2023 Ed

11-3 (0.786), 1,435.66 points

1st place (regular season)

2nd place (playoffs)

7.42 expected wins (0.530)

99-83 all-play record (0.544)

-22.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 71.69 109.47 Pulley -37.78
2 W 93.59 85.05 Dave 8.54
3 W 102.60 97.50 Derrek 5.10
4 W 97.20 74.26 Kevin 22.94
5 L 120.55 131.31 Matt -10.76
6 L 76.75 79.89 Richie -3.14
7 W 84.94 62.17 Rob 22.77
8 W 117.33 107.86 Schertz 9.47
9 W 87.27 61.32 Rabbit 25.95
10 W 119.30 100.32 Mike R. 18.98
11 W 93.85 93.06 Pulley 0.79
12 W 133.89 111.17 Scott 22.72 Team Blangums
13 W 126.28 84.00 Pat 42.28
14 W 110.42 92.60 Babel 17.82

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910111213140.0%27.48717948717949141.2307692307692300.0%61.84615384615385141.2307692307692310.0%96.2051282051282141.2307692307692320.0%130.56410256410257141.2307692307692330.0%164.92307692307696141.2307692307692340.0%199.28205128205127141.2307692307692350.0%233.6410256410257141.2307692307692360.0%268.0141.2307692307692370.0%302.3589743589743141.2307692307692380.0%336.71794871794873141.2307692307692390.0%371.0769230769231141.23076923076923101.9%405.4358974358974135.89736942227776110.0%439.7948717948718141.23076923076923120.0%474.15384615384613141.23076923076923130.0%508.5128205128205141.23076923076923140.0%27.48717948717949141.2304368739908700.0%61.84615384615385141.2191240667984610.1%96.2051282051282141.0599351707064720.5%130.56410256410257139.8436690448866432.4%164.92307692307696134.3012202824609247.9%199.28205128205127118.83562714085281516.8%233.641025641025793.20383875780561624.3%268.071.99999999999999723.6%302.358974358974373.8219777746345815.5%336.7179487179487397.0619475332926596.7%371.0769230769231122.05685415408631100.0%405.4358974358974130.5639696137863110.3%439.7948717948718140.3380972373274120.0%474.15384615384613141.15120201229453130.0%508.5128205128205141.2279515176662714Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011121314Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th56.92366863905325253.18343195266272210th102.10118343195265208.2130177514793310th147.27869822485206208.2130177514793410th192.45621301775148208.2130177514793510th237.6337278106509208.2130177514793611th282.8112426035503230.698224852071710th327.98875739644967208.2130177514793810th373.16627218934906208.213017751479399th418.3437869822485185.7278106508876108th463.5213017751479163.24260355029585117th508.6988165680473140.75739644970415127th553.8763313609467140.75739644970415137th599.053846153846140.757396449704151410th11.746153846153845208.213017751479319th56.92366863905325185.727810650887628th102.10118343195265163.2426035502958537th147.27869822485206140.7573964497041547th192.45621301775148140.7573964497041559th237.6337278106509185.727810650887668th282.8112426035503163.2426035502958576th327.98875739644967118.2721893491124184th373.1662721893490673.3017751479289993rd418.343786982248550.816568047337284102nd463.521301775147928.331360946745576111st508.69881656804735.846153846153811121st553.87633136094675.846153846153811131st599.0538461538465.8461538461538111410th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793111th56.92366863905325230.698224852071210th102.10118343195265208.2130177514793310th147.27869822485206208.2130177514793410th192.45621301775148208.2130177514793510th237.6337278106509208.2130177514793610th282.8112426035503208.2130177514793710th327.98875739644967208.2130177514793810th373.16627218934906208.2130177514793910th418.3437869822485208.2130177514793109th463.5213017751479185.7278106508876117th508.6988165680473140.75739644970415127th553.8763313609467140.75739644970415137th599.053846153846140.7573964497041514Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
4
5
6
10
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Bijan Robinson RB
2.10 24 Josh Allen K QB
3.05 33 Jerry Jeudy WR
4.10 52 George Kittle TE
5.05 61 Christian Kirk WR
6.10 80 George Pickens WR
7.05 89 Michael Thomas WR
8.10 108 Jerick McKinnon RB
9.05 117 Isiah Pacheco K RB
10.10 136 Chigoziem Okonkwo TE
11.05 145 Tank Bigsby RB
12.10 164 Jonathan Mingo WR
13.05 173 Brock Purdy QB
14.10 192 Curtis Samuel WR
15.05 201 Washington DEF
16.10 220 Cameron Dicker K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910111213140.00023.485714285714284141.2307692307692310.39253.5956043956044114.0808010814811320.54483.70549450549449103.602999172293830.450113.81538461538459110.0578706304482540.000143.9252747252747141.2307692307692350.000174.03516483516484141.2307692307692360.255204.1450549450549123.5812809036943670.781234.2549450549450487.1930794793800280.292264.36483516483514121.0356977934362790.804294.474725274725385.56799740452774100.399324.58461538461535113.62623266893505110.910354.6945054945054578.21535333159477120.862384.8043956043955581.53370274318121130.680414.9142857142856594.12524777070786140.08823.485714285714284135.104590161737710.00053.595604395604486.9308329321930320.00083.7054945054944965.9752291138183730.000113.8153846153845978.8849720301272740.819143.925274725274784.556582686612750.143174.03516483516484131.3316723376051760.000204.1450549450549105.9317925766195170.000234.2549450549450433.1553897279908180.000264.36483516483514100.8406263561033390.000294.474725274725329.905225578286277100.000324.5846153846153586.02169610710085110.000354.6945054945054515.199937432420313120.000384.8043956043955521.836636255593206130.000414.9142857142856547.0197263106464914Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121314024.449999999999996141.230769230769231355.79615384615384125.254437869822482687.14230769230768109.2781065088757436118.48846153846152109.2781065088757440149.83461538461538141.2307692307692350181.18076923076924141.2307692307692363212.52692307692305125.2544378698224878243.8730769230769298.6272189349112486275.21923076923076109.2781065088757499306.5653846153846393.301775147928991010337.9115384615384487.976331360946741113369.257692307692372.01210400.603846153846187.976331360946741310431.9587.9763313609467414424.449999999999996119.928994082840231055.79615384615384109.278106508875742087.1423076923076877.3254437869822530118.4884615384615277.32544378698225410149.8346153846153887.9763313609467451181.18076923076924135.9053254437869860212.52692307692305109.2781065088757470243.8730769230769256.0236686390532480275.2192307692307677.3254437869822590306.5653846153846345.372781065088745100337.9115384615384434.72189349112425110369.25769230769232.7692307692307736120400.603846153846134.72189349112425130431.9534.7218934911242514All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2023 Ed 11-3 1st 102.55 0.530 18.47 2nd place
1 993 2024 Rabbit 6-8 8th 103.28 0.532 18.31
2 992 2024 Matt 8-6 6th 101.70 0.529 20.21
3 989 2009 Babel 5-8 9th 102.06 0.534 18.63
4 988 2014 Matt 7-6 6th 101.65 0.533 19.04 4th place
5 984 2009 Derrek 7-6 5th 101.26 0.534 17.03 3rd place
6 984 2011 Babel 7-6 7th 102.34 0.523 17.34
7 978 2022 Rabbit 8-6 5th 101.88 0.529 27.75 5th place
8 976 2019 Mike R. 8-5 4th 102.54 0.522 22.23 4th place
9 975 2013 Pulley 8-5 3rd 99.08 0.529 23.01 3rd place
10 970 2017 Rob 8-5 4th 99.11 0.537 19.53 5th place