60 127.82 Dave -18.22
2 W 92.03 75.92 Rob 16.11
3 L 80.16 100.35 Matt -20.19
4 L 106.49 130.98 Derrek -24.49
5 L 99.24 137.65 Kevin -38.41
6 W 125.74 91.28 Pat 34.46
7 L 113.70 123.50 Richie -9.80
8 W 113.83 104.34 Schertz 9.49 Team Blangums
9 L 87.10 96.45 Dave -9.35
10 L 75.84 82.07 Rabbit -6.23
11 W 117.58 68.21 Mike R. 49.37
12 W 104.45 101.28 Pulley 3.17
13 W 106.33 69.20 Scott 37.13
14 Babel

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.23076923076923518.4%249.593406593406688.8199258009937960.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2294791953687500.0%65.52747252747253141.197040955455210.1%102.34065934065934140.8513153906263520.9%139.15384615384613138.7914075073421133.5%175.96703296703296131.229869748339549.7%212.7802197802198113.6607565078836950.0%249.593406593406636.40908237121833624.4%286.406593406593472.0722.2%323.219780219780278.10034384032541813.7%360.032967032967102.3035128318393395.5%396.8461538461538125.6079271362621101.3%433.6593406593406137.40708256100123110.2%470.4725274725274140.72442094040343120.0%507.2857142857143141.2035359472134213Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520717th60.68846153846153140.75739644970415210th109.6307692307692208.213017751479339th158.5730769230769185.7278106508876410th207.5153846153846208.213017751479358th256.4576923076923163.2426035502958569th305.4185.727810650887678th354.3423076923077163.2426035502958588th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958598th452.226923076923163.24260355029585107th501.16923076923075140.75739644970415115th550.111538461538495.7869822485207125th599.05384615384695.7869822485207138th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958516th60.68846153846153118.2721893491124129th109.6307692307692185.7278106508876311th158.5730769230769230.698224852071411th207.5153846153846230.69822485207159th256.4576923076923185.727810650887669th305.4185.727810650887679th354.3423076923077185.727810650887689th403.28461538461534185.727810650887699th452.226923076923185.7278106508876109th501.16923076923075185.7278106508876118th550.1115384615384163.24260355029585128th599.053846153846163.24260355029585135th11.74615384615384595.786982248520717th60.68846153846153140.75739644970415210th109.6307692307692208.213017751479339th158.5730769230769185.7278106508876410th207.5153846153846208.213017751479359th256.4576923076923185.7278106508876610th305.4208.213017751479378th354.3423076923077163.2426035502958589th403.28461538461534185.727810650887699th452.226923076923185.7278106508876108th501.16923076923075163.24260355029585117th550.1115384615384140.75739644970415125th599.05384615384695.786982248520713Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2
5
7
7
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Aaron Jones RB
2.12 26 Robert Woods WR
3.03 31 Josh Jacobs RB
4.12 54 DeVonta Smith WR
5.03 59 Brandin Cooks WR
6.12 82 Jalen Hurts QB
7.03 87 Tyler Higbee TE
8.12 110 Jamaal Williams RB
9.03 115 Mike Davis K RB
10.12 138 A.J. Brown K WR
11.03 143 Justin Tucker K
12.12 166 David Johnson RB
13.03 171 A.J. Green WR
14.12 194 Gerald Everett TE
15.03 199 Sam Darnold QB
16.12 222 Carolina DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.38357.069822485207105114.7433599703211420.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.874186.773964497041480.6903358069153960.000219.2141.2307692307692370.753251.6260355029585389.1164675844774980.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.795348.904142011834386.2206365740249110.587381.33017751479287100.60599566785768120.617413.7562130177514698.50069323784473130.68224.6437869822485293.9948264529210710.00057.06982248520710588.2559507098730520.19889.49585798816568127.5490000876602630.623121.9218934911242898.0978228306285640.494154.34792899408282107.020497922399350.000186.773964497041420.1499023830615660.749219.289.3453740215648170.000251.6260355029585337.00216593818575580.304284.0520710059171120.2133193886405890.140316.4781065088757131.53691260820557100.000348.904142011834331.210503917280548110.000381.3301775147928759.981222104946156120.000413.7562130177514655.77061724492024613Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231559.413017751479295114.603550295857992093.17041420118342141.2307692307692330126.92781065088758141.2307692307692340160.6852071005917141.23076923076923510194.4426035502958487.9763313609467460228.2141.23076923076923713261.957396449704172.080295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.230769230769231010363.229585798816587.976331360946741110396.986982248520787.97633136094674129430.7443786982248693.3017751479289913925.65562130177514593.301775147928991059.41301775147929587.976331360946742393.17041420118342125.2544378698224837126.92781065088758103.9526627218934942160.6852071005917130.5798816568047350194.4426035502958434.72189349112425611228.282.650887573964570261.95739644970412.769230769230773685295.7147928994083114.6035502958579993329.47218934911234125.25443786982248100363.229585798816534.72189349112425110396.986982248520734.72189349112425120430.7443786982248645.37278106508874513All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Ed 6-7 8th 102.47 0.554 14.34 6-8 8th
1 989 2020 Ed 4-9 13th 103.98 0.553 16.72 4-9 13th
2 987 2020 Pulley 8-5 4th 104.06 0.553 17.06 8-5 4th 4th place
3 984 2020 Babel 8-5 3rd 104.19 0.553 17.75 8-5 3rd 3rd place
4 979 2012 Ed 8-5 4th 102.07 0.554 23.72 8-5 4th 4th place
5 979 2014 Rob 8-5 3rd 102.85 0.561 17.29 8-5 3rd 5th place
6 973 2020 Matt 8-5 2nd 104.39 0.557 21.15 8-5 2nd 2nd place
7 968 2023 Mike R. 7-6 7th 105.28 0.562 16.26 7-7 8th
8 966 2009 Kevin 6-7 6th 103.07 0.568 12.42 6-7 6th 5th place
9 964 2010 Babel 8-5 3rd 102.19 0.566 20.22 8-5 3rd 6th place
10 963 2011 Matt 7-6 6th 105.29 0.562 18.74 7-6 6th 2nd place