2011 Allen

7-6 (0.538), 1,370.74 points

5th place (regular season)

5th place (playoffs)

7.38 expected wins (0.568)

86-57 all-play record (0.601)

-5.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.32 62.28 Derrek 58.04
2 W 114.87 70.57 Matt 44.30
3 L 72.00 93.59 Pat -21.59 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 122.44 76.34 Pulley 46.10
5 W 106.18 84.89 Rob 21.29
6 L 109.16 113.43 Mike R. -4.27
7 W 115.16 109.47 Babel 5.69
8 L 92.68 137.99 Kevin -45.31
9 W 118.08 105.61 Dave 12.47
10 L 86.80 122.55 Rabbit -35.75
11 L 92.49 102.14 Ed -9.65
12 L 122.12 124.60 Babel -2.48
13 W 98.44 90.50 Derrek 7.94
14 L 114.19 160.55 Rob -46.36 Quarterfinals
15 W 118.37 87.31 Derrek 31.06 Fifth-Place Game

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.23076923076923624.1%286.406593406593472.070.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2299762086910800.0%65.52747252747253141.2094302284110410.1%102.34065934065934140.9775022953403420.6%139.15384615384613139.4842470591550832.7%175.96703296703296133.469707525779748.1%212.7802197802198117.9234182312799516.8%249.593406593406692.9484300137497760.0%286.40659340659342.7692307692307736723.7%323.219780219780273.2106855381533815.6%360.03296703296796.5181316093460996.6%396.8461538461538122.38422454517081101.6%433.6593406593406136.51047689916018110.2%470.4725274725274140.6288930134728120.0%507.2857142857143141.2049641769549513Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804312nd60.6884615384615332.4195804195804327th109.6307692307692165.286713286713334th158.573076923076985.5664335664335744th207.515384615384685.5664335664335753rd256.457692307692358.99300699300701562nd305.432.4195804195804372nd354.342307692307732.4195804195804382nd403.2846153846153432.4195804195804392nd452.22692307692332.41958041958043103rd501.1692307692307558.993006993007015112nd550.111538461538432.41958041958043123rd599.05384615384658.993006993007015132nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804312nd60.6884615384615332.4195804195804326th109.6307692307692138.7132867132867533rd158.573076923076958.99300699300701541st207.51538461538465.84615384615386851st256.45769230769235.84615384615386861st305.45.84615384615386871st354.34230769230775.84615384615386881st403.284615384615345.84615384615386893rd452.22692307692358.993006993007015106th501.16923076923075138.71328671328675116th550.1115384615384138.71328671328675125th599.053846153846112.13986013986016132nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804313rd60.6884615384615358.99300699300701528th109.6307692307692191.860139860139935th158.5730769230769112.1398601398601646th207.5153846153846138.7132867132867554th256.457692307692385.5664335664335763rd305.458.99300699300701573rd354.342307692307758.99300699300701582nd403.2846153846153432.4195804195804393rd452.22692307692358.993006993007015104th501.1692307692307585.56643356643357113rd550.111538461538458.993006993007015123rd599.05384615384658.99300699300701513Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Drew Brees QB
2.04 16 Steven Jackson RB
3.09 33 Brandon Lloyd WR
4.04 40 Jason Witten TE
5.09 57 Jonathan Stewart RB
6.04 64 Pierre Thomas RB
7.09 81 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
8.04 88 Santonio Holmes K WR
9.09 105 Willis McGahee RB
10.04 112 New York DEF
11.09 129 Robert Meachem WR
12.04 136 Matt Cassel QB
13.09 153 Chris Cooley TE
14.04 160 Marshawn Lynch K RB
15.09 177 Robbie Gould K
16.04 184 Montario Hardesty RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.79624.6437869822485286.1263690473877810.72857.06982248520710590.831152117239820.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.815121.9218934911242884.8308490716314340.589154.34792899408282100.4225456219622650.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.734219.290.4334047562619870.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.768284.052071005917188.0810132213359790.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.451413.75621301775146109.99121070605742130.00024.6437869822485231.0219688640063410.00057.06982248520710540.43153500371036620.07389.49585798816568136.174351268712130.000121.9218934911242828.4309289124936440.000154.3479289940828259.6143220131552950.640186.773964497041496.9223688453573760.000219.239.6360402817547270.357251.62603550295853116.5142674260937880.000284.052071005917134.93125721190270490.265316.4781065088757122.87822520173901100.354348.9041420118343116.75291584268048110.811381.3301775147928785.06949748821813120.000413.7562130177514678.7516521813455913Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112131025.65562130177514578.29370629370631659.413017751479295103.468531468531472093.17041420118342141.23076923076923310126.9278106508875878.293706293706347160.685207100591797.1748251748251750194.44260355029584141.2307692307692369228.284.5874125874125970261.9573964497041141.23076923076923810295.714792899408378.293706293706390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923124430.74437869822486116.0559440559440513025.65562130177514515.356643356643361059.41301775147929565.706293706293722093.17041420118342141.2307692307692330126.9278106508875815.3566433566433640160.685207100591753.1188811188811258194.4426035502958490.8811188811188860228.227.94405594405594775261.9573964497041109.7622377622377680295.714792899408315.3566433566433694329.47218934911234116.05594405594405104363.2295857988165116.05594405594405119396.986982248520784.58741258741259120430.7443786982248690.881118881118913All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2011 Allen 8-7 5th 106.89 0.592 14.61 5th place
1 980 2016 Dave 6-7 8th 104.86 0.573 18.85
2 976 2011 Matt 7-6 6th 105.29 0.560 18.74 2nd place
3 976 2009 Rabbit 10-3 1st 103.60 0.575 14.39 2nd place
4 975 2022 Ed 7-7 7th 103.26 0.563 18.34
5 972 2009 Kevin 6-7 6th 103.07 0.561 12.42 5th place
6 971 2014 Rob 8-5 3rd 102.85 0.560 17.29 5th place
7 969 2010 Babel 8-5 3rd 102.19 0.564 20.22 6th place
8 967 2019 Derrek 7-6 6th 106.34 0.582 16.08 3rd place
9 967 2016 Rob 8-5 4th 104.57 0.579 18.82 5th place
10 965 2020 Ed 4-9 13th 103.98 0.555 16.72