2011 Pat (through 6 weeks)

2-4 (0.333), 540.29 points

11th place

2.07 expected wins (0.346)

20-46 all-play record (0.303)

+25.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 Ed
8 Matt
9 Pulley
10 Mike R.
11 Kevin
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%47.120879120879124141.2307692307692300.0%120.74725274725276141.23076923076923139.0%194.373626373626472.020.0%268.0141.2307692307692330.0%341.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%415.2527472527472141.2307692307692350.0%488.8791208791208141.2307692307692363.8%47.120879120879124134.4923199114277021.7%120.74725274725276102.8250033855994610.0%194.37362637362642.7692307692307736228.2%268.091.3059870235189237.2%341.6263736263736128.5039579999773640.2%415.2527472527472140.9144953620681250.0%488.8791208791208141.230769230769236Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th129.207692307692385.5664335664335724th246.6692307692307585.5664335664335737th364.1307692307692165.2867132867133411th481.59230769230766271.5804195804196511th599.053846153846271.580419580419663rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th129.207692307692385.5664335664335723rd246.6692307692307558.99300699300701536th364.1307692307692138.71328671328675410th481.59230769230766245.006993006993511th599.053846153846271.580419580419663rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th129.207692307692385.5664335664335725th246.66923076923075112.1398601398601637th364.1307692307692165.2867132867133411th481.59230769230766271.5804195804196511th599.053846153846271.58041958041966Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice K RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.75543.5589743589743683.7190893256414310.000113.8153846153846132.810564415510620.339184.07179487179485110.7647836345443630.000254.32820512820513132.810564415510640.000324.58461538461535132.810564415510650.000394.8410256410256132.810564415510660.00043.5589743589743634.62761423577225610.531113.815384615384698.2772294350903620.000184.0717948717948588.719002853578130.486254.32820512820513101.233684574619224-0.065324.58461538461535137.0206668231399250.027394.8410256410256131.054390927845256Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456945.34743589743588684.5874125874125910118.48846153846152141.2307692307692323191.62948717948714122.3496503496503530264.7705128205128141.2307692307692340337.9115384615384141.2307692307692350411.05256410256413141.230769230769236045.34743589743588627.94405594405594713118.48846153846152122.3496503496503520191.62948717948714103.4685314685314734264.7705128205128116.0559440559440540337.9115384615384141.2307692307692351411.05256410256413134.937062937062936All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 2-4 11th 90.05 0.346 23.32 5-8 11th
1 967 2013 Derrek 4-2 6th 90.18 0.359 20.52 7-6 7th
2 964 2019 Babel 3-3 11th 91.30 0.340 13.41 8-5 5th 5th place
3 960 2023 Derrek 2-4 11th 89.64 0.357 15.27 5-9 12th
4 958 2019 Richie 2-4 13th 90.84 0.331 18.71 5-8 12th
5 948 2014 Pat 3-3 8th 89.54 0.361 14.33 5-8 11th
6 948 2012 Dave 3-3 9th 88.67 0.367 21.91 6-7 7th
7 946 2017 Pat 1-5 14th 81.76 0.345 13.10 6-7 7th
8 943 2022 Mike R. 3-3 9th 88.09 0.356 9.27 9-5 2nd Blingabowl XV champion
9 942 2024 Derrek 2-4 11th 88.49 0.371 23.30 4-10 14th
10 941 2014 Derrek 1-5 14th 83.50 0.333 27.12 5-8 12th