2021 Pat

3-11 (0.214), 1,382.83 points

12th place

6.69 expected wins (0.478)

81-101 all-play record (0.445)

+26.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 111.39 108.98 Mike R. 2.41
2 L 70.04 103.20 Dave -33.16 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 90.18 107.27 Rabbit -17.09
4 L 122.50 133.41 Mike R. -10.91
5 L 107.40 108.34 Pulley -0.94
6 L 91.28 125.74 Ed -34.46
7 L 84.72 106.59 Babel -21.87
8 L 82.78 97.21 Rob -14.43
9 L 91.70 101.27 Matt -9.57
10 L 93.35 106.84 Derrek -13.49
11 W 109.07 95.05 Kevin 14.02
12 L 93.29 100.50 Scott -7.21
13 W 136.19 111.39 Richie 24.80
14 L 98.94 109.38 Schertz -10.44

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%4.0%4.0%8.0%8.0%12.0%12.0%16.0%16.0%20.0%20.0%012345678910111213140.0%27.48717948717949141.2307692307692300.0%61.84615384615385141.2307692307692310.0%96.2051282051282141.2307692307692321.9%130.56410256410257135.5879125727737730.0%164.92307692307696141.2307692307692340.0%199.28205128205127141.2307692307692350.0%233.6410256410257141.2307692307692360.0%268.0141.2307692307692370.0%302.3589743589743141.2307692307692380.0%336.71794871794873141.2307692307692390.0%371.0769230769231141.23076923076923100.0%405.4358974358974141.23076923076923110.0%439.7948717948718141.23076923076923120.0%474.15384615384613141.23076923076923130.0%508.5128205128205141.23076923076923140.0%27.48717948717949141.227706332319100.0%61.84615384615385141.140580207870910.3%96.2051282051282140.2420055268857220.0%130.56410256410257129.9450559147783236.6%164.92307692307696121.85787974881202414.6%199.2820512820512798.01486262646047522.2%233.641025641025775.72630176818483623.4%268.071.99999999999999717.5%302.358974358974389.5906509093402189.2%336.71794871794873114.0531736509805793.4%371.0769230769231131.27942961375334100.8%405.4358974358974138.77693931514779110.1%439.7948717948718140.84828981779157120.0%474.15384615384613141.19759221210563130.0%508.5128205128205141.2296070399730214Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011121314Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th56.92366863905325208.2130177514793211th102.10118343195265230.69822485207138th147.27869822485206163.2426035502958549th192.45621301775148185.7278106508876511th237.6337278106509230.698224852071612th282.8112426035503253.18343195266272711th327.98875739644967230.698224852071811th373.16627218934906230.698224852071911th418.3437869822485230.6982248520711010th463.5213017751479208.21301775147931110th508.6988165680473208.2130177514793129th553.8763313609467185.7278106508876139th599.053846153846185.7278106508876144th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289918th56.92366863905325163.24260355029585210th102.10118343195265208.2130177514793310th147.27869822485206208.2130177514793410th192.45621301775148208.2130177514793512th237.6337278106509253.18343195266272612th282.8112426035503253.18343195266272713th327.98875739644967275.6686390532544813th373.16627218934906275.6686390532544914th418.3437869822485298.153846153846131011th463.5213017751479230.6982248520711113th508.6988165680473275.66863905325441212th553.8763313609467253.183431952662721312th599.053846153846253.18343195266272144th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th56.92366863905325208.2130177514793211th102.10118343195265230.69822485207138th147.27869822485206163.2426035502958549th192.45621301775148185.7278106508876511th237.6337278106509230.698224852071612th282.8112426035503253.18343195266272711th327.98875739644967230.698224852071811th373.16627218934906230.698224852071911th418.3437869822485230.6982248520711010th463.5213017751479208.21301775147931110th508.6988165680473208.2130177514793129th553.8763313609467185.7278106508876139th599.053846153846185.727810650887614Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Tyreek Hill WR
2.09 23 Chris Carson RB
3.06 34 Miles Sanders RB
4.09 51 Kenny Golladay WR
5.06 62 Myles Gaskin RB
6.09 79 Michael Thomas WR
7.06 90 Dallas Goedert TE
8.09 107 Darrell Henderson, Jr. K RB
9.06 118 Justin Herbert K QB
10.09 135 Mike Gesicki TE
11.06 146 Washington DEF
12.09 163 Gabe Davis WR
13.06 174 Ryan Succop K
14.09 191 Jameis Winston QB
15.06 202 Dyami Brown WR
16.09 219 Mac Jones QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910111213140.70223.48571428571428492.5987908067919210.00053.5956043956044141.2307692307692320.00083.70549450549449141.2307692307692330.000113.81538461538459141.2307692307692340.000143.9252747252747141.2307692307692350.000174.03516483516484141.2307692307692360.000204.1450549450549141.2307692307692370.000234.25494505494504141.2307692307692380.000264.36483516483514141.2307692307692390.000294.4747252747253141.23076923076923100.667324.5846153846153595.08755286548177110.000354.69450549450545141.23076923076923120.930384.8043956043955576.83663110175632130.000414.91428571428565141.23076923076923140.00023.48571428571428443.9668123828146410.08353.5956043956044135.453227899574420.34183.70549450549449117.5886892865131330.842113.8153846153845982.927847829873940.643143.925274725274796.7239991506476950.357174.03516483516484116.4863608860888660.259204.1450549450549123.3048870742801970.229234.25494505494504125.3618091410512480.365264.36483516483514115.9749714219745290.395294.4747252747253113.90668514488982100.000324.5846153846153548.9443365001943110.393354.69450549450545114.02032724802633120.000384.8043956043955512.442492972743423130.487414.91428571428565107.4972705279899714Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213141024.44999999999999687.976331360946741055.79615384615384141.230769230769232087.14230769230768141.2307692307692330118.48846153846152141.2307692307692340149.83461538461538141.2307692307692350181.18076923076924141.2307692307692360212.52692307692305141.2307692307692370243.87307692307692141.2307692307692380275.21923076923076141.2307692307692390306.56538461538463141.23076923076923108337.9115384615384498.62721893491124110369.2576923076923141.230769230769231212400.603846153846177.32544378698225130431.95141.2307692307692314024.44999999999999634.721893491124251055.79615384615384141.230769230769232487.14230769230768119.92899408284023310118.4884615384615287.9763313609467444149.83461538461538119.9289940828402354181.18076923076924119.9289940828402362212.52692307692305130.5798816568047374243.87307692307692119.9289940828402387275.21923076923076103.9526627218934997306.56538461538463103.95266272189349100337.9115384615384456.02366863905324115369.2576923076923114.60355029585799120400.603846153846113.42011834319527134431.95119.9289940828402314All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2021 Pat 3-11 12th 98.77 0.478 16.52
1 986 2024 Babel 9-5 4th 99.24 0.474 18.19
2 983 2009 Allen 6-7 7th 97.89 0.484 17.04
3 980 2022 Matt 6-8 11th 98.05 0.482 21.17
4 977 2012 Dave 6-7 7th 95.29 0.478 21.22
5 975 2014 Mike R. 6-7 7th 97.38 0.484 20.41
6 973 2014 Ed 6-7 8th 96.93 0.488 16.33
7 969 2020 Rabbit 6-7 10th 99.67 0.470 21.92
8 969 2019 Babel 8-5 5th 100.69 0.490 16.71 5th place
9 967 2024 Ed 6-8 9th 100.26 0.490 14.70
10 964 2022 Kevin 6-8 12th 96.86 0.487 21.91