2011 Pat

5-8 (0.385), 1,142.78 points

11th place

4.66 expected wins (0.358)

43-100 all-play record (0.301)

+7.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 L 48.73 93.93 Ed -45.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 90.89 72.51 Matt 18.38
9 L 102.28 107.15 Pulley -4.87
10 L 52.13 112.20 Mike R. -60.07 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 109.79 83.90 Kevin 25.89
12 W 116.01 80.64 Mike R. 35.37
13 L 82.66 126.85 Rabbit -44.19 Slapped Heartbeat

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.23076923076923427.3%212.780219780219871.9999999999999950.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.1%28.71428571428572141.0802673081620400.8%65.52747252747253139.2119752383265414.4%102.34065934065934130.01296589565203213.4%139.15384615384613107.35341107414828324.2%175.9670329670329679.8773411629139240.0%212.78021978021982.769230769230745519.3%249.593406593406692.4162247332828368.3%286.4065934065934120.3375437874745772.0%323.2197802197802136.1795735020885780.2%360.032967032967140.6418509958073290.0%396.8461538461538141.20899706351003100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307692307692313Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th60.6884615384615385.5664335664335724th109.630769230769285.5664335664335737th158.5730769230769165.2867132867133411th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196511th256.4576923076923271.5804195804196611th305.4271.5804195804196711th354.3423076923077271.5804195804196812th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923298.153846153846131011th501.16923076923075271.58041958041961111th550.1115384615384271.58041958041961211th599.053846153846271.5804195804196133rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th60.6884615384615385.5664335664335723rd109.630769230769258.99300699300701536th158.5730769230769138.71328671328675410th207.5153846153846245.006993006993511th256.4576923076923271.5804195804196612th305.4298.15384615384613712th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613812th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923298.153846153846131011th501.16923076923075271.58041958041961110th550.1115384615384245.0069930069931211th599.053846153846271.5804195804196133rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th60.6884615384615385.5664335664335725th109.6307692307692112.1398601398601637th158.5730769230769165.2867132867133411th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196511th256.4576923076923271.5804195804196612th305.4298.15384615384613712th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613812th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923298.153846153846131012th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131111th550.1115384615384271.58041958041961212th599.053846153846298.1538461538461313Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice K RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.78824.6437869822485284.0208787546134810.00057.069822485207105136.892295555137920.37289.49585798816568111.9154820185242330.000121.92189349112428136.892295555137940.000154.34792899408282136.892295555137950.000186.7739644970414136.892295555137960.000219.2136.892295555137970.324251.62603550295853115.1518724524586380.000284.0520710059171136.892295555137990.000316.4781065088757136.8922955551379100.654348.904142011834393.02552968984591110.747381.3301775147928786.77291143653048120.000413.75621301775146136.8922955551379130.00024.6437869822485231.14946195408903410.56557.06982248520710599.0359690671526520.00089.4958579881656886.9386684819105530.519121.92189349112428102.085221278716694-0.031154.34792899408282138.9954836085875650.060186.7739644970414132.841938531821146-0.032219.2139.0615323929535570.000251.6260355029585393.4114493497793680.518284.0520710059171102.18429445526579-0.027316.4781065088757138.7092722096682100.000348.904142011834349.158763824553915110.000381.3301775147928736.653527317923036120.202413.75621301775146123.3639379752989713Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213925.65562130177514584.587412587412591059.413017751479295141.230769230769232393.17041420118342122.3496503496503530126.92781065088758141.2307692307692340160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692374261.9573964497041116.0559440559440580295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923108363.229585798816590.88111888111888117396.986982248520797.17482517482517120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.65562130177514527.9440559440559471359.413017751479295122.349650349650352093.17041420118342103.4685314685314734126.92781065088758116.0559440559440540160.6852071005917141.2307692307692351194.44260355029584134.9370629370629360228.2141.2307692307692370261.957396449704190.881118881118984295.7147928994083116.0559440559440590329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.229585798816540.53146853146853110396.986982248520753.11888111888112120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 5-8 11th 87.91 0.358 24.21
1 982 2009 Pulley 4-9 12th 88.20 0.355 19.15
2 975 2014 Allen 6-7 10th 88.24 0.363 16.78
3 971 2010 Pat 3-10 12th 84.05 0.355 20.89
4 970 2016 Pat 7-6 7th 88.96 0.363 16.09
5 968 2013 Derrek 7-6 7th 88.08 0.374 23.77
6 967 2023 Derrek 5-9 12th 89.17 0.350 18.70
7 965 2019 Rob 5-8 13th 91.04 0.362 16.28
8 965 2011 Pulley 5-8 10th 90.96 0.352 18.62
9 958 2016 Derrek 3-10 14th 88.82 0.349 14.97
10 957 2014 Schertz 5-8 13th 87.26 0.345 16.95