2021 Ed

6-8 (0.429), 1,437.94 points

8th place

7.74 expected wins (0.553)

103-79 all-play record (0.566)

+4.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 109.60 127.82 Dave -18.22
2 W 92.03 75.92 Rob 16.11
3 L 80.16 100.35 Matt -20.19
4 L 106.49 130.98 Derrek -24.49
5 L 99.24 137.65 Kevin -38.41
6 W 125.74 91.28 Pat 34.46
7 L 113.70 123.50 Richie -9.80
8 W 113.83 104.34 Schertz 9.49 Team Blangums
9 L 87.10 96.45 Dave -9.35
10 L 75.84 82.07 Rabbit -6.23
11 W 117.58 68.21 Mike R. 49.37
12 W 104.45 101.28 Pulley 3.17
13 W 106.33 69.20 Scott 37.13
14 L 105.85 117.25 Babel -11.40

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%4.0%4.0%8.0%8.0%12.0%12.0%16.0%16.0%20.0%20.0%012345678910111213140.0%27.48717948717949141.2307692307692300.0%61.84615384615385141.2307692307692310.0%96.2051282051282141.2307692307692320.0%130.56410256410257141.2307692307692330.0%164.92307692307696141.2307692307692340.0%199.28205128205127141.23076923076923513.7%233.6410256410257100.8385922305942360.0%268.0141.2307692307692370.0%302.3589743589743141.2307692307692380.0%336.71794871794873141.2307692307692390.0%371.0769230769231141.23076923076923100.0%405.4358974358974141.23076923076923110.0%439.7948717948718141.23076923076923120.0%474.15384615384613141.23076923076923130.0%508.5128205128205141.23076923076923140.0%27.48717948717949141.2301157060467200.0%61.84615384615385141.2133380862357510.1%96.2051282051282141.027023531712220.5%130.56410256410257139.8441230360908832.1%164.92307692307696135.0881869160999146.3%199.28205128205127122.5104011572672450.0%233.641025641025760.446415230419234621.1%268.078.76611428222445723.4%302.358974358974372.0818.4%336.7179487179487386.86481097368434910.0%371.0769230769231111.6998341887132103.6%405.4358974358974130.57741688160712110.8%439.7948717948718138.84408188008916120.1%474.15384615384613140.93667341129895130.0%508.5128205128205141.2158296096212714Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011121314Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520717th56.92366863905325140.75739644970415210th102.10118343195265208.213017751479339th147.27869822485206185.7278106508876410th192.45621301775148208.213017751479358th237.6337278106509163.2426035502958569th282.8112426035503185.727810650887678th327.98875739644967163.2426035502958588th373.16627218934906163.2426035502958598th418.3437869822485163.24260355029585107th463.5213017751479140.75739644970415115th508.698816568047395.7869822485207125th553.876331360946795.7869822485207134th599.05384615384673.30177514792899148th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958516th56.92366863905325118.2721893491124129th102.10118343195265185.7278106508876311th147.27869822485206230.698224852071411th192.45621301775148230.69822485207159th237.6337278106509185.727810650887669th282.8112426035503185.727810650887679th327.98875739644967185.727810650887689th373.16627218934906185.727810650887699th418.3437869822485185.7278106508876109th463.5213017751479185.7278106508876118th508.6988165680473163.24260355029585128th553.8763313609467163.24260355029585138th599.053846153846163.24260355029585145th11.74615384615384595.786982248520717th56.92366863905325140.75739644970415210th102.10118343195265208.213017751479339th147.27869822485206185.7278106508876410th192.45621301775148208.213017751479359th237.6337278106509185.7278106508876610th282.8112426035503208.213017751479378th327.98875739644967163.2426035502958589th373.16627218934906185.727810650887699th418.3437869822485185.7278106508876108th463.5213017751479163.24260355029585117th508.6988165680473140.75739644970415125th553.876331360946795.7869822485207136th599.053846153846118.2721893491124114Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2
5
7
7
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Aaron Jones RB
2.12 26 Robert Woods WR
3.03 31 Josh Jacobs RB
4.12 54 DeVonta Smith WR
5.03 59 Brandin Cooks WR
6.12 82 Jalen Hurts QB
7.03 87 Tyler Higbee TE
8.12 110 Jamaal Williams RB
9.03 115 Mike Davis K RB
10.12 138 A.J. Brown K WR
11.03 143 Justin Tucker K
12.12 166 David Johnson RB
13.03 171 A.J. Green WR
14.12 194 Gerald Everett TE
15.03 199 Sam Darnold QB
16.12 222 Carolina DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910111213140.00023.485714285714284141.2307692307692310.37253.5956043956044115.4522177475465120.00083.70549450549449141.2307692307692330.000113.81538461538459141.2307692307692340.000143.9252747252747141.2307692307692350.866174.0351648351648481.29140154470860.000204.1450549450549141.2307692307692370.743234.2549450549450489.8145592799471380.000264.36483516483514141.2307692307692390.000294.4747252747253141.23076923076923100.789324.5846153846153586.58712355086992110.584354.69450549450545100.79238644293517120.619384.8043956043955598.3604454358136130.000414.91428571428565141.23076923076923140.67723.48571428571428494.3602434054080310.00053.595604395604489.673666264323820.19183.70549450549449128.032398564759530.623113.8153846153845998.099068598599640.492143.9252747252747107.1677084288940650.000174.0351648351648421.35203385864676360.740204.145054945054989.9736582243382770.000234.2549450549450438.39834932912505480.296264.36483516483514120.7479397537084490.139294.4747252747253131.58939639293266100.000324.5846153846153531.94347787097061110.000354.6945054945054560.354003655101124120.000384.8043956043955555.490121640857964130.612414.9142857142856598.8491064793006414Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121314024.449999999999996141.230769230769231555.79615384615384114.603550295857992087.14230769230768141.2307692307692330118.48846153846152141.2307692307692340149.83461538461538141.23076923076923510181.1807692307692487.9763313609467460212.52692307692305141.23076923076923713243.8730769230769272.080275.21923076923076141.2307692307692390306.56538461538463141.230769230769231010337.9115384615384487.976331360946741110369.257692307692387.97633136094674129400.603846153846193.30177514792899130431.95141.2307692307692314924.44999999999999693.301775147928991055.7961538461538487.976331360946742387.14230769230768125.2544378698224837118.48846153846152103.9526627218934942149.83461538461538130.5798816568047350181.1807692307692434.72189349112425611212.5269230769230582.650887573964570243.873076923076922.769230769230773685275.21923076923076114.6035502958579993306.56538461538463125.25443786982248100337.9115384615384434.72189349112425110369.257692307692334.72189349112425120400.603846153846145.372781065088745136431.95109.2781065088757414All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2021 Ed 6-8 8th 102.71 0.553 13.85
1 988 2020 Pulley 8-5 4th 104.06 0.553 17.06 4th place
2 986 2020 Ed 4-9 13th 103.98 0.555 16.72
3 983 2020 Babel 8-5 3rd 104.19 0.555 17.75 3rd place
4 980 2009 Kevin 6-7 6th 103.07 0.561 12.42 5th place
5 978 2014 Rob 8-5 3rd 102.85 0.560 17.29 5th place
6 976 2012 Ed 8-5 4th 102.07 0.552 23.72 4th place
7 974 2022 Scott 6-8 10th 103.95 0.555 22.32
8 971 2023 Mike R. 7-7 8th 103.81 0.544 16.55
9 970 2022 Ed 7-7 7th 103.26 0.563 18.34
10 970 2020 Matt 8-5 2nd 104.39 0.558 21.15 2nd place