2012 Pat

5-8 (0.385), 997.63 points

11th place

3.97 expected wins (0.305)

49-120 all-play record (0.290)

-12.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 100.04 119.79 Mike R. -19.75
2 L 108.53 147.72 Allen -39.19
3 L 64.41 71.75 Rob -7.34
4 W 65.51 57.72 Schertz 7.79
5 W 107.02 54.78 Dave 52.24
6 W 105.34 76.03 Richie 29.31
7 L 41.41 97.03 Derrek -55.62 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 67.19 103.07 Pulley -35.88
9 L 83.66 114.71 Ed -31.05
10 W 76.97 43.52 Kevin 33.45
11 L 30.13 155.23 Matt -125.10 Slapped Heartbeat
12 W 98.24 84.83 Babel 13.41
13 L 49.18 71.14 Rabbit -21.96 Slapped Heartbeat

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.23076923076923421.5%212.780219780219889.54659378022850.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.3%28.71428571428572140.5592266695862802.7%65.52747252747253134.73392418023457110.8%102.34065934065934115.27729646863513223.1%139.1538461538461385.70720712324865328.8%175.9670329670329672.040.0%212.780219780219837.86241832968677659.7%249.5934065934066118.0179444933785462.6%286.4065934065934134.9085550078200470.4%323.2197802197802140.1751053827320680.0%360.032967032967141.1220556207627290.0%396.8461538461538141.2239388201093100.0%433.6593406593406141.23051743004828110.0%470.4725274725274141.2307642674515120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307691905841713Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958516th60.68846153846153118.2721893491124129th109.6307692307692185.7278106508876311th158.5730769230769230.698224852071410th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793511th256.4576923076923230.698224852071612th305.4253.18343195266272712th354.3423076923077253.18343195266272813th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544912th452.226923076923253.183431952662721013th501.16923076923075275.66863905325441113th550.1115384615384275.66863905325441213th599.053846153846275.66863905325441310th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th60.68846153846153253.18343195266272213th109.6307692307692275.6686390532544312th158.5730769230769253.1834319526627249th207.5153846153846185.727810650887658th256.4576923076923163.24260355029585610th305.4208.2130177514793711th354.3423076923077230.698224852071811th403.28461538461534230.698224852071910th452.226923076923208.21301775147931010th501.16923076923075208.2130177514793119th550.1115384615384185.72781065088761211th599.053846153846230.698224852071138th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958517th60.68846153846153140.75739644970415210th109.6307692307692208.2130177514793312th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272411th207.5153846153846230.698224852071511th256.4576923076923230.698224852071612th305.4253.18343195266272713th354.3423076923077275.6686390532544813th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544913th452.226923076923275.66863905325441014th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131114th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131214th599.053846153846298.1538461538461313Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
  • Pick 7.11 - from Rob
  • Pick 8.04 - from Rob
  • Pick 6.14 - to Rob
  • Pick 8.14 - to Rob
9

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Ray Rice RB
2.14 28 Reggie Bush RB
3.01 29 Hakeem Nicks WR
4.14 56 Isaac Redman RB
5.01 57 Matt Schaub QB
7.01 85 Sidney Rice WR
7.11 95 Greg Little WR
8.04 102 Anquan Boldin WR
9.01 113 Jay Cutler K QB
10.14 140 Pittsburgh DEF
11.01 141 Dustin Keller K TE
12.14 168 Brandon LaFell WR
13.01 169 Joe McKnight RB
14.14 196 Nate Kaeding K
15.01 197 Dallas Clark TE
16.14 224 Ryan Tannehill QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.092121.92189349112428134.829034821938540.680154.3479289940828294.1792545300045650.647186.773964497041496.4634608030486660.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.198316.4781065088757127.53321180057378100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.521381.33017751479287105.16844590330625120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.54924.64378698224852103.2251659396717110.70257.06982248520710592.6564503479751820.08589.49585798816568135.329060075739230.000121.92189349112428128.427300413107840.000154.3479289940828247.127739829239950.000186.773964497041451.696152375328160.033219.2138.965607376107970.104251.62603550295853134.0108116793555380.286284.0520710059171121.3965382312015990.000316.4781065088757113.83565437037835100.031348.9041420118343139.05652105861714110.000381.3301775147928769.10612257584327120.040413.75621301775146138.4883105429345313Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.2307692307692332126.92781065088758130.5798816568047349160.685207100591793.3017751479289958194.4426035502958498.6272189349112460228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692393329.47218934911234125.25443786982248100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923115396.9869822485207114.60355029585799120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313625.655621301775145109.2781065088757411059.41301775147929587.976331360946742193.17041420118342135.9053254437869830126.92781065088758119.9289940828402340160.685207100591745.37278106508874550194.4426035502958456.0236686390532460228.2141.2307692307692371261.9573964497041135.9053254437869884295.7147928994083119.9289940828402390329.47218934911234109.27810650887574100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923110396.986982248520787.97633136094674120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2012 Pat 5-8 11th 76.74 0.305 25.34
1 962 2012 Richie 1-12 14th 81.09 0.302 18.28
2 947 2021 Rob 2-12 14th 85.06 0.304 16.62
3 937 2024 Pulley 4-10 13th 86.93 0.305 14.80
4 935 2015 Allen 4-9 13th 78.11 0.281 20.25
5 933 2013 Allen 4-9 14th 80.89 0.290 15.65
6 931 2015 Kevin 3-10 14th 81.06 0.290 14.59
7 925 2024 Derrek 4-10 14th 84.99 0.291 18.66
8 923 2022 Pulley 7-7 8th 85.33 0.315 14.45
9 923 2008 Dave 5-8 11th 78.07 0.339 22.84
10 913 2023 Kevin 4-10 14th 87.18 0.321 18.57