2011 Pat

5-8 (0.385), 1,142.78 points (87.91 average)

11th place

4.65 expected wins (0.358)

43-100 all-play record (0.301)

+7.0% strength of schedule

Blingapower Ranking: 11th

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 L 48.73 93.93 Ed -45.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 90.89 72.51 Matt 18.38
9 L 102.28 107.15 Pulley -4.87
10 L 52.13 112.20 Mike R. -60.07 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 109.79 83.90 Kevin 25.89
12 W 116.01 80.64 Mike R. 35.37
13 L 82.66 126.85 Rabbit -44.19 Slapped Heartbeat

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%39.42857142857143141.2307692307692300.0%89.97802197802199141.2307692307692310.0%140.5274725274725141.2307692307692320.0%191.07692307692307141.2307692307692330.0%241.6263736263736141.23076923076923427.4%292.175824175824272.050.0%342.7252747252747141.2307692307692360.0%393.27472527472526141.2307692307692370.0%443.8241758241758141.2307692307692380.0%494.3736263736264141.2307692307692390.0%544.9230769230769141.23076923076923100.0%595.4725274725274141.23076923076923110.0%646.0219780219779141.23076923076923120.0%696.5714285714286141.23076923076923130.1%39.42857142857143141.0872123844537800.8%89.97802197802199139.2425442517251814.5%140.5274725274725129.95986013367548213.6%191.07692307692307106.91403437654665324.6%241.626373626373679.216856358120140.0%292.17582417582422.7692307692307736519.0%342.725274725274793.2488615138151768.0%393.27472527472526121.1158360736493571.9%443.8241758241758136.4580339227219480.2%494.3736263736264140.6771760709730290.0%544.9230769230769141.20944192690257100.0%595.4725274725274141.23076923076923110.0%646.0219780219779141.23076923076923120.0%696.5714285714286141.2307692307692313Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th60.6884615384615385.5664335664335725th109.6307692307692112.1398601398601637th158.5730769230769165.2867132867133411th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196511th256.4576923076923271.5804195804196611th305.4271.5804195804196711th354.3423076923077271.5804195804196812th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923298.153846153846131011th501.16923076923075271.58041958041961111th550.1115384615384271.58041958041961211th599.053846153846271.5804195804196133rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th60.6884615384615385.5664335664335723rd109.630769230769258.99300699300701536th158.5730769230769138.71328671328675410th207.5153846153846245.006993006993511th256.4576923076923271.5804195804196612th305.4298.15384615384613712th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613812th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923298.153846153846131011th501.16923076923075271.58041958041961110th550.1115384615384245.0069930069931211th599.053846153846271.5804195804196133rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th60.6884615384615385.5664335664335725th109.6307692307692112.1398601398601637th158.5730769230769165.2867132867133411th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196511th256.4576923076923271.5804195804196612th305.4298.15384615384613712th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613812th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923298.153846153846131012th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131111th550.1115384615384271.58041958041961212th599.053846153846298.1538461538461313Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice K RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.80335.8863905325443883.0650425423610710.00083.105325443787136.9273581597208820.349130.3242603550296113.5186552825389430.000177.54319526627222136.9273581597208840.000224.76213017751482136.9273581597208850.000271.9810650887574136.9273581597208860.000319.2136.9273581597208870.309366.41893491124256116.2218781078461280.000413.6378698224852136.9273581597208890.000460.85680473372776136.92735815972088100.657508.0757396449704492.82317650468241110.761555.29467455621385.88329686050895120.000602.5136094674556136.92735815972088130.00035.8863905325443829.20272692500125810.56083.10532544378799.3853383524196220.000130.324260355029690.10995240535730.513177.54319526627222102.487866792576434-0.029224.76213017751482138.8664642365295750.066271.9810650887574132.488178487196826-0.032319.2139.0790636952450570.000366.4189349112425695.5163980559713780.510413.6378698224852102.735548613269919-0.019460.85680473372776138.1745323780786100.000508.0757396449704448.71899484964392110.000555.29467455621334.83923556129703120.201602.5136094674556123.4150392905988613Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213936.89822485207184.587412587412591085.44852071005917141.2307692307692323133.99881656804732122.3496503496503530182.5491124260355141.2307692307692340231.09940828402367141.2307692307692350279.6497041420119141.2307692307692360328.20000000000005141.2307692307692374376.75029585798814116.0559440559440580425.30059171597634141.2307692307692390473.8508875739645141.23076923076923108522.401183431952690.88111888111888117570.951479289940897.17482517482517120619.501775147929141.2307692307692313036.89822485207127.9440559440559471385.44852071005917122.3496503496503520133.99881656804732103.4685314685314734182.5491124260355116.0559440559440540231.09940828402367141.2307692307692351279.6497041420119134.9370629370629360328.20000000000005141.2307692307692370376.7502958579881490.881118881118984425.30059171597634116.0559440559440590473.8508875739645141.23076923076923100522.401183431952640.53146853146853110570.951479289940853.11888111888112120619.501775147929141.2307692307692313All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 5-8 11th 87.91 0.358 24.21
1 974 2023 Derrek 5-9 12th 89.17 0.353 18.70
2 969 2014 Allen 6-7 10th 88.24 0.365 16.78
3 969 2019 Rob 5-8 13th 91.04 0.359 16.28
4 967 2014 Schertz 5-8 13th 87.26 0.350 16.95
5 967 2009 Pulley 4-9 12th 88.20 0.347 19.15
6 967 2010 Pat 3-10 12th 84.05 0.352 20.89
7 966 2016 Pat 7-6 7th 88.96 0.364 16.09
8 966 2011 Pulley 5-8 10th 90.96 0.352 18.62
9 965 2013 Derrek 7-6 7th 88.08 0.374 23.77
10 965 2016 Derrek 3-10 14th 88.82 0.351 14.97