2010 Allen

7-6 (0.538), 1,107.03 points (85.16 average)

6th place (regular season)

4th place (playoffs)

4.87 expected wins (0.375)

48-95 all-play record (0.336)

-17.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 64.30 93.36 Mike R. -29.06
2 W 94.97 67.69 Pulley 27.28
3 W 81.97 78.18 Pat 3.79
4 W 94.19 63.68 Dave 30.51
5 L 65.48 85.08 Babel -19.60 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 79.38 85.22 Kevin -5.84
7 L 50.58 111.18 Ed -60.60 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 47.94 84.54 Matt -36.60
9 L 82.81 146.00 Rabbit -63.19
10 W 106.97 73.18 Derrek 33.79
11 W 113.55 94.22 Rob 19.33
12 W 107.08 100.31 Pat 6.77
13 W 117.81 112.85 Derrek 4.96
14 W 99.76 65.60 #3 Babel 34.16 Quarterfinals
15 L 75.56 123.23 #2 Ed -47.67 Semifinals

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%39.42857142857143141.2307692307692300.0%89.97802197802199141.2307692307692310.0%140.5274725274725141.2307692307692320.0%191.07692307692307141.2307692307692330.0%241.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%292.1758241758242141.2307692307692350.0%342.7252747252747141.2307692307692369.1%393.27472527472526118.6848109408909170.0%443.8241758241758141.2307692307692380.0%494.3736263736264141.2307692307692390.0%544.9230769230769141.23076923076923100.0%595.4725274725274141.23076923076923110.0%646.0219780219779141.23076923076923120.0%696.5714285714286141.23076923076923130.0%39.42857142857143141.1501002036911800.5%89.97802197802199139.896060957709613.5%140.5274725274725132.4639919691492212.1%191.07692307692307111.27440916348858323.7%241.626373626373682.45779523966459427.9%292.175824175824271.99999999999999520.2%342.725274725274791.0900733408500460.0%393.2747252747252696.1388526510126172.5%443.8241758241758134.9519593197581580.4%494.3736263736264140.1676219753924290.0%544.9230769230769141.1253801316392100.0%595.4725274725274141.22500741472686110.0%646.0219780219779141.23061413877724120.0%696.5714285714286141.2307676494450313Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845271.5804195804196110th60.68846153846153245.006993006993210th109.6307692307692245.00699300699338th158.5730769230769191.8601398601399410th207.5153846153846245.006993006993512th256.4576923076923298.15384615384613612th305.4298.15384615384613712th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613812th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923298.153846153846131012th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131112th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131211th599.053846153846271.58041958041961311th11.746153846153845271.580419580419618th60.68846153846153191.860139860139926th109.6307692307692138.7132867132867535th158.5730769230769112.1398601398601647th207.5153846153846165.286713286713357th256.4576923076923165.286713286713368th305.4191.8601398601399710th354.3423076923077245.006993006993810th403.28461538461534245.00699300699399th452.226923076923218.43356643356645107th501.16923076923075165.2867132867133116th550.1115384615384138.71328671328675126th599.053846153846138.713286713286751311th11.746153846153845271.5804195804196110th60.68846153846153245.006993006993210th109.6307692307692245.00699300699338th158.5730769230769191.8601398601399410th207.5153846153846245.006993006993511th256.4576923076923271.5804195804196612th305.4298.15384615384613712th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613812th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923298.153846153846131012th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131112th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131211th599.053846153846271.580419580419613Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Reggie Wayne WR
2.09 21 Marques Colston WR
3.04 28 Tony Romo QB
4.09 45 Jonathan Stewart K RB
5.04 52 Ricky Williams RB
6.09 69 Clinton Portis RB
7.04 76 DeAngelo Williams Kx2 RB
8.09 93 Santonio Holmes WR
9.04 100 Greg Olsen TE
10.09 117 Devery Henderson WR
11.04 124 Donovan McNabb QB
12.09 141 Dallas DEF
13.04 148 Nate Kaeding K
14.09 165 Dustin Keller TE
15.04 172 Jerricho Cotchery WR
16.09 189 Marshawn Lynch RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00035.88639053254438141.2307692307692310.46783.105325443787108.8986903122521420.247130.3242603550296124.1586181195193330.442177.54319526627222110.611412050253340.000224.76213017751482141.2307692307692350.000271.9810650887574141.2307692307692360.000319.2141.2307692307692370.000366.41893491124256141.2307692307692380.000413.6378698224852141.2307692307692390.683460.8568047337277693.97777736966546100.788508.0757396449704486.69332900347891110.688555.29467455621393.58535661026409120.849602.513609467455682.48236048205204130.08435.88639053254438135.4392116717314710.00083.10532544378776.5666113937350420.000130.3242603550296107.0864670082694530.000177.5431952662722279.9920548697373940.093224.76213017751482134.782653282125750.210271.9810650887574126.7036793066768860.035319.2138.81801282063470.027366.41893491124256139.3729408393855480.260413.6378698224852123.2014514135264390.000460.8568047337277646.724785508561695100.000508.0757396449704432.15588877618859110.000555.29467455621345.939943989758945120.000602.513609467455623.73395173333486213Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213036.898224852071141.230769230769231585.44852071005917109.7622377622377622133.99881656804732128.6433566433566438182.549112426035590.8811188811188840231.09940828402367141.2307692307692350279.6497041420119141.2307692307692360328.20000000000005141.2307692307692370376.75029585798814141.2307692307692380425.30059171597634141.2307692307692394473.8508875739645116.05594405594405107522.401183431952697.17482517482517117570.951479289940897.174825174825171210619.50177514792978.293706293706313136.898224852071134.937062937062931085.4485207100591778.2937062937063120133.99881656804732116.0559440559440530182.549112426035540.5314685314685340231.09940828402367141.2307692307692352279.6497041420119128.6433566433566460328.20000000000005141.2307692307692371376.75029585798814134.9370629370629381425.30059171597634134.9370629370629390473.850887573964590.8811188811189100522.401183431952653.11888111888112110570.951479289940853.11888111888112120619.50177514792915.3566433566433613All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2010 Allen 7-6 6th 85.16 0.375 22.29 4th place
1 990 2012 Kevin 5-8 10th 85.92 0.378 21.90
2 985 2013 Derrek 7-6 7th 88.08 0.374 23.77
3 979 2013 Pat 5-8 12th 87.34 0.375 16.65
4 972 2008 Matt 3-10 12th 83.56 0.367 19.42
5 969 2017 Matt 5-8 11th 86.79 0.381 16.42
6 969 2015 Pat 6-7 9th 86.31 0.388 22.32
7 963 2016 Mike R. 5-8 11th 90.17 0.377 15.90
8 959 2023 Dave 6-8 10th 92.75 0.380 21.93
9 958 2014 Allen 6-7 10th 88.24 0.365 16.78
10 954 2015 Derrek 7-6 7th 89.66 0.383 27.98