2013 Pat

5-8 (0.385), 1,135.40 points

12th place

4.86 expected wins (0.374)

65-104 all-play record (0.385)

-8.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 91.71 131.44 Derrek -39.73
2 W 91.19 70.28 Dave 20.91
3 W 77.19 76.61 Babel 0.58
4 L 99.01 107.96 Matt -8.95
5 W 118.50 81.37 Allen 37.13
6 L 95.53 109.89 Pulley -14.36
7 L 55.91 85.61 Schertz -29.70 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 100.14 77.64 Rob 22.50
9 L 85.94 96.21 Ed -10.27
10 L 69.71 102.64 Mike R. -32.93
11 L 73.95 91.01 Kevin -17.06
12 W 106.27 102.03 Richie 4.24
13 L 70.35 91.24 Rabbit -20.89

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.23076923076923425.3%212.780219780219871.9999999999999950.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.1%28.71428571428572141.0453750642500700.9%65.52747252747253138.7716206711308514.7%102.34065934065934128.4564159500331213.1%139.15384615384613105.39110361876806322.6%175.9670329670329679.5626891682441640.0%212.78021978021982.769230769230745519.1%249.593406593406688.9618290772623869.8%286.4065934065934114.3948328441084273.4%323.2197802197802131.8902722805544380.8%360.032967032967139.0619759648296390.1%396.8461538461538140.90538291095393100.0%433.6593406593406141.2010377742563110.0%470.4725274725274141.22930074350361120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307403342083813Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272110th60.68846153846153208.2130177514793212th109.6307692307692253.18343195266272314th158.5730769230769298.15384615384613410th207.5153846153846208.213017751479359th256.4576923076923185.7278106508876611th305.4230.698224852071711th354.3423076923077230.698224852071811th403.28461538461534230.698224852071911th452.226923076923230.6982248520711011th501.16923076923075230.6982248520711111th550.1115384615384230.6982248520711212th599.053846153846253.183431952662721312th11.746153846153845253.1834319526627219th60.68846153846153185.727810650887627th109.6307692307692140.75739644970415311th158.5730769230769230.69822485207148th207.5153846153846163.24260355029585510th256.4576923076923208.2130177514793611th305.4230.69822485207178th354.3423076923077163.24260355029585810th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793912th452.226923076923253.183431952662721012th501.16923076923075253.183431952662721110th550.1115384615384208.21301775147931212th599.053846153846253.183431952662721312th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272110th60.68846153846153208.2130177514793212th109.6307692307692253.18343195266272314th158.5730769230769298.15384615384613410th207.5153846153846208.213017751479359th256.4576923076923185.7278106508876611th305.4230.698224852071711th354.3423076923077230.698224852071811th403.28461538461534230.698224852071911th452.226923076923230.6982248520711011th501.16923076923075230.6982248520711111th550.1115384615384230.6982248520711213th599.053846153846275.668639053254413Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Arian Foster RB
2.12 26 Drew Brees QB
3.03 31 Eddie Lacy RB
4.12 54 James Jones WR
5.03 59 Reggie Wayne K WR
6.12 82 Kyle Rudolph TE
7.03 87 Jay Cutler K QB
8.12 110 Michael Floyd WR
9.03 115 Isaac Redman RB
10.12 138 Kendall Wright WR
11.03 143 Jonathan Stewart RB
12.12 166 New England DEF
13.03 171 Johnathan Franklin RB
14.12 194 Phil Dawson K
15.03 199 Santana Moss WR
16.12 222 Ed Dickson TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.39957.069822485207105113.6071213497851220.20189.49585798816568127.3009947777360430.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.844154.3479289940828282.7760187688466850.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.550251.62603550295853103.1861404921660580.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.661381.3301775147928795.45847747888254120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.40924.64378698224852112.9366329412796410.00057.06982248520710585.9834734688010120.00089.49585798816568113.3712203247028330.532121.92189349112428104.4021109957268340.000154.3479289940828224.32126830692415450.477186.7739644970414108.1750288198593660.049219.2137.8356177384916470.000251.6260355029585365.1415117535628780.322284.0520710059171118.9483001972016590.124316.4781065088757132.67626625609353100.163348.9041420118343129.9715842014443110.000381.3301775147928749.68618572699587120.130413.75621301775146132.1989694229201313Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231559.413017751479295114.603550295857992493.17041420118342119.9289940828402330126.92781065088758141.23076923076923412160.685207100591777.3254437869822550194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692377261.9573964497041103.9526627218934980295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.2295857988165141.230769230769231111396.986982248520782.6508875739645120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313225.655621301775145130.579881656804731059.41301775147929587.976331360946742093.1704142011834298.6272189349112436126.92781065088758109.2781065088757440160.685207100591713.4201183431952758194.4426035502958498.6272189349112460228.2141.2307692307692370261.957396449704166.6745562130177583295.7147928994083125.2544378698224893329.47218934911234125.25443786982248102363.2295857988165130.57988165680473110396.986982248520724.071005917159752122430.74437869822486130.5798816568047313All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2013 Pat 5-8 12th 87.34 0.374 16.65
1 988 2017 Matt 5-8 11th 86.79 0.379 16.42
2 983 2016 Mike R. 5-8 11th 90.17 0.376 15.90
3 982 2013 Derrek 7-6 7th 88.08 0.374 23.77
4 980 2012 Kevin 5-8 10th 85.92 0.376 21.90
5 976 2008 Matt 3-10 12th 83.56 0.376 19.42
6 974 2010 Allen 7-6 6th 85.16 0.377 22.29 4th place
7 974 2014 Allen 6-7 10th 88.24 0.363 16.78
8 970 2016 Pat 7-6 7th 88.96 0.363 16.09
9 967 2012 Pulley 4-9 12th 88.56 0.385 13.78
10 965 2015 Pat 6-7 9th 86.31 0.384 22.32