2010 Allen

7-6 (0.538), 1,107.03 points (85.16 average)

6th place (regular season)

4th place (playoffs)

4.87 expected wins (0.375)

48-95 all-play record (0.336)

-17.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 64.30 93.36 Mike R. -29.06
2 W 94.97 67.69 Pulley 27.28
3 W 81.97 78.18 Pat 3.79
4 W 94.19 63.68 Dave 30.51
5 L 65.48 85.08 Babel -19.60 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 79.38 85.22 Kevin -5.84
7 L 50.58 111.18 Ed -60.60 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 47.94 84.54 Matt -36.60
9 L 82.81 146.00 Rabbit -63.19
10 W 106.97 73.18 Derrek 33.79
11 W 113.55 94.22 Rob 19.33
12 W 107.08 100.31 Pat 6.77
13 W 117.81 112.85 Derrek 4.96
14 W 99.76 65.60 Babel 34.16 Quarterfinals
15 L 75.56 123.23 Ed -47.67 Semifinals

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%39.42857142857143141.2307692307692300.0%89.97802197802199141.2307692307692310.0%140.5274725274725141.2307692307692320.0%191.07692307692307141.2307692307692330.0%241.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%292.1758241758242141.2307692307692350.0%342.7252747252747141.2307692307692369.1%393.27472527472526118.6848366999486570.0%443.8241758241758141.2307692307692380.0%494.3736263736264141.2307692307692390.0%544.9230769230769141.23076923076923100.0%595.4725274725274141.23076923076923110.0%646.0219780219779141.23076923076923120.0%696.5714285714286141.23076923076923130.0%39.42857142857143141.1501002904124700.5%89.97802197802199139.896061454869113.5%140.5274725274725132.46399126549485212.1%191.07692307692307111.27440038693888323.7%241.626373626373682.45777953906368427.9%292.175824175824271.99999999999999520.2%342.725274725274791.0900976743149360.0%393.2747252747252696.1389041691280772.5%443.8241758241758134.9519711665910880.4%494.3736263736264140.1676247543151790.0%544.9230769230769141.12538047150673100.0%595.4725274725274141.22500743605352110.0%646.0219780219779141.2306141394086120.0%696.5714285714286141.2307676494520513Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845271.5804195804196110th60.68846153846153245.006993006993210th109.6307692307692245.00699300699338th158.5730769230769191.8601398601399410th207.5153846153846245.006993006993512th256.4576923076923298.15384615384613612th305.4298.15384615384613712th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613812th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923298.153846153846131012th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131112th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131211th599.053846153846271.58041958041961311th11.746153846153845271.580419580419618th60.68846153846153191.860139860139926th109.6307692307692138.7132867132867535th158.5730769230769112.1398601398601647th207.5153846153846165.286713286713357th256.4576923076923165.286713286713368th305.4191.8601398601399710th354.3423076923077245.006993006993810th403.28461538461534245.00699300699399th452.226923076923218.43356643356645107th501.16923076923075165.2867132867133116th550.1115384615384138.71328671328675126th599.053846153846138.713286713286751311th11.746153846153845271.5804195804196110th60.68846153846153245.006993006993210th109.6307692307692245.00699300699338th158.5730769230769191.8601398601399410th207.5153846153846245.006993006993511th256.4576923076923271.5804195804196612th305.4298.15384615384613712th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613812th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923298.153846153846131012th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131112th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131211th599.053846153846271.580419580419613Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Reggie Wayne WR
2.09 21 Marques Colston WR
3.04 28 Tony Romo QB
4.09 45 Jonathan Stewart K RB
5.04 52 Ricky Williams RB
6.09 69 Clinton Portis RB
7.04 76 DeAngelo Williams K RB
8.09 93 Santonio Holmes WR
9.04 100 Greg Olsen TE
10.09 117 Devery Henderson WR
11.04 124 Donovan McNabb QB
12.09 141 Dallas DEF
13.04 148 Nate Kaeding K
14.09 165 Dustin Keller TE
15.04 172 Jerricho Cotchery WR
16.09 189 Marshawn Lynch RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00035.88639053254438141.2307692307692310.46783.105325443787108.8986974868472820.247130.3242603550296124.1586416867995130.442177.54319526627222110.6114131627122740.000224.76213017751482141.2307692307692350.000271.9810650887574141.2307692307692360.000319.2141.2307692307692370.000366.41893491124256141.2307692307692380.000413.6378698224852141.2307692307692390.683460.8568047337277693.9777745699775100.788508.0757396449704486.69331967733879110.688555.29467455621393.58535191399096120.849602.513609467455682.4823451439218130.08435.88639053254438135.4392132796973610.00083.10532544378776.5666257429253520.000130.3242603550296107.086514142829830.000177.5431952662722279.9920570946553240.093224.76213017751482134.782651716918750.210271.9810650887574126.7037056144801660.035319.2138.818011638762470.027366.41893491124256139.3729423395031480.260413.6378698224852123.2014703547817690.000460.8568047337277646.72477990918577100.000508.0757396449704432.15587012390837110.000555.29467455621345.939934597212684120.000602.513609467455623.73392105707438313Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213036.898224852071141.230769230769231585.44852071005917109.7622377622377622133.99881656804732128.6433566433566438182.549112426035590.8811188811188840231.09940828402367141.2307692307692350279.6497041420119141.2307692307692360328.20000000000005141.2307692307692370376.75029585798814141.2307692307692380425.30059171597634141.2307692307692394473.8508875739645116.05594405594405107522.401183431952697.17482517482517117570.951479289940897.174825174825171210619.50177514792978.293706293706313136.898224852071134.937062937062931085.4485207100591778.2937062937063120133.99881656804732116.0559440559440530182.549112426035540.5314685314685340231.09940828402367141.2307692307692352279.6497041420119128.6433566433566460328.20000000000005141.2307692307692371376.75029585798814134.9370629370629381425.30059171597634134.9370629370629390473.850887573964590.8811188811189100522.401183431952653.11888111888112110570.951479289940853.11888111888112120619.50177514792915.3566433566433613All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2010 Allen 7-6 6th 85.16 0.375 22.29 4th place
1 990 2012 Kevin 5-8 10th 85.92 0.378 21.90
2 985 2013 Derrek 7-6 7th 88.08 0.374 23.77
3 979 2013 Pat 5-8 12th 87.34 0.375 16.65
4 972 2008 Matt 3-10 12th 83.56 0.367 19.42
5 969 2017 Matt 5-8 11th 86.79 0.381 16.42
6 969 2015 Pat 6-7 9th 86.31 0.388 22.32
7 963 2016 Mike R. 5-8 11th 90.17 0.377 15.90
8 959 2023 Dave 6-8 10th 92.75 0.380 21.93
9 958 2014 Allen 6-7 10th 88.24 0.365 16.78
10 954 2015 Derrek 7-6 7th 89.66 0.383 27.98