2017 Pat

6-7 (0.462), 1,226.87 points

7th place

6.36 expected wins (0.490)

82-87 all-play record (0.485)

+6.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 83.52 73.30 Richie 10.22
2 L 96.69 136.68 Pulley -39.99
3 L 78.02 108.17 Rob -30.15
4 L 80.32 112.94 Babel -32.62
5 L 57.01 107.97 Dave -50.96 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 95.00 102.90 Schertz -7.90
7 L 93.31 94.79 Mike R. -1.48
8 W 127.01 104.14 Kevin 22.87
9 W 108.09 88.62 Derrek 19.47
10 L 77.06 109.89 Allen -32.83
11 W 101.05 66.02 Ed 35.03
12 W 122.00 88.80 Matt 33.20
13 W 107.79 73.71 Rabbit 34.08

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.23076923076923525.0%249.593406593406672.060.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2283300277846400.0%65.52747252747253141.1466145724962210.4%102.34065934065934140.172980597660622.3%139.15384615384613134.7496326680037338.2%175.96703296703296118.58406860827573417.8%212.780219780219892.1195274520393450.0%249.59340659340662.7692307692307736623.5%286.406593406593476.3261275181209714.7%323.2197802197802100.538632853623486.1%360.032967032967124.3437615671857891.6%396.8461538461538136.7256062754218100.3%433.6593406593406140.50349232999645110.0%470.4725274725274141.16823375428584120.0%507.2857142857143141.2287146432661313Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887619th60.68846153846153185.7278106508876210th109.6307692307692208.2130177514793311th158.5730769230769230.698224852071413th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544512th256.4576923076923253.18343195266272612th305.4253.18343195266272710th354.3423076923077208.213017751479389th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876910th452.226923076923208.21301775147931010th501.16923076923075208.2130177514793118th550.1115384615384163.24260355029585128th599.053846153846163.24260355029585136th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124117th60.68846153846153140.75739644970415210th109.6307692307692208.2130177514793313th158.5730769230769275.6686390532544414th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613514th256.4576923076923298.15384615384613614th305.4298.15384615384613714th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613811th403.28461538461534230.698224852071912th452.226923076923253.183431952662721010th501.16923076923075208.2130177514793118th550.1115384615384163.24260355029585127th599.053846153846140.75739644970415139th11.746153846153845185.727810650887619th60.68846153846153185.727810650887629th109.6307692307692185.7278106508876310th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793413th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544512th256.4576923076923253.18343195266272612th305.4253.1834319526627279th354.3423076923077185.727810650887689th403.28461538461534185.727810650887698th452.226923076923163.242603550295851010th501.16923076923075208.2130177514793118th550.1115384615384163.24260355029585128th599.053846153846163.2426035502958513Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
5
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Aaron Rodgers K QB
2.12 26 Alshon Jeffery WR
3.03 31 Ty Montgomery RB
4.12 54 Brandon Marshall WR
5.03 59 Bilal Powell RB
6.12 82 Robbie Chosen WR
7.03 87 Cameron Brate TE
8.12 110 Willie Snead K WR
9.03 115 Jacquizz Rodgers RB
10.12 138 Jack Doyle TE
11.03 143 Robert Turbin RB
12.12 166 Brandon LaFell WR
13.03 171 Jalen Richard RB
14.12 194 Blair Walsh K
15.03 199 Pittsburgh DEF
16.12 222 Sam Bradford QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.30024.64378698224852120.4843418110249810.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.938251.6260355029585376.3116563218588580.712284.052071005917191.9715381340716190.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.584348.9041420118343100.79016533746571110.899381.3301775147928778.99360995588077120.708413.7562130177514692.24427918159925130.00024.6437869822485299.7379143912807310.51357.069822485207105105.6995041929634520.22789.49585798816568125.5300511902865630.255121.92189349112428123.6094996472793440.070154.34792899408282136.3715078295107650.487186.7739644970414107.5291420534614760.455219.2109.7110704336826870.000251.6260355029585311.3925434129484780.000284.052071005917142.71230703737397590.217316.4781065088757126.20053959879203100.000348.904142011834360.34956144416219110.000381.3301775147928716.75645068099233120.000413.7562130177514643.2577891324292813Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213525.655621301775145114.603550295857991059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.2307692307692330126.92781065088758141.2307692307692340160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.23076923076923711261.957396449704182.6508875739645811295.714792899408382.650887573964590329.47218934911234141.23076923076923106363.2295857988165109.278106508875741111396.986982248520782.6508875739645127430.74437869822486103.9526627218934913025.65562130177514587.976331360946741959.41301775147929593.301775147928992593.17041420118342114.6035502958579933126.92781065088758125.2544378698224840160.6852071005917141.2307692307692357194.44260355029584103.9526627218934964228.2119.9289940828402370261.957396449704124.07100591715975280295.714792899408324.07100591715975293329.47218934911234125.25443786982248100363.229585798816577.32544378698225110396.986982248520724.071005917159752120430.7443786982248666.6745562130177513All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2017 Pat 6-7 7th 94.37 0.490 18.66
1 992 2015 Rabbit 5-8 11th 95.43 0.488 19.68
2 981 2014 Ed 6-7 8th 96.93 0.488 16.33
3 980 2012 Babel 6-7 6th 96.69 0.494 18.92 2nd place
4 979 2008 Derrek 6-7 7th 91.81 0.494 19.63
5 979 2022 Kevin 6-8 12th 96.86 0.487 21.91
6 974 2014 Mike R. 6-7 7th 97.38 0.484 20.41
7 972 2009 Allen 6-7 7th 97.89 0.484 17.04
8 971 2024 Schertz 7-7 7th 99.35 0.492 20.41
9 970 2019 Babel 8-5 5th 100.69 0.490 16.71 5th place
10 969 2012 Dave 6-7 7th 95.29 0.478 21.22