2013 Allen

4-9 (0.308), 1,051.62 points

14th place

3.76 expected wins (0.290)

50-119 all-play record (0.296)

+20.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 105.41 87.31 Richie 18.10
2 W 102.44 92.60 Rabbit 9.84
3 L 96.19 145.44 Matt -49.25
4 L 61.78 137.68 Ed -75.90 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 81.37 118.50 Pat -37.13
6 L 91.95 99.75 Mike R. -7.80
7 W 86.96 81.10 Dave 5.86
8 W 80.75 43.90 Kevin 36.85
9 L 64.72 111.92 Schertz -47.20
10 L 59.46 101.71 Rob -42.25 Slapped Heartbeat
11 L 89.77 128.65 Babel -38.88
12 L 71.82 74.24 Pulley -2.42
13 L 59.00 136.75 Derrek -77.75 Slapped Heartbeat

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.23076923076923326.0%175.9670329670329672.040.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.7%28.71428571428572139.4864669627567704.7%65.52747252747253128.7208530273914114.3%102.34065934065934103.1376568913286224.4%139.1538461538461376.2058772959897830.0%175.967032967032962.7692307692307736418.1%212.780219780219892.8517986837946758.5%249.5934065934066118.5022129895699362.7%286.4065934065934133.9989591637274870.6%323.2197802197802139.6798923170301280.1%360.032967032967141.0100538042768590.0%396.8461538461538141.21049013939373100.0%433.6593406593406141.22962387676216110.0%470.4725274725274141.23073328350526120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307687526658813Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th60.68846153846153163.2426035502958526th109.6307692307692118.27218934911241310th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793412th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272511th256.4576923076923230.698224852071612th305.4253.18343195266272713th354.3423076923077275.6686390532544814th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613914th452.226923076923298.153846153846131013th501.16923076923075275.66863905325441114th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131214th599.053846153846298.15384615384613137th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th60.6884615384615373.3017751479289925th109.630769230769295.786982248520739th158.5730769230769185.7278106508876411th207.5153846153846230.698224852071512th256.4576923076923253.18343195266272612th305.4253.1834319526627279th354.3423076923077185.7278106508876812th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272913th452.226923076923275.66863905325441013th501.16923076923075275.66863905325441113th550.1115384615384275.66863905325441214th599.053846153846298.15384615384613139th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th60.68846153846153163.2426035502958527th109.6307692307692140.75739644970415312th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272412th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272512th256.4576923076923253.18343195266272612th305.4253.18343195266272713th354.3423076923077275.6686390532544814th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613914th452.226923076923298.153846153846131013th501.16923076923075275.66863905325441114th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131214th599.053846153846298.1538461538461313Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Aaron Rodgers QB
2.11 25 Vincent Jackson WR
3.04 32 Montee Ball RB
4.11 53 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
5.04 60 DeAngelo Williams RB
6.11 81 Denarius Moore WR
7.04 88 Brandon Myers TE
8.11 109 Rueben Randle WR
9.04 116 Chicago DEF
10.11 137 Malcom Floyd WR
11.04 144 Michael Bush RB
12.11 165 Stephen Gostkowski K
13.04 172 Philip Rivers QB
14.11 193 Marcel Reece RB
15.04 200 Christine Michael RB
16.11 221 Robert Woods WR
Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.64724.6437869822485296.4244353555429810.59157.069822485207105100.2882668621847420.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.337219.2117.868700217404770.241251.62603550295853124.5281274612048980.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.00024.6437869822485251.6181014803167510.00057.06982248520710559.3457644936002420.48889.49585798816568107.4477193597856230.070121.92189349112428136.3582703977168440.251154.34792899408282123.8690032630130750.413186.7739644970414112.6070708421837260.000219.294.5066312040401670.000251.62603550295853107.8254856916405580.087284.0520710059171135.221849366351690.059316.4781065088757137.13103669904518100.378348.9041420118343115.02764763899165110.142381.33017751479287131.41483891127814120.059413.75621301775146137.176493540299813Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213525.655621301775145114.603550295857991759.413017751479295103.952662721893492093.17041420118342141.2307692307692330126.92781065088758141.2307692307692340160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692366228.2109.2781065088757476261.9573964497041109.2781065088757480295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.65562130177514587.976331360946741059.41301775147929566.674556213017752893.1704142011834298.6272189349112430126.92781065088758141.2307692307692344160.6852071005917119.9289940828402357194.44260355029584103.9526627218934960228.277.3254437869822570261.957396449704177.3254437869822581295.7147928994083135.9053254437869890329.47218934911234141.23076923076923105363.2295857988165114.60355029585799111396.9869822485207135.90532544378698120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2013 Allen 4-9 14th 80.89 0.290 15.65
1 996 2015 Kevin 3-10 14th 81.06 0.290 14.59
2 975 2024 Derrek 4-10 14th 84.99 0.291 18.66
3 969 2012 Richie 1-12 14th 81.09 0.302 18.28
4 962 2015 Allen 4-9 13th 78.11 0.281 20.25
5 953 2021 Rob 2-12 14th 85.06 0.304 16.62
6 944 2024 Pulley 4-10 13th 86.93 0.305 14.80
7 943 2017 Mike R. 3-10 14th 77.84 0.269 14.44
8 943 2018 Dave 4-9 13th 91.02 0.285 18.92
9 933 2012 Pat 5-8 11th 76.74 0.305 25.34
10 928 2022 Pulley 7-7 8th 85.33 0.315 14.45