2011 Pat

5-8 (0.385), 1,142.78 points (87.91 average)

11th place

4.65 expected wins (0.358)

43-100 all-play record (0.301)

+7.0% strength of schedule

Blingapower Ranking: 11th

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 L 48.73 93.93 Ed -45.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 90.89 72.51 Matt 18.38
9 L 102.28 107.15 Pulley -4.87
10 L 52.13 112.20 Mike R. -60.07 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 109.79 83.90 Kevin 25.89
12 W 116.01 80.64 Mike R. 35.37
13 L 82.66 126.85 Rabbit -44.19 Slapped Heartbeat

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%39.42857142857143141.2307692307692300.0%89.97802197802199141.2307692307692310.0%140.5274725274725141.2307692307692320.0%191.07692307692307141.2307692307692330.0%241.6263736263736141.23076923076923427.4%292.175824175824272.050.0%342.7252747252747141.2307692307692360.0%393.27472527472526141.2307692307692370.0%443.8241758241758141.2307692307692380.0%494.3736263736264141.2307692307692390.0%544.9230769230769141.23076923076923100.0%595.4725274725274141.23076923076923110.0%646.0219780219779141.23076923076923120.0%696.5714285714286141.23076923076923130.1%39.42857142857143141.0872119657611800.8%89.97802197802199139.2425410717235614.5%140.5274725274725129.95985217037122213.6%191.07692307692307106.91402759134789324.6%241.626373626373679.2168570164434140.0%292.17582417582422.7692307692307736519.0%342.725274725274793.248853530363168.0%393.27472527472526121.1158270254726771.9%443.8241758241758136.45802988549680.2%494.3736263736264140.6771753002889290.0%544.9230769230769141.20944188298563100.0%595.4725274725274141.23076923076923110.0%646.0219780219779141.23076923076923120.0%696.5714285714286141.2307692307692313Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th60.6884615384615385.5664335664335725th109.6307692307692112.1398601398601637th158.5730769230769165.2867132867133411th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196511th256.4576923076923271.5804195804196611th305.4271.5804195804196711th354.3423076923077271.5804195804196812th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923298.153846153846131011th501.16923076923075271.58041958041961111th550.1115384615384271.58041958041961211th599.053846153846271.5804195804196133rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th60.6884615384615385.5664335664335723rd109.630769230769258.99300699300701536th158.5730769230769138.71328671328675410th207.5153846153846245.006993006993511th256.4576923076923271.5804195804196612th305.4298.15384615384613712th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613812th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923298.153846153846131011th501.16923076923075271.58041958041961110th550.1115384615384245.0069930069931211th599.053846153846271.5804195804196133rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th60.6884615384615385.5664335664335725th109.6307692307692112.1398601398601637th158.5730769230769165.2867132867133411th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196511th256.4576923076923271.5804195804196612th305.4298.15384615384613712th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613812th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923298.153846153846131012th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131111th550.1115384615384271.58041958041961212th599.053846153846298.1538461538461313Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice Kx2 RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.80335.8863905325443883.0650777767144710.00083.105325443787136.927351872494120.349130.3242603550296113.5186361505411430.000177.54319526627222136.927351872494140.000224.76213017751482136.927351872494150.000271.9810650887574136.927351872494160.000319.2136.927351872494170.309366.41893491124256116.2218900388176380.000413.6378698224852136.927351872494190.000460.85680473372776136.9273518724941100.657508.0757396449704492.82317487396045110.761555.29467455621385.88331876891479120.000602.5136094674556136.9273518724941130.00035.8863905325443829.20280368093483510.56083.10532544378799.3853172813642520.000130.324260355029690.1099204285881730.513177.54319526627222102.487846567042944-0.029224.76213017751482138.866463399933450.066271.9810650887574132.488169211214146-0.032319.2139.0790605516316770.000366.4189349112425695.5164282051411480.510413.6378698224852102.735525700023899-0.019460.85680473372776138.17453904996214100.000508.0757396449704448.71899787542681110.000555.29467455621334.83928566533547120.201602.5136094674556123.4150163058337213Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213936.89822485207184.587412587412591085.44852071005917141.2307692307692323133.99881656804732122.3496503496503530182.5491124260355141.2307692307692340231.09940828402367141.2307692307692350279.6497041420119141.2307692307692360328.20000000000005141.2307692307692374376.75029585798814116.0559440559440580425.30059171597634141.2307692307692390473.8508875739645141.23076923076923108522.401183431952690.88111888111888117570.951479289940897.17482517482517120619.501775147929141.2307692307692313036.89822485207127.9440559440559471385.44852071005917122.3496503496503520133.99881656804732103.4685314685314734182.5491124260355116.0559440559440540231.09940828402367141.2307692307692351279.6497041420119134.9370629370629360328.20000000000005141.2307692307692370376.7502958579881490.881118881118984425.30059171597634116.0559440559440590473.8508875739645141.23076923076923100522.401183431952640.53146853146853110570.951479289940853.11888111888112120619.501775147929141.2307692307692313All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 5-8 11th 87.91 0.358 24.21
1 973 2023 Derrek 5-9 12th 89.17 0.352 18.70
2 969 2014 Allen 6-7 10th 88.24 0.365 16.78
3 969 2019 Rob 5-8 13th 91.04 0.359 16.28
4 967 2014 Schertz 5-8 13th 87.26 0.350 16.95
5 967 2009 Pulley 4-9 12th 88.20 0.347 19.15
6 967 2010 Pat 3-10 12th 84.05 0.352 20.89
7 966 2016 Pat 7-6 7th 88.96 0.364 16.09
8 966 2011 Pulley 5-8 10th 90.96 0.352 18.62
9 965 2013 Derrek 7-6 7th 88.08 0.374 23.77
10 965 2016 Derrek 3-10 14th 88.82 0.351 14.97