2011 Allen (through 3 weeks)

2-1 (0.667), 307.19 points

6th place

1.42 expected wins (0.474)

16-17 all-play record (0.485)

-82.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.32 62.28 Derrek 58.04
2 W 114.87 70.57 Matt 44.30
3 L 72.00 93.59 Pat -21.59 Slapped Heartbeat
4 Pulley
5 Rob
6 Mike R.
7 Babel
8 Kevin
9 Dave
10 Rabbit
11 Ed
12 Babel
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%01230.0%74.73076923076924141.2307692307692300.0%203.5769230769231141.23076923076923149.2%332.423076923076972.020.0%461.2692307692308141.2307692307692338.6%74.73076923076924129.17282829369384041.5%203.576923076923182.855270883817910.0%332.42307692307692.769230769230773620.7%461.2692307692308140.244729978245573Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804312nd305.432.4195804195804327th599.053846153846165.286713286713332nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804312nd305.432.4195804195804326th599.053846153846138.7132867132867532nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804313rd305.458.99300699300701528th599.053846153846191.86013986013993Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Drew Brees QB
2.04 16 Steven Jackson RB
3.09 33 Brandon Lloyd WR
4.04 40 Jason Witten TE
5.09 57 Jonathan Stewart RB
6.04 64 Pierre Thomas RB
7.09 81 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
8.04 88 Santonio Holmes K WR
9.09 105 Willis McGahee RB
10.04 112 New York DEF
11.09 129 Robert Meachem WR
12.04 136 Matt Cassel QB
13.09 153 Chris Cooley TE
14.04 160 Marshawn Lynch K RB
15.09 177 Robbie Gould K
16.04 184 Montario Hardesty RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001230.73778.6871794871794990.1988357997878710.669219.2000000000000294.9036188696398920.000359.7128205128205141.2307692307692330.00078.6871794871794939.16690236880650410.000219.2000000000000248.57646850851054420.014359.7128205128205140.246818021112183Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111231081.917948717948778.293706293706316228.19999999999996103.4685314685314720374.48205128205126141.230769230769233081.917948717948715.3566433566433610228.1999999999999665.7062937062937220374.48205128205126141.230769230769233All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Allen 2-1 6th 102.40 0.474 21.61 7-6 5th 5th place
1 982 2018 Rabbit 1-2 9th 105.04 0.473 25.03 7-6 7th
2 975 2021 Richie 2-1 6th 104.83 0.473 28.88 9-5 5th 6th place
3 972 2019 Rob 2-1 6th 99.82 0.475 13.82 5-8 13th
4 965 2011 Derrek 2-1 5th 103.82 0.469 31.40 8-5 3rd 6th place
5 964 2021 Matt 2-1 7th 99.05 0.477 13.46 11-3 2nd 4th place
6 963 2024 Dave 2-1 7th 97.58 0.480 24.58 9-5 3rd
7 953 2020 Pat 2-1 7th 106.85 0.485 18.50 5-8 12th
8 952 2012 Dave 2-1 5th 97.28 0.487 22.19 6-7 7th
9 951 2023 Pat 2-1 7th 96.34 0.476 31.40 5-9 11th
10 949 2013 Dave 1-2 9th 103.21 0.490 29.38 7-6 5th 4th place