2011 Allen (through 8 weeks)

5-3 (0.625), 852.81 points (106.60 average)

1st place

4.82 expected wins (0.602)

55-33 all-play record (0.625)

-22.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.32 62.28 Derrek 58.04
2 W 114.87 70.57 Matt 44.30
3 L 72.00 93.59 Pat -21.59 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 122.44 76.34 Pulley 46.10
5 W 106.18 84.89 Rob 21.29
6 L 109.16 113.43 Mike R. -4.27
7 W 115.16 109.47 Babel 5.69
8 L 92.68 137.99 Kevin -45.31
9 Dave
10 Rabbit
11 Ed
12 Babel
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.2307692307692330.0%268.0141.23076923076923432.6%325.264957264957372.050.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.0%38.940170940170944141.19619727088200.3%96.20512820512818140.5554521240674712.5%153.47008547008548135.8651448367986210.5%210.73504273504273118.86117865835516324.8%268.088.664450777180240.0%325.26495726495732.7692307692307736522.3%382.5299145299145593.9393786762473466.4%439.79487179487177127.6212544544693470.4%497.05982905982904140.30066636964228Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804312nd95.6472527472527232.4195804195804327th179.54835164835166165.286713286713334th263.4494505494505585.5664335664335744th347.350549450549485.5664335664335753rd431.251648351648358.99300699300701562nd515.152747252747232.4195804195804372nd599.05384615384632.4195804195804382nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804312nd95.6472527472527232.4195804195804326th179.54835164835166138.7132867132867533rd263.4494505494505558.99300699300701541st347.35054945054945.84615384615386851st431.25164835164835.84615384615386861st515.15274725274725.84615384615386871st599.0538461538465.84615384615386882nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804313rd95.6472527472527258.99300699300701528th179.54835164835166191.860139860139935th263.44945054945055112.1398601398601646th347.3505494505494138.7132867132867554th431.251648351648385.5664335664335763rd515.152747252747258.99300699300701573rd599.05384615384658.9930069930070158Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Drew Brees QB
2.04 16 Steven Jackson RB
3.09 33 Brandon Lloyd WR
4.04 40 Jason Witten TE
5.09 57 Jonathan Stewart RB
6.04 64 Pierre Thomas RB
7.09 81 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
8.04 88 Santonio Holmes K WR
9.09 105 Willis McGahee RB
10.04 112 New York DEF
11.09 129 Robert Meachem WR
12.04 136 Matt Cassel QB
13.09 153 Chris Cooley TE
14.04 160 Marshawn Lynch K RB
15.09 177 Robbie Gould K
16.04 184 Montario Hardesty RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.81734.77692307692307684.6701156274184810.74387.4692307692307689.7712900823992920.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.842192.8538461538461882.9522107358626840.591245.54615384615386100.319976996437350.000298.2384615384615141.2307692307692360.749350.9307692307691689.3844872040422270.000403.6230769230769141.2307692307692380.00034.77692307692307628.1094620240677410.00087.4692307692307638.3118109340293520.088140.16153846153844135.1440798608073830.000192.8538461538461824.6736522409561340.000245.5461538461538659.409184762105450.644298.238461538461596.648555495958360.000350.9307692307691637.5382051773152270.342403.6230769230769117.525135729642958Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456781036.2048076923076978.29370629370631691.06057692307692103.4685314685314720145.91634615384615141.23076923076923310200.7721153846153878.293706293706347255.627884615384697.1748251748251750310.48365384615386141.2307692307692369365.339423076923184.5874125874125970420.1951923076923141.230769230769238036.2048076923076915.356643356643361091.0605769230769265.7062937062937220145.91634615384615141.2307692307692330200.7721153846153815.3566433566433640255.627884615384653.1188811188811258310.4836538461538690.8811188811188860365.339423076923127.94405594405594775420.1951923076923109.762237762237768All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Allen 5-3 1st 106.60 0.602 15.73 7-6 5th 5th place
1 980 2016 Pulley 5-3 4th 106.99 0.598 20.46 8-5 3rd 3rd place
2 978 2009 Kevin 3-5 8th 103.28 0.599 14.32 6-7 6th 5th place
3 976 2016 Schertz 4-4 5th 106.80 0.595 20.28 7-6 5th 4th place
4 972 2016 Rob 5-3 3rd 107.00 0.614 16.93 8-5 4th 5th place
5 967 2024 Mike R. 4-4 5th 108.89 0.596 21.37 9-5 2nd 3rd place
6 966 2014 Matt 5-3 3rd 106.49 0.591 21.76 7-6 6th 4th place
7 966 2020 Pulley 7-1 1st 109.22 0.613 14.65 8-5 4th 4th place
8 961 2009 Rabbit 6-2 2nd 103.91 0.613 12.85 10-3 1st 2nd place
9 960 2011 Babel 5-3 2nd 106.09 0.588 11.36 7-6 7th
10 959 2016 Rabbit 4-4 6th 105.82 0.584 15.03 9-4 2nd 2nd place