2018 Pat

2-11 (0.154), 1,129.79 points

14th place

3.38 expected wins (0.260)

36-133 all-play record (0.213)

+8.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 76.15 108.58 Kevin -32.43 Slapped Heartbeat
2 L 70.83 116.15 Derrek -45.32 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 73.08 107.26 Scott -34.18 Slapped Heartbeat
4 L 67.27 114.06 Rabbit -46.79 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 46.68 71.44 Babel -24.76 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 104.47 110.61 Rob -6.14
7 L 100.32 137.51 Pulley -37.19
8 L 102.67 109.24 Ed -6.57
9 L 92.27 140.12 Mike R. -47.85
10 W 123.93 89.59 Richie 34.34
11 W 88.10 75.93 Dave 12.17
12 L 114.90 139.96 Matt -25.06
13 L 69.12 101.30 Schertz -32.18 Slapped Heartbeat

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.23076923076923116.6%102.34065934065934101.5633779281792520.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.5%28.71428571428572139.9576433700328304.8%65.52747252747253129.7628698818116410.0%102.3406593406593461.89598662558927229.0%139.1538461538461371.99999999999999328.1%175.9670329670329674.10324981583226415.5%212.7802197802198104.2019188505446454.7%249.5934065934066129.9422646698237160.7%286.4065934065934139.4914661017650470.0%323.2197802197802141.118302522322680.0%360.032967032967141.2280223062710490.0%396.8461538461538141.23074960553882100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307692307692313Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th60.68846153846153298.15384615384613214th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613314th158.5730769230769298.15384615384613414th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613514th256.4576923076923298.15384615384613614th305.4298.15384615384613714th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613814th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613914th452.226923076923298.153846153846131014th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131114th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131214th599.053846153846298.153846153846131314th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th60.68846153846153298.15384615384613214th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613314th158.5730769230769298.15384615384613414th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613514th256.4576923076923298.15384615384613614th305.4298.15384615384613714th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613814th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613914th452.226923076923298.153846153846131014th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131114th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131214th599.053846153846298.153846153846131314th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th60.68846153846153298.15384615384613214th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613314th158.5730769230769298.15384615384613414th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613514th256.4576923076923298.15384615384613614th305.4298.15384615384613714th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613814th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613914th452.226923076923298.153846153846131014th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131114th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131214th599.053846153846298.1538461538461313Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
5
6
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Dalvin Cook RB
2.07 21 Kenyan Drake RB
3.08 36 Jarvis Landry WR
4.07 49 Sammy Watkins WR
5.08 64 Alshon Jeffery WR
6.07 77 Marcus Mariota QB
7.08 92 Benjamin Watson TE
8.07 105 Dion Lewis K RB
9.08 120 Kenny Stills K WR
10.07 133 Christian Kirk WR
11.08 148 Jordan Wilkins RB
12.07 161 Philadelphia DEF
13.08 176 Austin Hooper TE
14.07 189 Wil Lutz K
15.08 204 Jaylen Samuels RB
16.07 217 Case Keenum QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852130.146397062385510.00057.069822485207105130.146397062385520.00089.49585798816568130.146397062385530.000121.92189349112428130.146397062385540.000154.34792899408282130.146397062385550.000186.7739644970414130.146397062385560.000219.2130.146397062385570.000251.62603550295853130.146397062385580.000284.0520710059171130.146397062385590.775316.478106508875780.79220263070772100.232348.9041420118343115.35465435142093110.000381.33017751479287130.1463970623855120.000413.75621301775146130.1463970623855130.06324.64378698224852126.112295857958710.01257.069822485207105129.384542496973620.03089.49585798816568128.255460589581873-0.019121.92189349112428131.370890297014574-0.087154.34792899408282135.6885831465773450.504186.773964497041498.0420651047478960.429219.2102.8511176732681870.471251.62603550295853100.1329575258436680.295284.0520710059171111.3401409029170390.000316.478106508875731.438008199029966100.000348.9041420118343100.56291164045638110.675381.3301775147928787.1694245150498512-0.004413.75621301775146130.3881708590995513Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.2307692307692330126.92781065088758141.2307692307692340160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.23076923076923911329.4721893491123482.6508875739645104363.2295857988165119.92899408284023110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.655621301775145141.230769230769231059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.2307692307692330126.92781065088758141.2307692307692340160.6852071005917141.2307692307692352194.44260355029584130.5798816568047366228.2109.2781065088757474261.9573964497041119.9289940828402383295.7147928994083125.2544378698224890329.4721893491123424.071005917159752100363.229585798816598.62721893491124116396.9869822485207109.27810650887574120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2018 Pat 2-11 14th 86.91 0.260 21.13
1 933 2017 Mike R. 3-10 14th 77.84 0.269 14.44
2 929 2018 Dave 4-9 13th 91.02 0.285 18.92
3 925 2024 Derrek 4-10 14th 84.99 0.291 18.66
4 921 2015 Allen 4-9 13th 78.11 0.281 20.25
5 905 2013 Allen 4-9 14th 80.89 0.290 15.65
6 903 2015 Kevin 3-10 14th 81.06 0.290 14.59
7 897 2024 Pulley 4-10 13th 86.93 0.305 14.80
8 895 2021 Rob 2-12 14th 85.06 0.304 16.62
9 886 2012 Richie 1-12 14th 81.09 0.302 18.28
10 872 2020 Dave 3-10 14th 75.31 0.220 21.75