2016 Allen

4-9 (0.308), 1,254.14 points (96.47 average)

13th place

6.01 expected wins (0.462)

82-87 all-play record (0.485)

+5.5% strength of schedule

Blingapower Ranking: 11th

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 72.19 85.25 Richie -13.06 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 106.42 91.85 Dave 14.57
3 W 136.95 98.49 Mike R. 38.46 Team Blangums
4 W 105.54 93.80 Pulley 11.74
5 L 77.03 129.47 Schertz -52.44
6 L 75.57 76.61 Babel -1.04
7 L 70.14 89.78 Pat -19.64
8 W 104.28 86.50 Ed 17.78
9 L 99.08 110.71 Matt -11.63
10 L 126.44 135.15 Rob -8.71
11 L 93.53 123.97 Kevin -30.44
12 L 108.79 112.50 Rabbit -3.71
13 L 78.18 89.48 Derrek -11.30

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.23076923076923311.0%175.96703296703296112.4813606290635240.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2262586091439700.1%65.52747252747253141.083476507889210.6%102.34065934065934139.5665827980072323.5%139.15384615384613132.0778896190715330.0%175.9670329670329683.7319520273578421.4%212.780219780219885.47286713149086526.5%249.593406593406671.99999999999999621.3%286.406593406593485.56476970096034711.1%323.2197802197802112.3634053514018483.7%360.032967032967131.7008052004195290.8%396.8461538461538139.2666607248526100.1%433.6593406593406140.98822510851966110.0%470.4725274725274141.2144669363957120.0%507.2857142857143141.2303135180044613Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th60.68846153846153253.1834319526627228th109.6307692307692163.2426035502958537th158.5730769230769140.7573964497041549th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876510th256.4576923076923208.2130177514793610th305.4208.213017751479379th354.3423076923077185.7278106508876810th403.28461538461534208.213017751479399th452.226923076923185.7278106508876109th501.16923076923075185.7278106508876119th550.1115384615384185.7278106508876129th599.053846153846185.72781065088761314th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461319th60.68846153846153185.727810650887626th109.6307692307692118.2721893491124132nd158.573076923076928.33136094674557648th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958559th256.4576923076923185.7278106508876610th305.4208.213017751479379th354.3423076923077185.7278106508876811th403.28461538461534230.698224852071911th452.226923076923230.6982248520711011th501.16923076923075230.6982248520711112th550.1115384615384253.183431952662721213th599.053846153846275.66863905325441314th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th60.68846153846153253.1834319526627228th109.6307692307692163.2426035502958537th158.5730769230769140.7573964497041549th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876510th256.4576923076923208.2130177514793610th305.4208.2130177514793711th354.3423076923077230.698224852071810th403.28461538461534208.213017751479399th452.226923076923185.7278106508876108th501.16923076923075163.24260355029585119th550.1115384615384185.7278106508876129th599.053846153846185.727810650887613Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Ezekiel Elliott RB
2.13 27 Russell Wilson K QB
3.02 30 Eric Decker WR
4.13 55 Rashad Jennings RB
5.02 58 Tyler Lockett WR
6.13 83 Isaiah Crowell RB
7.02 86 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
8.13 111 DeAndre Washington RB
9.02 114 Jordan Reed K TE
10.13 139 Mohamed Sanu WR
11.02 142 Kansas City DEF
12.13 167 Wendell Smallwood RB
13.02 170 Jaelen Strong WR
14.13 195 Paul Perkins RB
15.02 198 Brock Osweiler QB
16.13 223 Josh Brown K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.64357.06982248520710596.7409525965212820.94389.4958579881656875.9675450686320230.625121.9218934911242897.9542015401770240.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.591251.62603550295853100.343158322879580.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.12124.64378698224852132.8231750741126410.00057.06982248520710552.25113596227332420.00089.4958579881656810.70432090649481430.000121.9218934911242854.6776338495848140.181154.34792899408282128.7326863712503450.158186.7739644970414130.2823135568663760.094219.2134.7221085642033270.000251.6260355029585359.45554741498976680.509284.0520710059171106.0133568183624190.869316.478106508875781.08656059114674100.410348.9041420118343112.85279912163486110.672381.3301775147928794.6749487600911120.197413.75621301775146127.6191326789072913Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231959.41301775147929593.3017751479289921393.1704142011834272.038126.9278106508875898.6272189349112440160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692378261.957396449704198.6272189349112480295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.655621301775145141.230769230769231059.41301775147929545.3727810650887452093.170414201183422.769230769230773630126.9278106508875856.0236686390532443160.6852071005917125.2544378698224853194.44260355029584125.2544378698224861228.2135.9053254437869870261.957396449704156.0236686390532487295.7147928994083103.95266272189349910329.4721893491123487.97633136094674107363.2295857988165103.952662721893491110396.986982248520787.97633136094674123430.74437869822486125.2544378698224813All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2016 Allen 4-9 13th 96.47 0.462 20.34
1 994 2021 Mike R. 4-10 11th 96.70 0.465 20.66
2 988 2016 Babel 7-6 6th 96.71 0.465 17.09 6th place
3 977 2015 Mike R. 8-5 4th 93.10 0.463 16.62 6th place
4 975 2016 Matt 5-8 10th 96.11 0.460 29.06
5 972 2020 Scott 7-6 8th 95.08 0.453 18.15
6 971 2019 Dave 6-7 10th 96.85 0.453 24.14
7 970 2010 Rob 6-7 7th 92.49 0.456 20.45
8 968 2018 Rabbit 7-6 7th 103.78 0.462 19.18
9 968 2020 Rabbit 6-7 10th 99.67 0.471 21.92
10 968 2019 Ed 5-8 11th 97.34 0.454 26.02