2022 Ed

7-7 (0.500), 1,445.67 points

7th place

7.88 expected wins (0.563)

103-79 all-play record (0.566)

+4.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 122.28 99.75 Schertz 22.53
2 W 93.01 84.98 Derrek 8.03
3 L 134.50 136.04 Matt -1.54
4 W 131.21 100.19 Rob 31.02
5 L 95.44 118.97 Scott -23.53
6 L 84.80 87.38 Pat -2.58
7 W 86.56 66.45 Rabbit 20.11
8 L 123.19 123.48 Mike R. -0.29
9 W 96.38 91.43 Richie 4.95
10 L 86.66 92.97 Dave -6.31
11 L 74.24 90.88 Pulley -16.64
12 L 107.95 131.31 Schertz -23.36
13 W 115.12 110.58 Kevin 4.54
14 W 94.33 70.71 Babel 23.62

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910111213140.0%27.48717948717949141.2307692307692300.0%61.84615384615385141.2307692307692310.0%96.2051282051282141.2307692307692320.0%130.56410256410257141.2307692307692330.0%164.92307692307696141.2307692307692340.0%199.28205128205127141.2307692307692350.0%233.6410256410257141.23076923076923621.6%268.081.166983745401170.0%302.3589743589743141.2307692307692380.0%336.71794871794873141.2307692307692390.0%371.0769230769231141.23076923076923100.0%405.4358974358974141.23076923076923110.0%439.7948717948718141.23076923076923120.0%474.15384615384613141.23076923076923130.0%508.5128205128205141.23076923076923140.0%27.48717948717949141.230725865556600.0%61.84615384615385141.2285213685323710.0%96.2051282051282141.183839217980820.2%130.56410256410257140.7123203572135431.2%164.92307692307696137.8637550660329844.9%199.28205128205127127.6650878364551512.6%233.6410256410257106.1092362951729260.0%268.021.10319826003297724.9%302.358974358974372.0819.5%336.7179487179487386.9412120539607910.4%371.0769230769231112.39443831615542103.7%405.4358974358974131.09190307653074110.8%439.7948717948718138.99124065400434120.1%474.15384615384613140.95281018973748130.0%508.5128205128205141.216261479838314Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011121314Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728415th56.9236686390532595.786982248520722nd102.1011834319526528.33136094674557631st147.278698224852065.84615384615381141st192.456213017751485.84615384615381154th237.633727810650973.3017751479289965th282.811242603550395.786982248520773rd327.9887573964496750.81656804733728484th373.1662721893490673.3017751479289996th418.3437869822485118.27218934911241106th463.5213017751479118.27218934911241116th508.6988165680473118.27218934911241126th553.8763313609467118.27218934911241135th599.05384615384695.7869822485207143rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728413rd56.9236686390532550.81656804733728424th102.1011834319526573.3017751479289932nd147.2786982248520628.33136094674557644th192.4562130177514873.3017751479289956th237.6337278106509118.2721893491124164th282.811242603550373.3017751479289975th327.9887573964496795.786982248520783rd373.1662721893490650.81656804733728495th418.343786982248595.78698224852071010th463.5213017751479208.21301775147931112th508.6988165680473253.183431952662721210th553.8763313609467208.2130177514793137th599.053846153846140.75739644970415143rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728416th56.92366863905325118.2721893491124123rd102.1011834319526550.81656804733728432nd147.2786982248520628.33136094674557643rd192.4562130177514850.81656804733728455th237.633727810650995.786982248520765th282.811242603550395.786982248520774th327.9887573964496773.3017751479289984th373.1662721893490673.3017751479289995th418.343786982248595.7869822485207106th463.5213017751479118.27218934911241116th508.6988165680473118.27218934911241126th553.8763313609467118.27218934911241136th599.053846153846118.2721893491124114Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
  • Pick 1.11 - from Matt
  • Pick 2.04 - from Matt
  • Pick 4.04 - from Matt
  • Pick 1.07 - to Matt
  • Pick 2.08 - to Matt
  • Pick 4.08 - to Matt
6
7
8
10
10
11
12

