2018 Pat (through 11 weeks)

2-9 (0.182), 945.77 points

14th place

2.64 expected wins (0.240)

30-113 all-play record (0.210)

+3.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 76.15 108.58 Kevin -32.43 Slapped Heartbeat
2 L 70.83 116.15 Derrek -45.32 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 73.08 107.26 Scott -34.18 Slapped Heartbeat
4 L 67.27 114.06 Rabbit -46.79 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 46.68 71.44 Babel -24.76 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 104.47 110.61 Rob -6.14
7 L 100.32 137.51 Pulley -37.19
8 L 102.67 109.24 Ed -6.57
9 L 92.27 140.12 Mike R. -47.85
10 W 123.93 89.59 Richie 34.34
11 W 88.10 75.93 Dave 12.17
12 Matt
13 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.23076923076923128.3%117.6794871794871779.8089228602858920.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923111.8%31.782051282051285137.3221919684818012.1%74.73076923076923115.0035513277404110.0%117.6794871794871718.38707648980254231.9%160.6282051282051472.0319.0%203.57692307692307100.1048191615618445.9%246.52564102564102128.429587849251150.9%289.474358974359139.323178375928460.0%332.42307692307696141.1230127579881670.0%375.3717948717949141.2287588482535680.0%418.3205128205129141.2307607127475390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.2307692307692311Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th70.47692307692309298.15384615384613214th129.2076923076923298.15384615384613314th187.93846153846152298.15384615384613414th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613514th305.4298.15384615384613614th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613714th422.86153846153843298.15384615384613814th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613914th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131014th599.053846153846298.153846153846131114th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th70.47692307692309298.15384615384613214th129.2076923076923298.15384615384613314th187.93846153846152298.15384615384613414th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613514th305.4298.15384615384613614th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613714th422.86153846153843298.15384615384613814th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613914th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131014th599.053846153846298.153846153846131114th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th70.47692307692309298.15384615384613214th129.2076923076923298.15384615384613314th187.93846153846152298.15384615384613414th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613514th305.4298.15384615384613614th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613714th422.86153846153843298.15384615384613814th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613914th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131014th599.053846153846298.1538461538461311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
5
6
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Dalvin Cook RB
2.07 21 Kenyan Drake RB
3.08 36 Jarvis Landry WR
4.07 49 Sammy Watkins WR
5.08 64 Alshon Jeffery WR
6.07 77 Marcus Mariota QB
7.08 92 Benjamin Watson TE
8.07 105 Dion Lewis K RB
9.08 120 Kenny Stills K WR
10.07 133 Christian Kirk WR
11.08 148 Jordan Wilkins RB
12.07 161 Philadelphia DEF
13.08 176 Austin Hooper TE
14.07 189 Wil Lutz K
15.08 204 Jaylen Samuels RB
16.07 217 Case Keenum QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839129.439821990829510.00065.91328671328671129.439821990829520.000104.23496503496503129.439821990829530.000142.55664335664335129.439821990829540.000180.87832167832164129.439821990829550.000219.19999999999996129.439821990829560.000257.5216783216783129.439821990829570.000295.8433566433567129.439821990829580.000334.165034965035129.439821990829590.769372.486713286713380.74343132118881100.226410.8083916083916115.11416134241381110.05727.59160839160839125.8121290350455610.00665.91328671328671129.066224164096820.024104.23496503496503127.943405397523213-0.025142.55664335664335131.041553475661464-0.093180.87832167832164135.3352956107993650.498219.1999999999999697.8976069216187260.423257.5216783216783102.6799831496173670.465295.843356643356799.9769009337920480.289334.165034965035111.1219168390410390.000372.486713286713332.047040651548116100.000410.8083916083916100.7885006939981311Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.23076923076923911387.780419580419682.6508875739645104427.67552447552447119.9289940828402311028.724475524475523141.230769230769231068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692352228.2130.5798816568047366268.09510489510484109.2781065088757474307.9902097902098119.9289940828402383347.8853146853147125.2544378698224890387.780419580419624.071005917159752100427.6755244755244798.6272189349112411All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Pat 2-9 14th 85.98 0.240 20.66 2-11 14th
1 957 2020 Dave 3-8 14th 78.49 0.235 18.69 3-10 14th
2 918 2015 Allen 3-8 13th 76.72 0.256 14.56 4-9 13th
3 912 2023 Kevin 3-8 13th 83.52 0.277 18.89 4-10 14th
4 875 2021 Rob 2-9 13th 84.46 0.295 16.61 2-12 14th
5 866 2019 Rob 3-8 14th 87.28 0.298 14.87 5-8 13th
6 859 2018 Dave 4-7 13th 92.17 0.298 20.34 4-9 13th
7 856 2015 Kevin 2-9 14th 80.29 0.295 15.71 3-10 14th
8 849 2024 Derrek 3-8 14th 86.47 0.313 18.94 4-10 14th
9 847 2024 Pulley 4-7 12th 86.73 0.310 15.49 4-10 13th
10 840 2012 Richie 1-10 14th 80.71 0.307 18.86 1-12 14th