2011 Pat

5-8 (0.385), 1,142.78 points (87.91 average)

11th place

4.65 expected wins (0.358)

43-100 all-play record (0.301)

+7.0% strength of schedule

Blingapower Ranking: 11th

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 L 48.73 93.93 Ed -45.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 90.89 72.51 Matt 18.38
9 L 102.28 107.15 Pulley -4.87
10 L 52.13 112.20 Mike R. -60.07 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 109.79 83.90 Kevin 25.89
12 W 116.01 80.64 Mike R. 35.37
13 L 82.66 126.85 Rabbit -44.19 Slapped Heartbeat

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.23076923076923427.4%212.780219780219872.050.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.1%28.71428571428572141.087213050297800.8%65.52747252747253139.242550349384514.5%102.34065934065934129.95987968253615213.6%139.15384615384613106.91405975853769324.6%175.9670329670329679.2168653109379840.0%212.78021978021982.7692307692307736519.0%249.593406593406693.2488789856982868.0%286.4065934065934121.115862218305371.9%323.2197802197802136.4580476410962180.2%360.032967032967140.6771790238863790.0%396.8461538461538141.20944214145015100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307692307692313Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th60.6884615384615385.5664335664335725th109.6307692307692112.1398601398601637th158.5730769230769165.2867132867133411th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196511th256.4576923076923271.5804195804196611th305.4271.5804195804196711th354.3423076923077271.5804195804196812th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923298.153846153846131011th501.16923076923075271.58041958041961111th550.1115384615384271.58041958041961211th599.053846153846271.5804195804196133rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th60.6884615384615385.5664335664335723rd109.630769230769258.99300699300701536th158.5730769230769138.71328671328675410th207.5153846153846245.006993006993511th256.4576923076923271.5804195804196612th305.4298.15384615384613712th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613812th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923298.153846153846131011th501.16923076923075271.58041958041961110th550.1115384615384245.0069930069931211th599.053846153846271.5804195804196133rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th60.6884615384615385.5664335664335725th109.6307692307692112.1398601398601637th158.5730769230769165.2867132867133411th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196511th256.4576923076923271.5804195804196612th305.4298.15384615384613712th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613812th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923298.153846153846131012th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131111th550.1115384615384271.58041958041961212th599.053846153846298.1538461538461313Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice K RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.80324.6437869822485283.0650097895350710.00057.069822485207105136.9273298152865320.34989.49585798816568113.5186924351373530.000121.92189349112428136.9273298152865340.000154.34792899408282136.9273298152865350.000186.7739644970414136.9273298152865360.000219.2136.9273298152865370.309251.62603550295853116.2219018632282480.000284.0520710059171136.9273298152865390.000316.4781065088757136.92732981528653100.657348.904142011834392.82311833220548110.761381.3301775147928785.88323508667051120.000413.75621301775146136.92732981528653130.00024.6437869822485229.2026897637836110.56057.06982248520710599.3852870478608120.00089.4958579881656890.110055054988230.513121.92189349112428102.487833644077814-0.029154.34792899408282138.8664470464143550.066186.7739644970414132.488182924368636-0.032219.2139.079049523027970.000251.6260355029585395.5164739111699580.510284.0520710059171102.735518980671479-0.019316.4781065088757138.17450536583215100.000348.904142011834348.71890684912444110.000381.3301775147928734.83914035805451120.201413.75621301775146123.4150271009956313Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213925.65562130177514584.587412587412591059.413017751479295141.230769230769232393.17041420118342122.3496503496503530126.92781065088758141.2307692307692340160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692374261.9573964497041116.0559440559440580295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923108363.229585798816590.88111888111888117396.986982248520797.17482517482517120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.65562130177514527.9440559440559471359.413017751479295122.349650349650352093.17041420118342103.4685314685314734126.92781065088758116.0559440559440540160.6852071005917141.2307692307692351194.44260355029584134.9370629370629360228.2141.2307692307692370261.957396449704190.881118881118984295.7147928994083116.0559440559440590329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.229585798816540.53146853146853110396.986982248520753.11888111888112120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 5-8 11th 87.91 0.358 24.21
1 973 2023 Derrek 5-9 12th 89.17 0.352 18.70
2 969 2014 Allen 6-7 10th 88.24 0.365 16.78
3 969 2019 Rob 5-8 13th 91.04 0.359 16.28
4 967 2014 Schertz 5-8 13th 87.26 0.350 16.95
5 967 2009 Pulley 4-9 12th 88.20 0.347 19.15
6 967 2010 Pat 3-10 12th 84.05 0.352 20.89
7 966 2016 Pat 7-6 7th 88.96 0.364 16.09
8 966 2011 Pulley 5-8 10th 90.96 0.352 18.62
9 965 2013 Derrek 7-6 7th 88.08 0.374 23.77
10 965 2016 Derrek 3-10 14th 88.82 0.351 14.97