2010 Allen

7-6 (0.538), 1,107.03 points

6th place (regular season)

4th place (playoffs)

4.90 expected wins (0.377)

48-95 all-play record (0.336)

-16.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 64.30 93.36 Mike R. -29.06
2 W 94.97 67.69 Pulley 27.28
3 W 81.97 78.18 Pat 3.79
4 W 94.19 63.68 Dave 30.51
5 L 65.48 85.08 Babel -19.60 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 79.38 85.22 Kevin -5.84
7 L 50.58 111.18 Ed -60.60 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 47.94 84.54 Matt -36.60
9 L 82.81 146.00 Rabbit -63.19
10 W 106.97 73.18 Derrek 33.79
11 W 113.55 94.22 Rob 19.33
12 W 107.08 100.31 Pat 6.77
13 W 117.81 112.85 Derrek 4.96
14 W 99.76 65.60 Babel 34.16 Quarterfinals

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692369.5%286.4065934065934117.4002499934397670.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.1417996423746500.6%65.52747252747253139.8263793728248213.6%102.34065934065934132.30955866500068211.9%139.15384615384613111.34953438345526323.2%175.9670329670329682.95571085700604427.6%212.780219780219871.99999999999999520.4%249.593406593406689.9798904896588360.0%286.406593406593493.5697307561102972.8%323.2197802197802134.3025353924372280.5%360.032967032967139.9955292314187190.1%396.8461538461538141.1003991462072100.0%433.6593406593406141.22302287619232110.0%470.4725274725274141.23053453406717120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307664368652813Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845271.5804195804196110th60.68846153846153245.006993006993210th109.6307692307692245.00699300699338th158.5730769230769191.8601398601399410th207.5153846153846245.006993006993512th256.4576923076923298.15384615384613612th305.4298.15384615384613712th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613812th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923298.153846153846131012th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131112th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131211th599.053846153846271.58041958041961311th11.746153846153845271.580419580419618th60.68846153846153191.860139860139926th109.6307692307692138.7132867132867535th158.5730769230769112.1398601398601647th207.5153846153846165.286713286713357th256.4576923076923165.286713286713368th305.4191.8601398601399710th354.3423076923077245.006993006993810th403.28461538461534245.00699300699399th452.226923076923218.43356643356645107th501.16923076923075165.2867132867133116th550.1115384615384138.71328671328675126th599.053846153846138.713286713286751311th11.746153846153845271.5804195804196110th60.68846153846153245.006993006993210th109.6307692307692245.00699300699338th158.5730769230769191.8601398601399410th207.5153846153846245.006993006993511th256.4576923076923271.5804195804196612th305.4298.15384615384613712th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613812th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923298.153846153846131012th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131112th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131211th599.053846153846271.580419580419613Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Reggie Wayne WR
2.09 21 Marques Colston WR
3.04 28 Tony Romo QB
4.09 45 Jonathan Stewart K RB
5.04 52 Ricky Williams RB
6.09 69 Clinton Portis RB
7.04 76 DeAngelo Williams K RB
8.09 93 Santonio Holmes WR
9.04 100 Greg Olsen TE
10.09 117 Devery Henderson WR
11.04 124 Donovan McNabb QB
12.09 141 Dallas DEF
13.04 148 Nate Kaeding K
14.09 165 Dustin Keller TE
15.04 172 Jerricho Cotchery WR
16.09 189 Marshawn Lynch RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.46857.069822485207105108.86032608484520.26089.49585798816568123.2133237109877430.453121.92189349112428109.8490123821327440.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.676316.478106508875794.41641477619305100.780348.904142011834387.22286964765121110.680381.3301775147928794.17776635960635120.834413.7562130177514683.47268024414598130.08324.64378698224852135.5093992703594410.00057.06982248520710576.4898829389207720.00089.49585798816568105.1958781912062330.000121.9218934911242878.4672555334962640.090154.34792899408282134.9980098062450850.225186.7739644970414125.645264718109360.040219.2138.4527297415953370.037251.62603550295853138.680013947868480.272284.0520710059171122.3837363580911190.000316.478106508875747.60206032161686100.000348.904142011834333.214970064533176110.000381.3301775147928747.12476348844348120.000413.7562130177514625.71459125752271313Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231559.413017751479295109.762237762237762293.17041420118342128.6433566433566438126.9278106508875890.8811188811188840160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692394329.47218934911234116.05594405594405107363.229585798816597.17482517482517117396.986982248520797.174825174825171210430.7443786982248678.293706293706313125.655621301775145134.937062937062931059.41301775147929578.293706293706312093.17041420118342116.0559440559440530126.9278106508875840.5314685314685340160.6852071005917141.2307692307692352194.44260355029584128.6433566433566460228.2141.2307692307692371261.9573964497041134.9370629370629381295.7147928994083134.9370629370629390329.4721893491123490.8811188811189100363.229585798816553.11888111888112110396.986982248520753.11888111888112120430.7443786982248615.3566433566433613All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2010 Allen 8-6 6th 86.20 0.389 21.81 4th place
1 994 2012 Kevin 5-8 10th 85.92 0.376 21.90
2 986 2008 Matt 3-10 12th 83.56 0.376 19.42
3 981 2015 Pat 6-7 9th 86.31 0.384 22.32
4 979 2013 Derrek 7-6 7th 88.08 0.374 23.77
5 978 2017 Matt 5-8 11th 86.79 0.379 16.42
6 974 2013 Pat 5-8 12th 87.34 0.374 16.65
7 966 2016 Mike R. 5-8 11th 90.17 0.376 15.90
8 962 2023 Dave 6-8 10th 92.75 0.380 21.93
9 961 2015 Derrek 7-6 7th 89.66 0.382 27.98
10 953 2012 Pulley 4-9 12th 88.56 0.385 13.78