2016 Allen

4-9 (0.308), 1,254.14 points

13th place

5.95 expected wins (0.458)

82-87 all-play record (0.485)

+5.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 72.19 85.25 Richie -13.06 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 106.42 91.85 Dave 14.57
3 W 136.95 98.49 Mike R. 38.46 Team Blangums
4 W 105.54 93.80 Pulley 11.74
5 L 77.03 129.47 Schertz -52.44
6 L 75.57 76.61 Babel -1.04
7 L 70.14 89.78 Pat -19.64
8 W 104.28 86.50 Ed 17.78
9 L 99.08 110.71 Matt -11.63
10 L 126.44 135.15 Rob -8.71
11 L 93.53 123.97 Kevin -30.44
12 L 108.79 112.50 Rabbit -3.71
13 L 78.18 89.48 Derrek -11.30

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.23076923076923311.5%175.96703296703296111.4040427198752940.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.226387181638300.1%65.52747252747253141.0826621655084510.7%102.34065934065934139.5081699903401523.7%139.15384615384613131.6827541453321830.0%175.9670329670329681.57731620898136422.0%212.780219780219884.22063629867765526.7%249.593406593406671.99999999999999620.9%286.406593406593487.20494813247115710.4%323.2197802197802114.2696324036522883.3%360.032967032967132.7395576692664590.6%396.8461538461538139.57133204670197100.1%433.6593406593406141.0369677169749110.0%470.4725274725274141.21844341369632120.0%507.2857142857143141.2304421185461613Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th60.68846153846153253.1834319526627229th109.6307692307692185.727810650887637th158.5730769230769140.7573964497041549th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876510th256.4576923076923208.2130177514793610th305.4208.213017751479379th354.3423076923077185.7278106508876810th403.28461538461534208.213017751479399th452.226923076923185.7278106508876109th501.16923076923075185.7278106508876119th550.1115384615384185.72781065088761210th599.053846153846208.21301775147931314th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461319th60.68846153846153185.727810650887626th109.6307692307692118.2721893491124132nd158.573076923076928.33136094674557648th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958559th256.4576923076923185.7278106508876610th305.4208.213017751479379th354.3423076923077185.7278106508876811th403.28461538461534230.698224852071911th452.226923076923230.6982248520711011th501.16923076923075230.6982248520711112th550.1115384615384253.183431952662721213th599.053846153846275.66863905325441314th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th60.68846153846153253.1834319526627228th109.6307692307692163.2426035502958537th158.5730769230769140.7573964497041549th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876510th256.4576923076923208.2130177514793610th305.4208.2130177514793711th354.3423076923077230.698224852071810th403.28461538461534208.213017751479399th452.226923076923185.7278106508876108th501.16923076923075163.24260355029585119th550.1115384615384185.7278106508876129th599.053846153846185.727810650887613Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Ezekiel Elliott RB
2.13 27 Russell Wilson K QB
3.02 30 Eric Decker WR
4.13 55 Rashad Jennings RB
5.02 58 Tyler Lockett WR
6.13 83 Isaiah Crowell RB
7.02 86 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
8.13 111 DeAndre Washington RB
9.02 114 Jordan Reed K TE
10.13 139 Mohamed Sanu WR
11.02 142 Kansas City DEF
12.13 167 Wendell Smallwood RB
13.02 170 Jaelen Strong WR
14.13 195 Paul Perkins RB
15.02 198 Brock Osweiler QB
16.13 223 Josh Brown K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.63357.06982248520710597.399134932444720.94489.4958579881656875.8639563880737730.618121.9218934911242898.4560064916143540.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.592251.62603550295853100.274280141798780.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.11324.64378698224852133.3895889957812210.00057.06982248520710553.5675006341201820.00089.4958579881656810.49714354537832230.000121.9218934911242855.68124375245946640.166154.34792899408282129.730313274785250.147186.7739644970414131.059925881482560.096219.2134.60555949934270.000251.6260355029585359.31779105282818480.501284.0520710059171106.5586884452483690.882316.478106508875780.13689946600701100.409348.9041420118343112.91128201057995110.674381.3301775147928794.60353919528626120.180413.75621301775146128.7984480290657513Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231959.41301775147929593.3017751479289921393.1704142011834272.038126.9278106508875898.6272189349112440160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692378261.957396449704198.6272189349112480295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.655621301775145141.230769230769231059.41301775147929545.3727810650887452093.170414201183422.769230769230773630126.9278106508875856.0236686390532443160.6852071005917125.2544378698224853194.44260355029584125.2544378698224861228.2135.9053254437869870261.957396449704156.0236686390532487295.7147928994083103.95266272189349910329.4721893491123487.97633136094674107363.2295857988165103.952662721893491110396.986982248520787.97633136094674123430.74437869822486125.2544378698224813All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2016 Allen 4-9 13th 96.47 0.458 20.34
1 985 2016 Babel 7-6 6th 96.71 0.462 17.09 6th place
2 983 2021 Mike R. 4-10 11th 96.70 0.466 20.66
3 982 2020 Scott 7-6 8th 95.08 0.454 18.15
4 979 2019 Dave 6-7 10th 96.85 0.452 24.14
5 978 2010 Rob 6-7 7th 92.49 0.455 20.45
6 977 2016 Matt 5-8 10th 96.11 0.460 29.06
7 975 2011 Dave 3-10 12th 96.89 0.448 22.01
8 974 2011 Derrek 8-5 3rd 97.76 0.448 21.11 6th place
9 973 2009 Dave 5-8 11th 95.98 0.452 13.72
10 972 2015 Mike R. 8-5 4th 93.10 0.462 16.62 6th place