2014 Allen

6-7 (0.462), 1,147.07 points

10th place

4.72 expected wins (0.363)

58-111 all-play record (0.343)

-9.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 87.44 112.07 Babel -24.63
2 W 93.15 78.05 Matt 15.10
3 L 60.70 100.87 Ed -40.17
4 W 100.35 59.65 Richie 40.70
5 L 89.05 107.18 Schertz -18.13
6 L 109.12 112.15 Rob -3.03
7 W 78.02 77.73 Kevin 0.29
8 W 108.28 98.27 Dave 10.01
9 L 63.43 91.71 Mike R. -28.28
10 L 97.34 98.82 Rabbit -1.48
11 W 77.28 76.15 Pulley 1.13
12 L 69.67 108.16 Pat -38.49 Slapped Heartbeat
13 W 113.24 106.77 Derrek 6.47

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.23076923076923518.0%249.593406593406692.2536624230242560.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.1%28.71428571428572140.969574261388801.1%65.52747252747253138.2286813724369415.4%102.34065934065934126.68454167341187214.4%139.15384615384613102.12594644266989323.8%175.9670329670329676.52326286996882425.5%212.780219780219872.050.0%249.593406593406643.2765556152792868.5%286.4065934065934118.2099023131076972.6%323.2197802197802134.1114024279828880.5%360.032967032967139.8169407110049590.1%396.8461538461538141.05782800109938100.0%433.6593406593406141.2186031406394110.0%470.4725274725274141.230331957213120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307631100704313Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th60.68846153846153163.24260355029585213th109.6307692307692275.6686390532544313th158.5730769230769275.6686390532544412th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272511th256.4576923076923230.698224852071611th305.4230.698224852071713th354.3423076923077275.6686390532544814th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613913th452.226923076923275.66863905325441014th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131114th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131213th599.053846153846275.66863905325441310th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th60.68846153846153163.24260355029585212th109.6307692307692253.18343195266272310th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793412th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272512th256.4576923076923253.18343195266272611th305.4230.69822485207178th354.3423076923077163.24260355029585810th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793911th452.226923076923230.6982248520711011th501.16923076923075230.6982248520711113th550.1115384615384275.66863905325441210th599.053846153846208.21301775147931310th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th60.68846153846153163.24260355029585213th109.6307692307692275.6686390532544312th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272412th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272511th256.4576923076923230.698224852071612th305.4253.18343195266272712th354.3423076923077253.18343195266272812th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272913th452.226923076923275.66863905325441014th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131114th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131213th599.053846153846275.668639053254413Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Arian Foster RB
2.09 23 Andre Johnson WR
3.06 34 Matthew Stafford QB
4.09 51 Torrey Smith WR
5.06 62 Pierre Thomas RB
6.09 79 DeAngelo Williams RB
7.06 90 Dennis Pitta TE
8.09 107 Rueben Randle K WR
9.06 118 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
10.09 135 Shonn Greene RB
11.06 146 Knile Davis RB
12.09 163 Arizona DEF
13.06 174 Mason Crosby K
14.09 191 Robert Woods K WR
15.06 202 Tre Mason RB
16.09 219 Latavius Murray RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.40957.069822485207105112.9478722701612720.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.527121.92189349112428104.7542766340180340.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.182219.2128.630482503001370.670251.6260355029585394.867413661140680.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.175348.9041420118343129.09641512586106110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.748413.7562130177514689.45804955184217130.31824.64378698224852119.1868237323563310.00057.06982248520710584.6649753095533120.03989.49585798816568138.5400738965060430.000121.9218934911242868.2777840372668440.343154.34792899408282117.4935563956221550.683186.773964497041493.9128199947938460.000219.2116.0301957752334170.000251.6260355029585348.5040580915119980.049284.0520710059171137.8241286467459590.478316.4781065088757108.16353972811369100.000348.9041420118343116.96206102095289110.096381.33017751479287134.5739644970414120.000413.7562130177514637.68532987291510513Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231559.413017751479295114.603550295857992093.17041420118342141.2307692307692334126.92781065088758119.9289940828402340160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692364228.2119.9289940828402377261.9573964497041103.9526627218934980295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923104363.2295857988165119.92899408284023110396.9869822485207141.230769230769231210430.7443786982248687.9763313609467413425.655621301775145119.928994082840231059.41301775147929587.976331360946742193.17041420118342135.9053254437869830126.9278106508875898.6272189349112445160.6852071005917114.6035502958579957194.44260355029584103.9526627218934960228.298.6272189349112470261.957396449704166.6745562130177581295.7147928994083135.9053254437869896329.47218934911234109.27810650887574100363.229585798816598.62721893491124110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923120430.7443786982248634.7218934911242513All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2014 Allen 6-7 10th 88.24 0.363 16.78
1 996 2016 Pat 7-6 7th 88.96 0.363 16.09
2 986 2019 Rob 5-8 13th 91.04 0.362 16.28
3 980 2009 Pulley 4-9 12th 88.20 0.355 19.15
4 975 2011 Pat 5-8 11th 87.91 0.358 24.21
5 974 2013 Pat 5-8 12th 87.34 0.374 16.65
6 967 2023 Derrek 5-9 12th 89.17 0.350 18.70
7 966 2016 Derrek 3-10 14th 88.82 0.349 14.97
8 965 2011 Pulley 5-8 10th 90.96 0.352 18.62
9 964 2013 Derrek 7-6 7th 88.08 0.374 23.77
10 964 2016 Mike R. 5-8 11th 90.17 0.376 15.90