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Mike Evans WR
2.04 18 A.J. Brown WR
3.07 35 Kyle Pitts K TE
4.04 46 Kyler Murray QB
5.07 63 Cordarrelle Patterson RB
6.08 78 Christian Kirk WR
7.07 91 Chris Olave WR
8.08 106 Leonard Fournette K RB
9.07 119 DeVante Parker WR
10.08 134 Isaiah Spiller RB
11.07 147 Kirk Cousins QB
12.08 162 Jameson Williams WR
13.07 175 D'Onta Foreman RB
14.08 190 Evan Engram TE
15.07 203 Cleveland DEF
16.08 218 Dustin Hopkins K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910111213140.86323.48571428571428481.5068576953484610.41353.5956043956044112.6561581650691420.00083.70549450549449141.2307692307692330.924113.8153846153845977.2793714586698340.000143.9252747252747141.2307692307692350.000174.03516483516484141.2307692307692360.311204.1450549450549119.6792401389062170.000234.25494505494504141.2307692307692380.470264.36483516483514108.6900487656045390.000294.4747252747253141.23076923076923100.000324.58461538461535141.23076923076923110.000354.69450549450545141.23076923076923120.782384.8043956043955587.10941337997899130.437414.91428571428565110.98561924896228140.00023.48571428571428421.7829461599276910.00053.595604395604484.0815470993690620.94383.7054945054944975.9611230622861830.000113.8153846153845913.3279736865704340.455143.9252747252747109.7355561144605450.282174.03516483516484121.6907053644226660.000204.145054945054998.1277110470431970.870234.2549450549450481.0068324415477680.000264.3648351648351476.1493283004398390.313294.4747252747253119.53150540482874100.144324.58461538461535131.27073465883146110.669354.6945054945054594.89389744483076120.000384.8043956043955532.98805752918875130.000414.9142857142856580.7404692671553214Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213141124.44999999999999682.65088757396451755.79615384615384103.952662721893492087.14230769230768141.23076923076923312118.4884615384615277.3254437869822540149.83461538461538141.2307692307692350181.18076923076924141.2307692307692363212.52692307692305125.2544378698224870243.87307692307692141.2307692307692387275.21923076923076103.9526627218934990306.56538461538463141.23076923076923100337.91153846153844141.23076923076923110369.2576923076923141.230769230769231210400.603846153846187.97633136094674137431.95103.9526627218934914024.44999999999999624.0710059171597521055.7961538461538466.6745562130177521287.1423076923076877.3254437869822530118.4884615384615213.4201183431952746149.83461538461538109.2781065088757454181.18076923076924119.9289940828402360212.52692307692305109.27810650887574711243.8730769230769282.650887573964580275.2192307692307666.6745562130177595306.56538461538463114.60355029585799101337.91153846153844135.90532544378698117369.2576923076923103.95266272189349120400.603846153846134.72189349112425130431.9566.6745562130177514All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2022 Ed 7-7 7th 103.26 0.563 18.34
1 992 2014 Rob 8-5 3rd 102.85 0.560 17.29 5th place
2 989 2010 Babel 8-5 3rd 102.19 0.564 20.22 6th place
3 986 2011 Matt 7-6 6th 105.29 0.560 18.74 2nd place
4 984 2009 Kevin 6-7 6th 103.07 0.561 12.42 5th place
5 980 2020 Matt 8-5 2nd 104.39 0.558 21.15 2nd place
6 979 2020 Babel 8-5 3rd 104.19 0.555 17.75 3rd place
7 978 2020 Ed 4-9 13th 103.98 0.555 16.72
8 975 2020 Pulley 8-5 4th 104.06 0.553 17.06 4th place
9 975 2011 Allen 7-6 5th 105.44 0.568 15.17 5th place
10 974 2022 Scott 6-8 10th 103.95 0.555 22.32