2015 Allen

4-9 (0.308), 1,015.46 points

13th place

3.65 expected wins (0.281)

44-125 all-play record (0.260)

+3.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 88.16 98.58 Richie -10.42
2 W 85.73 82.85 Rob 2.88
3 L 85.69 94.57 Schertz -8.88
4 L 58.51 83.83 Kevin -25.32
5 W 92.66 84.51 Dave 8.15
6 L 84.83 95.04 Rabbit -10.21
7 L 56.75 132.49 Matt -75.74 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 58.42 97.05 Mike R. -38.63
9 L 98.52 154.91 Pulley -56.39
10 W 67.81 61.63 Babel 6.18
11 L 66.81 74.26 Pat -7.45
12 W 123.61 100.69 Ed 22.92
13 L 47.96 165.50 Derrek -117.54 Slapped Heartbeat

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.23076923076923326.9%175.9670329670329672.1808083797989340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.3%28.71428571428572140.4009715829245404.4%65.52747252747253129.95516025547792115.7%102.34065934065934101.00422958562459226.9%139.1538461538461372.030.0%175.967032967032963.130847528828639416.8%212.780219780219898.0501744314515556.8%249.5934065934066123.6949076074333561.8%286.4065934065934136.548814729787270.3%323.2197802197802140.4088825456503380.0%360.032967032967141.1365171216590.0%396.8461538461538141.22383468161294100.0%433.6593406593406141.23045553520157110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076131958172120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307691458980513Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793111th60.68846153846153230.698224852071212th109.6307692307692253.18343195266272313th158.5730769230769275.6686390532544412th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272512th256.4576923076923253.18343195266272614th305.4298.15384615384613714th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613814th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613914th452.226923076923298.153846153846131014th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131113th550.1115384615384275.66863905325441214th599.053846153846298.153846153846131311th11.746153846153845230.698224852071110th60.68846153846153208.2130177514793212th109.6307692307692253.18343195266272313th158.5730769230769275.6686390532544412th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272513th256.4576923076923275.6686390532544614th305.4298.15384615384613714th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613814th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613913th452.226923076923275.66863905325441013th501.16923076923075275.66863905325441112th550.1115384615384253.183431952662721213th599.053846153846275.66863905325441310th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793111th60.68846153846153230.698224852071212th109.6307692307692253.18343195266272313th158.5730769230769275.6686390532544412th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272512th256.4576923076923253.18343195266272614th305.4298.15384615384613714th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613814th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613914th452.226923076923298.153846153846131014th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131114th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131214th599.053846153846298.1538461538461313Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Eddie Lacy RB
2.13 27 Russell Wilson QB
3.02 30 Sammy Watkins WR
4.13 55 Rashad Jennings RB
5.02 58 Anquan Boldin WR
6.13 83 Torrey Smith WR
7.02 86 Antonio Gates TE
8.13 111 Reggie Bush RB
9.02 114 Ladarius Green K TE
10.13 139 Rueben Randle WR
11.02 142 St. Louis DEF
12.13 167 Jay Cutler QB
13.02 170 Tre Mason K RB
14.13 195 Matt Bryant K
15.02 198 Brandon Bolden RB
16.13 223 Nick Toon WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.32757.069822485207105118.6021913083633320.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.434154.34792899408282111.2154546044894150.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.116316.4781065088757133.17110893046546100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.902381.3301775147928778.781998369326120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.36424.64378698224852116.0566081981052410.00057.06982248520710595.9736133859574420.32689.49585798816568118.6703765702452530.065121.92189349112428136.7621993895795640.000154.3479289940828281.2001399782095950.311186.7739644970414119.704519708787660.058219.2137.2394962227529670.064251.62603550295853136.7849278102068580.530284.0520710059171104.5560273606892190.000316.4781065088757125.1114486301617100.107348.9041420118343133.83023312865728110.000381.3301775147928716.333227507882796120.045413.75621301775146138.1486330478451213Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231459.413017751479295119.928994082840232093.17041420118342141.2307692307692330126.92781065088758141.2307692307692346160.6852071005917109.2781065088757450194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692395329.47218934911234114.60355029585799100363.2295857988165141.230769230769231110396.986982248520787.97633136094674120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313425.655621301775145119.928994082840231059.41301775147929598.627218934911242393.17041420118342125.2544378698224832126.92781065088758130.5798816568047340160.685207100591777.3254437869822552194.44260355029584130.5798816568047360228.2141.2307692307692371261.9573964497041135.9053254437869885295.7147928994083114.6035502958579990329.4721893491123487.97633136094674102363.2295857988165130.57988165680473110396.986982248520734.72189349112425120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2015 Allen 4-9 13th 78.11 0.281 20.25
1 963 2017 Mike R. 3-10 14th 77.84 0.269 14.44
2 962 2013 Allen 4-9 14th 80.89 0.290 15.65
3 958 2015 Kevin 3-10 14th 81.06 0.290 14.59
4 948 2024 Derrek 4-10 14th 84.99 0.291 18.66
5 941 2012 Richie 1-12 14th 81.09 0.302 18.28
6 937 2018 Dave 4-9 13th 91.02 0.285 18.92
7 935 2012 Pat 5-8 11th 76.74 0.305 25.34
8 921 2018 Pat 2-11 14th 86.91 0.260 21.13
9 918 2021 Rob 2-12 14th 85.06 0.304 16.62
10 906 2024 Pulley 4-10 13th 86.93 0.305 14.80