2019 Pat (through 3 weeks)

1-2 (0.333), 285.38 points

11th place

1.18 expected wins (0.394)

16-23 all-play record (0.410)

+17.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 102.27 115.23 Rob -12.96
2 W 87.25 75.97 Kevin 11.28
3 L 95.86 145.86 Pulley -50.00
4 Babel
5 Ed
6 Mike R.
7 Richie
8 Scott
9 Dave
10 Derrek
11 Matt
12 Rabbit
13 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%01230.0%74.73076923076924141.23076923076923044.6%203.576923076923172.010.0%332.4230769230769141.2307692307692320.0%461.2692307692308141.23076923076923321.3%74.73076923076924108.1488164968202500.0%203.57692307692312.7692307692307736128.6%332.423076923076996.8303118517592325.5%461.2692307692308132.669385442420723Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876110th305.4208.213017751479329th599.053846153846185.7278106508876310th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793110th305.4208.2130177514793211th599.053846153846230.69822485207139th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876110th305.4208.2130177514793210th599.053846153846208.21301775147933Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Thomas WR
2.09 23 Leonard Fournette RB
3.06 34 David Montgomery RB
4.09 51 Josh Gordon WR
5.06 62 Carson Wentz QB
6.09 79 Sterling Shepard WR
7.06 90 David Njoku TE
8.09 107 Nick Chubb K RB
9.06 118 Christian Kirk K WR
10.09 135 Mitchell Trubisky QB
11.06 146 Nyheim Hines RB
12.09 163 Jordan Reed TE
13.06 174 DaeSean Hamilton WR
14.09 191 Hollywood Brown WR
15.06 202 New Orleans DEF
16.09 219 Mike Badgley K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001230.00078.68717948717949141.2307692307692310.265219.20000000000002122.8743226569884420.000359.7128205128205141.2307692307692330.51178.68717948717949105.8280071865101310.000219.20000000000002104.5178760832076520.407359.7128205128205113.078373366620243Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123081.9179487179487141.2307692307692316228.19999999999996109.2781065088757420374.48205128205126141.230769230769233581.9179487179487114.6035502958579910228.1999999999999677.3254437869822525374.48205128205126114.603550295857993All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Pat 1-2 11th 95.13 0.394 6.15 6-7 9th
1 980 2021 Ed 1-2 9th 93.93 0.396 12.09 6-8 8th
2 969 2020 Mike R. 1-2 11th 99.51 0.388 7.09 6-7 11th
3 966 2011 Matt 1-2 11th 96.75 0.396 18.66 7-6 6th 2nd place
4 956 2010 Pat 1-2 9th 89.54 0.403 8.05 3-10 12th
5 953 2017 Pat 1-2 10th 86.08 0.391 7.83 6-7 7th
6 948 2018 Richie 0-3 12th 95.95 0.407 18.50 5-8 11th
7 947 2018 Scott 1-2 11th 94.28 0.373 9.68 6-7 8th
8 944 2019 Mike R. 1-2 12th 92.57 0.384 18.30 8-5 4th 4th place
9 943 2019 Richie 1-2 10th 95.21 0.382 22.22 5-8 12th
10 939 2011 Dave 1-2 10th 96.88 0.375 13.26 3-10 12th