2014 Pat

5-8 (0.385), 1,181.86 points

11th place

5.37 expected wins (0.413)

73-96 all-play record (0.432)

+1.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.15 62.19 Mike R. 40.96
2 W 107.21 100.70 Richie 6.51
3 L 84.31 147.33 Pulley -63.02
4 L 97.37 124.36 Derrek -26.99
5 W 78.58 72.85 Kevin 5.73
6 L 66.61 111.37 Matt -44.76
7 L 81.67 111.64 Rob -29.97
8 L 118.22 151.00 Babel -32.78
9 L 51.98 93.61 Ed -41.63 Slapped Heartbeat
10 W 110.01 82.61 Schertz 27.40
11 L 103.77 106.37 Dave -2.60
12 W 108.16 69.67 Allen 38.49
13 L 70.82 79.55 Rabbit -8.73

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.23076923076923425.5%212.780219780219872.050.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.1723233366833800.3%65.52747252747253140.328499813681412.2%102.34065934065934135.3520389486901627.9%139.15384615384613119.88044041566135317.7%175.9670329670329693.351895818291940.0%212.78021978021982.7692307692307736524.1%249.593406593406675.81158658571341614.8%286.4065934065934101.0512673283478275.8%323.2197802197802125.481044255891481.4%360.032967032967137.398764738887890.2%396.8461538461538140.67811507149997100.0%433.6593406593406141.1873209941642110.0%470.4725274725274141.22919432523565120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307527778064613Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th60.6884615384615395.786982248520726th109.6307692307692118.2721893491124138th158.5730769230769163.2426035502958549th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876512th256.4576923076923253.18343195266272612th305.4253.18343195266272710th354.3423076923077208.2130177514793813th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544910th452.226923076923208.2130177514793109th501.16923076923075185.7278106508876119th550.1115384615384185.72781065088761210th599.053846153846208.2130177514793136th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd60.6884615384615350.81656804733728425th109.630769230769295.786982248520738th158.5730769230769163.2426035502958546th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124158th256.4576923076923163.24260355029585610th305.4208.2130177514793710th354.3423076923077208.2130177514793812th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272910th452.226923076923208.21301775147931012th501.16923076923075253.18343195266272119th550.1115384615384185.72781065088761211th599.053846153846230.698224852071137th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th60.6884615384615395.786982248520726th109.6307692307692118.2721893491124138th158.5730769230769163.2426035502958549th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876512th256.4576923076923253.18343195266272611th305.4230.69822485207179th354.3423076923077185.7278106508876813th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544911th452.226923076923230.698224852071109th501.16923076923075185.7278106508876119th550.1115384615384185.72781065088761211th599.053846153846230.69822485207113Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Calvin Johnson WR
2.11 25 Drew Brees K QB
3.04 32 Eddie Lacy K RB
4.11 53 Stevan Ridley RB
5.04 60 Reggie Wayne WR
6.11 81 Khiry Robinson RB
7.04 88 Cecil Shorts III WR
8.11 109 Delanie Walker TE
9.04 116 Chris Ivory RB
10.11 137 Donald Brown RB
11.04 144 James Starks RB
12.11 165 James Jones WR
13.04 172 Kansas City DEF
14.11 193 Nick Novak K
15.04 200 Stevie Johnson WR
16.11 221 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.57624.64378698224852101.3563777502360210.65757.06982248520710595.776550486232820.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.190154.34792899408282128.0509077770050550.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.701316.478106508875792.71957791186034100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.668381.3301775147928794.99241997459079120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.00024.6437869822485261.48198626970281610.00057.06982248520710550.3223317416963620.27089.49585798816568122.5051731439427830.478121.92189349112428108.1294470971727440.000154.34792899408282114.8710463232408850.072186.7739644970414136.2558676234619460.227219.2125.4939604564333170.813251.6260355029585384.9350938470085780.016284.0520710059171140.096970709476490.000316.478106508875744.20838659295147100.589348.9041420118343100.4813335560848110.000381.3301775147928748.75407071841235120.109413.75621301775146133.698920302890213Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213725.655621301775145103.9526627218934911159.41301775147929582.65088757396452093.17041420118342141.2307692307692330126.92781065088758141.2307692307692343160.6852071005917125.2544378698224850194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.23076923076923910329.4721893491123487.97633136094674100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923118396.986982248520798.62721893491124120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.65562130177514566.674556213017751059.41301775147929524.0710059171597522493.17041420118342119.9289940828402333126.92781065088758125.2544378698224840160.6852071005917109.2781065088757451194.44260355029584135.9053254437869866228.2109.2781065088757479261.957396449704193.3017751479289980295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.4721893491123434.721893491124251010363.229585798816587.97633136094674110396.986982248520756.02366863905324121430.74437869822486135.9053254437869813All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2014 Pat 5-8 11th 90.91 0.413 19.26
1 980 2013 Richie 6-7 10th 89.91 0.409 23.56
2 979 2014 Richie 6-7 9th 91.79 0.404 19.55
3 978 2010 Kevin 5-8 10th 90.35 0.407 15.22
4 977 2024 Scott 5-9 12th 92.91 0.410 23.25
5 969 2017 Schertz 5-8 10th 90.07 0.426 18.66
6 966 2010 Mike R. 4-9 11th 90.40 0.428 20.21
7 965 2023 Scott 8-6 7th 92.59 0.399 19.63
8 965 2009 Pat 6-7 8th 94.89 0.407 23.39
9 964 2008 Katie 5-8 10th 86.46 0.408 23.17
10 959 2022 Richie 6-8 13th 91.33 0.398 14.05