2020 Pat

5-8 (0.385), 1,158.90 points

12th place

4.43 expected wins (0.341)

60-109 all-play record (0.355)

-17.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 109.57 112.71 Richie -3.14
2 W 128.02 82.27 Matt 45.75
3 W 82.96 74.29 Kevin 8.67
4 W 91.99 90.53 Babel 1.46
5 L 73.16 108.16 Scott -35.00
6 L 105.43 117.52 Derrek -12.09
7 L 81.00 97.55 Pulley -16.55
8 L 64.16 74.71 Rabbit -10.55
9 W 85.57 82.09 Dave 3.48
10 L 79.49 95.02 Ed -15.53
11 L 80.84 86.13 Mike R. -5.29
12 L 77.99 117.21 Rob -39.22
13 W 98.72 81.92 Schertz 16.80

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.23076923076923424.1%212.780219780219877.6732486151997150.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.1%28.71428571428572140.9654555511344801.5%65.52747252747253137.4018534349421517.2%102.34065934065934122.19440374960878218.1%139.1538461538461393.68063843044987326.3%175.9670329670329672.040.0%212.780219780219814.115727999630195514.6%249.5934065934066102.7006882185013766.0%286.4065934065934125.4066936347589571.7%323.2197802197802136.788321391831980.3%360.032967032967140.3847636015442290.0%396.8461538461538141.12455362802473100.0%433.6593406593406141.2225002123088110.0%470.4725274725274141.23041797807122120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307633535255613Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd60.6884615384615350.816568047337284210th109.6307692307692208.2130177514793311th158.5730769230769230.698224852071413th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544513th256.4576923076923275.6686390532544612th305.4253.18343195266272713th354.3423076923077275.6686390532544813th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544913th452.226923076923275.66863905325441013th501.16923076923075275.66863905325441113th550.1115384615384275.66863905325441213th599.053846153846275.6686390532544138th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958517th60.68846153846153140.7573964497041527th109.6307692307692140.7573964497041534th158.573076923076973.3017751479289948th207.5153846153846163.24260355029585510th256.4576923076923208.2130177514793612th305.4253.18343195266272712th354.3423076923077253.18343195266272812th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272912th452.226923076923253.183431952662721012th501.16923076923075253.183431952662721113th550.1115384615384275.66863905325441212th599.053846153846253.18343195266272136th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124114th60.6884615384615373.3017751479289929th109.6307692307692185.7278106508876311th158.5730769230769230.698224852071413th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544513th256.4576923076923275.6686390532544612th305.4253.18343195266272712th354.3423076923077253.18343195266272813th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544913th452.226923076923275.66863905325441013th501.16923076923075275.66863905325441113th550.1115384615384275.66863905325441213th599.053846153846275.668639053254413Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
3

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Julio Jones WR
2.07 21 Chris Carson RB
3.08 36 Le'Veon Bell RB
4.07 49 David Montgomery RB
5.08 64 Evan Engram TE
6.07 77 Matt Ryan QB
7.08 92 Nick Chubb K RB
8.07 105 Jordan Howard RB
9.08 120 Mecole Hardman WR
10.07 133 Chase Edmonds RB
11.08 148 Darrell Henderson, Jr. RB
12.07 161 Hollywood Brown K WR
13.08 176 Adrian Peterson RB
14.07 189 Buffalo DEF
15.08 204 Drew Lock QB
16.07 217 Younghoe Koo K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.88257.06982248520710580.1382107210431820.23389.49585798816568125.0722983012240130.371121.92189349112428115.537725848069840.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.274284.0520710059171122.265338353751990.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.483413.75621301775146107.77597020384535130.67724.6437869822485294.3889304543630510.00057.06982248520710519.04565221131714720.00089.49585798816568108.9138273716787830.000121.9218934911242889.8446824653703740.112154.34792899408282133.5045423539539250.605186.773964497041499.3323619408017660.202219.2127.2769551020725370.039251.62603550295853138.504794891960980.000284.0520710059171103.2999074767345990.184316.4781065088757128.47019718500601100.200348.9041420118343127.39059720520905110.165381.33017751479287129.79980979170332120.000413.7562130177514674.3211711769214713Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.2307692307692311259.41301775147929577.325443786982252293.17041420118342130.5798816568047333126.92781065088758125.2544378698224840160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692386295.7147928994083109.2781065088757490329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923127430.74437869822486103.9526627218934913825.65562130177514598.627218934911241059.41301775147929513.420118343195272093.17041420118342119.9289940828402330126.92781065088758109.2781065088757442160.6852071005917130.5798816568047358194.4426035502958498.6272189349112464228.2119.9289940828402372261.9573964497041130.5798816568047380295.714792899408377.3254437869822593329.47218934911234125.25443786982248101363.2295857988165135.90532544378698112396.9869822485207130.57988165680473120430.7443786982248666.6745562130177513All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2020 Pat 5-8 12th 89.15 0.341 16.59
1 991 2016 Richie 5-8 12th 88.10 0.342 17.42
2 982 2014 Schertz 5-8 13th 87.26 0.345 16.95
3 980 2016 Derrek 3-10 14th 88.82 0.349 14.97
4 977 2023 Derrek 5-9 12th 89.17 0.350 18.70
5 965 2011 Pulley 5-8 10th 90.96 0.352 18.62
6 962 2009 Pulley 4-9 12th 88.20 0.355 19.15
7 954 2016 Pat 7-6 7th 88.96 0.363 16.09
8 953 2017 Allen 5-8 12th 85.50 0.353 12.53
9 952 2014 Allen 6-7 10th 88.24 0.363 16.78
10 951 2022 Babel 3-11 14th 85.59 0.324 15.39