2018 Pat (through 11 weeks)

2-9 (0.182), 945.77 points (85.98 average)

14th place

2.70 expected wins (0.246)

30-113 all-play record (0.210)

+2.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 76.15 108.58 Kevin -32.43 Slapped Heartbeat
2 L 70.83 116.15 Derrek -45.32 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 73.08 107.26 Scott -34.18 Slapped Heartbeat
4 L 67.27 114.06 Rabbit -46.79 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 46.68 71.44 Babel -24.76 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 104.47 110.61 Rob -6.14
7 L 100.32 137.51 Pulley -37.19
8 L 102.67 109.24 Ed -6.57
9 L 92.27 140.12 Mike R. -47.85
10 W 123.93 89.59 Richie 34.34
11 W 88.10 75.93 Dave 12.17
12 Matt
13 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.23076923076923128.0%117.6794871794871780.1011624091399320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923111.8%31.782051282051285137.2968635038743012.0%74.73076923076923115.0373322789804910.0%117.6794871794871718.971555587510636231.7%160.6282051282051472.0319.2%203.5769230769230799.2856297999130746.3%246.52564102564102127.518840648519951.0%289.474358974359138.9392804084137460.1%332.42307692307696141.0572028415683770.0%375.3717948717949141.225197339924280.0%418.3205128205129141.2307084286821490.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.2307692307692311Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th70.47692307692309298.15384615384613214th129.2076923076923298.15384615384613314th187.93846153846152298.15384615384613414th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613514th305.4298.15384615384613614th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613714th422.86153846153843298.15384615384613814th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613914th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131014th599.053846153846298.153846153846131114th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th70.47692307692309298.15384615384613214th129.2076923076923298.15384615384613314th187.93846153846152298.15384615384613414th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613514th305.4298.15384615384613614th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613714th422.86153846153843298.15384615384613814th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613914th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131014th599.053846153846298.153846153846131114th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th70.47692307692309298.15384615384613214th129.2076923076923298.15384615384613314th187.93846153846152298.15384615384613414th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613514th305.4298.15384615384613614th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613714th422.86153846153843298.15384615384613814th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613914th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131014th599.053846153846298.1538461538461311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
5
6
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Dalvin Cook RB
2.07 21 Kenyan Drake RB
3.08 36 Jarvis Landry WR
4.07 49 Sammy Watkins WR
5.08 64 Alshon Jeffery WR
6.07 77 Marcus Mariota QB
7.08 92 Benjamin Watson TE
8.07 105 Dion Lewis K RB
9.08 120 Kenny Stills K WR
10.07 133 Christian Kirk WR
11.08 148 Jordan Wilkins RB
12.07 161 Philadelphia DEF
13.08 176 Austin Hooper TE
14.07 189 Wil Lutz K
15.08 204 Jaylen Samuels RB
16.07 217 Case Keenum QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839132.7282417603553310.00065.91328671328671132.7282417603553320.000104.23496503496503132.7282417603553330.000142.55664335664335132.7282417603553340.000180.87832167832164132.7282417603553350.000219.19999999999996132.7282417603553360.000257.5216783216783132.7282417603553370.000295.8433566433567132.7282417603553380.000334.165034965035132.7282417603553390.767372.486713286713382.89602312982583100.227410.8083916083916118.00608972313896110.06827.59160839160839128.322158734897310.02365.91328671328671131.2505259804851820.038104.23496503496503130.23976208860373-0.009142.55664335664335133.289606995723034-0.065180.87832167832164136.9795054955622850.493219.19999999999996100.6975572698101360.421257.5216783216783105.3658449928834870.456295.8433566433567103.0758457648076480.286334.165034965035114.1336841145873790.000372.486713286713333.06380449929634100.000410.8083916083916103.2839376859225811Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.23076923076923911387.780419580419682.6508875739645104427.67552447552447119.9289940828402311028.724475524475523141.230769230769231068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692352228.2130.5798816568047366268.09510489510484109.2781065088757474307.9902097902098119.9289940828402383347.8853146853147125.2544378698224890387.780419580419624.071005917159752100427.6755244755244798.6272189349112411All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Pat 2-9 14th 85.98 0.246 20.66 2-11 14th
1 952 2020 Dave 3-8 14th 78.49 0.239 18.69 3-10 14th
2 929 2023 Kevin 3-8 13th 83.52 0.275 18.89 4-10 14th
3 926 2015 Allen 3-8 13th 76.72 0.258 14.56 4-9 13th
4 890 2021 Rob 2-9 13th 84.46 0.294 16.61 2-12 14th
5 879 2019 Rob 3-8 14th 87.28 0.298 14.87 5-8 13th
6 865 2018 Dave 4-7 13th 92.17 0.301 20.34 4-9 13th
7 860 2024 Pulley 4-7 12th 86.73 0.309 15.49 4-10 13th
8 857 2024 Derrek 3-8 14th 86.47 0.314 18.94 4-10 14th
9 854 2015 Kevin 2-9 14th 80.29 0.302 15.71 3-10 14th
10 852 2010 Allen 5-6 7th 80.19 0.308 20.54 7-6 6th 4th place