2011 Pat (through 6 weeks)

2-4 (0.333), 540.29 points (90.05 average)

11th place

2.06 expected wins (0.344)

20-46 all-play record (0.303)

+25.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 Ed
8 Matt
9 Pulley
10 Mike R.
11 Kevin
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%47.120879120879124141.2307692307692300.0%120.74725274725276141.23076923076923139.4%194.373626373626472.020.0%268.0141.2307692307692330.0%341.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%415.2527472527472141.2307692307692350.0%488.8791208791208141.2307692307692363.8%47.120879120879124134.63760242999075022.0%120.74725274725276102.5254130050031210.0%194.37362637362642.7692307692307736227.7%268.092.5363838241922636.8%341.6263736263736129.232614204982340.2%415.2527472527472140.8768610918870450.0%488.8791208791208141.230769230769236Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th129.207692307692385.5664335664335725th246.66923076923075112.1398601398601637th364.1307692307692165.2867132867133411th481.59230769230766271.5804195804196511th599.053846153846271.580419580419663rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th129.207692307692385.5664335664335723rd246.6692307692307558.99300699300701536th364.1307692307692138.71328671328675410th481.59230769230766245.006993006993511th599.053846153846271.580419580419663rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th129.207692307692385.5664335664335725th246.66923076923075112.1398601398601637th364.1307692307692165.2867132867133411th481.59230769230766271.5804195804196511th599.053846153846271.58041958041966Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice K RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.77043.5589743589743682.9573135031037310.000113.8153846153846133.117066422397620.316184.07179487179485112.5460722045812630.000254.32820512820513133.117066422397640.000324.58461538461535133.117066422397650.000394.8410256410256133.117066422397660.00043.5589743589743632.79756058380985510.526113.815384615384698.8140737956900620.000184.0717948717948591.9750779867649330.480254.32820512820513101.828504058980784-0.062324.58461538461535137.1739178265834250.033394.8410256410256130.976804648589626Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456945.34743589743588684.5874125874125910118.48846153846152141.2307692307692323191.62948717948714122.3496503496503530264.7705128205128141.2307692307692340337.9115384615384141.2307692307692350411.05256410256413141.230769230769236045.34743589743588627.94405594405594713118.48846153846152122.3496503496503520191.62948717948714103.4685314685314734264.7705128205128116.0559440559440540337.9115384615384141.2307692307692351411.05256410256413134.937062937062936All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 2-4 11th 90.05 0.344 23.32 5-8 11th
1 965 2019 Richie 2-4 13th 90.84 0.332 18.71 5-8 12th
2 963 2019 Babel 3-3 11th 91.30 0.338 13.41 8-5 5th 5th place
3 958 2013 Derrek 4-2 6th 90.18 0.361 20.52 7-6 7th
4 954 2013 Rabbit 1-5 13th 87.75 0.326 22.98 5-8 11th
5 953 2023 Derrek 2-4 11th 89.64 0.358 15.27 5-9 12th
6 948 2008 Mike R. 1-5 12th 84.82 0.358 22.27 5-8 8th
7 947 2012 Dave 3-3 9th 88.67 0.366 21.91 6-7 7th
8 943 2024 Derrek 2-4 11th 88.49 0.369 23.30 4-10 14th
9 939 2017 Pat 1-5 14th 81.76 0.347 13.10 6-7 7th
10 937 2022 Mike R. 3-3 9th 88.09 0.357 9.27 9-5 2nd Blingabowl XV champion