2016 Pat

7-6 (0.538), 1,156.48 points

7th place

4.72 expected wins (0.363)

61-108 all-play record (0.361)

-29.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.17 99.16 Ed 21.01
2 W 99.38 83.87 Mike R. 15.51
3 L 91.12 105.43 Babel -14.31
4 L 59.62 70.22 Kevin -10.60 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 71.45 109.18 Matt -37.73
6 L 63.16 69.91 Dave -6.75 Slapped Heartbeat
7 W 89.78 70.14 Allen 19.64
8 W 96.60 74.36 Rob 22.24
9 W 94.28 86.16 Schertz 8.12
10 W 104.96 104.88 Derrek 0.08
11 L 89.55 98.03 Pulley -8.48
12 W 95.28 61.63 Richie 33.65
13 L 81.13 110.86 Rabbit -29.73

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692368.7%286.4065934065934116.8135516493595470.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.1%28.71428571428572140.9509274076129401.2%65.52747252747253137.8642055562880815.7%102.34065934065934125.34483235743741214.6%139.15384615384613100.31172192257358323.4%175.9670329670329675.75187723895894424.8%212.780219780219872.0517.8%249.593406593406691.4958919403636660.0%286.406593406593492.3963340679498572.9%323.2197802197802133.1474645610510480.6%360.032967032967139.4878306402872690.1%396.8461538461538141.00096617501976100.0%433.6593406593406141.21408133941577110.0%470.4725274725274141.23020042722135120.0%507.2857142857143141.230762278262413Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728414th60.6884615384615373.3017751479289928th109.6307692307692163.24260355029585310th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793412th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272513th256.4576923076923275.6686390532544613th305.4275.6686390532544714th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613813th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544911th452.226923076923230.6982248520711012th501.16923076923075253.183431952662721112th550.1115384615384253.183431952662721212th599.053846153846253.18343195266272133rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728414th60.6884615384615373.3017751479289927th109.6307692307692140.75739644970415310th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793411th207.5153846153846230.698224852071513th256.4576923076923275.6686390532544612th305.4253.18343195266272710th354.3423076923077208.213017751479387th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041595th452.22692307692395.7869822485207106th501.16923076923075118.27218934911241115th550.111538461538495.7869822485207127th599.053846153846140.75739644970415133rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728415th60.6884615384615395.786982248520729th109.6307692307692185.7278106508876311th158.5730769230769230.698224852071412th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272514th256.4576923076923298.15384615384613614th305.4298.15384615384613714th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613814th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613913th452.226923076923275.66863905325441014th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131112th550.1115384615384253.183431952662721212th599.053846153846253.1834319526627213Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Aaron Rodgers QB
2.07 21 Eddie Lacy RB
3.08 36 Michael Floyd WR
4.07 49 Duke Johnson, Jr. RB
5.08 64 Mike Wallace K WR
6.07 77 Julius Thomas TE
7.08 92 Matthew Stafford K QB
8.07 105 Willie Snead WR
9.08 120 Kenneth Dixon RB
10.07 133 Ted Ginn, Jr. WR
11.08 148 Sammie Coates WR
12.07 161 Devontae Booker RB
13.08 176 Victor Cruz WR
14.07 189 Graham Gano K
15.08 204 New England DEF
16.07 217 Charles Clay TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.83324.6437869822485283.557526770416310.50657.069822485207105106.1723052945841920.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.347219.2117.2183177194541370.462251.62603550295853109.263370499897680.425284.0520710059171111.7975893998420490.605316.478106508875799.33105068576558100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.442381.33017751479287110.6157115272222120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.00024.6437869822485225.88428431006339310.00057.06982248520710571.1138413583991720.36589.49585798816568115.9682545849523930.027121.92189349112428139.3330709898213240.106154.34792899408282133.9009784598955850.042186.7739644970414138.3557489028472460.000219.293.2058662081390470.000251.6260355029585377.2959717690259780.000284.052071005917182.3644095689148590.000316.478106508875757.43133214076191100.343348.9041420118343117.47969455666814110.000381.3301775147928780.00065382367518120.215413.75621301775146126.3778712322578213Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112131125.65562130177514582.65088757396451659.413017751479295109.278106508875742093.17041420118342141.2307692307692330126.92781065088758141.2307692307692340160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692366228.2109.2781065088757477261.9573964497041103.9526627218934986295.7147928994083109.2781065088757498329.4721893491123498.62721893491124100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923113396.9869822485207125.25443786982248120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.65562130177514524.0710059171597521059.41301775147929577.325443786982252393.17041420118342125.2544378698224830126.92781065088758141.2307692307692341160.6852071005917135.9053254437869850194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.277.3254437869822570261.957396449704166.6745562130177580295.714792899408377.3254437869822590329.4721893491123456.02366863905324105363.2295857988165114.60355029585799110396.9869822485207109.27810650887574125430.74437869822486114.6035502958579913All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2016 Pat 7-6 7th 88.96 0.363 16.09
1 996 2014 Allen 6-7 10th 88.24 0.363 16.78
2 989 2019 Rob 5-8 13th 91.04 0.362 16.28
3 975 2009 Pulley 4-9 12th 88.20 0.355 19.15
4 970 2011 Pat 5-8 11th 87.91 0.358 24.21
5 970 2013 Pat 5-8 12th 87.34 0.374 16.65
6 969 2016 Derrek 3-10 14th 88.82 0.349 14.97
7 968 2016 Mike R. 5-8 11th 90.17 0.376 15.90
8 968 2023 Derrek 5-9 12th 89.17 0.350 18.70
9 966 2011 Pulley 5-8 10th 90.96 0.352 18.62
10 960 2013 Derrek 7-6 7th 88.08 0.374 23.77