2021 Pat (through 13 weeks)

3-10 (0.231), 1,283.89 points (98.76 average)

12th place

6.31 expected wins (0.485)

77-92 all-play record (0.456)

+26.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 111.39 108.98 Mike R. 2.41
2 L 70.04 103.20 Dave -33.16 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 90.18 107.27 Rabbit -17.09
4 L 122.50 133.41 Mike R. -10.91
5 L 107.40 108.34 Pulley -0.94
6 L 91.28 125.74 Ed -34.46
7 L 84.72 106.59 Babel -21.87
8 L 82.78 97.21 Rob -14.43
9 L 91.70 101.27 Matt -9.57
10 L 93.35 106.84 Derrek -13.49
11 W 109.07 95.05 Kevin 14.02
12 L 93.29 100.50 Scott -7.21
13 W 136.19 111.39 Richie 24.80
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692322.7%139.15384615384613133.5313008149503830.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2268808383592200.0%65.52747252747253141.1063876836523410.5%102.34065934065934139.8465889089761720.0%139.15384615384613125.8318323991315738.9%175.96703296703296116.25636122704691418.2%212.780219780219890.07215465972746524.7%249.593406593406672.0622.6%286.406593406593477.77234672321703714.2%323.2197802197802101.4721746718853386.0%360.032967032967124.3244655855024491.7%396.8461538461538136.4836074748012100.3%433.6593406593406140.40132964834652110.0%470.4725274725274141.1511422657976120.0%507.2857142857143141.2277141325451513Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th60.68846153846153208.2130177514793211th109.6307692307692230.69822485207138th158.5730769230769163.2426035502958549th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876511th256.4576923076923230.698224852071612th305.4253.18343195266272711th354.3423076923077230.698224852071811th403.28461538461534230.698224852071911th452.226923076923230.6982248520711010th501.16923076923075208.21301775147931110th550.1115384615384208.2130177514793129th599.053846153846185.7278106508876134th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289918th60.68846153846153163.24260355029585210th109.6307692307692208.2130177514793310th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793410th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793512th256.4576923076923253.18343195266272612th305.4253.18343195266272713th354.3423076923077275.6686390532544813th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544914th452.226923076923298.153846153846131011th501.16923076923075230.6982248520711113th550.1115384615384275.66863905325441212th599.053846153846253.18343195266272134th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th60.68846153846153208.2130177514793211th109.6307692307692230.69822485207138th158.5730769230769163.2426035502958549th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876511th256.4576923076923230.698224852071612th305.4253.18343195266272711th354.3423076923077230.698224852071811th403.28461538461534230.698224852071911th452.226923076923230.6982248520711010th501.16923076923075208.21301775147931110th550.1115384615384208.2130177514793129th599.053846153846185.727810650887613Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Tyreek Hill WR
2.09 23 Chris Carson RB
3.06 34 Miles Sanders RB
4.09 51 Kenny Golladay WR
5.06 62 Myles Gaskin RB
6.09 79 Michael Thomas WR
7.06 90 Dallas Goedert TE
8.09 107 Darrell Henderson, Jr. K RB
9.06 118 Justin Herbert K QB
10.09 135 Mike Gesicki TE
11.06 146 Washington DEF
12.09 163 Gabe Davis WR
13.06 174 Ryan Succop K
14.09 191 Jameis Winston QB
15.06 202 Dyami Brown WR
16.09 219 Mac Jones QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.70824.6437869822485292.2252083451090210.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.671348.904142011834394.78412451898316110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.942413.7562130177514676.00841317742102130.00024.6437869822485243.2196474594488110.08957.069822485207105135.0494005175472720.34889.49585798816568117.1282814112069830.848121.9218934911242882.5498891342980440.648154.3479289940828296.3460471812912550.366186.7739644970414115.9155787292530460.267219.2122.7569387306585670.237251.62603550295853124.8523739735063980.374284.0520710059171115.342497420759690.408316.4781065088757112.99432221547391100.000348.904142011834348.3374798071971110.405381.33017751479287113.19320410174853120.000413.7562130177514610.78605712407281213Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112131025.65562130177514587.976331360946741059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.2307692307692330126.92781065088758141.2307692307692340160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923108363.229585798816598.62721893491124110396.9869822485207141.230769230769231212430.7443786982248677.3254437869822513025.65562130177514534.721893491124251059.413017751479295141.230769230769232493.17041420118342119.92899408284023310126.9278106508875887.9763313609467444160.6852071005917119.9289940828402354194.44260355029584119.9289940828402362228.2130.5798816568047374261.9573964497041119.9289940828402387295.7147928994083103.9526627218934997329.47218934911234103.95266272189349100363.229585798816556.02366863905324115396.9869822485207114.60355029585799120430.7443786982248613.4201183431952713All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Pat 3-10 12th 98.76 0.485 17.14 3-11 12th
1 995 2009 Allen 6-7 7th 97.89 0.486 17.04 6-7 7th
2 991 2019 Babel 8-5 5th 100.69 0.485 16.71 8-5 5th 5th place
3 991 2014 Ed 6-7 8th 96.93 0.485 16.33 6-7 8th
4 987 2014 Mike R. 6-7 7th 97.38 0.485 20.41 6-7 7th
5 980 2022 Kevin 6-7 12th 97.05 0.486 22.72 6-8 12th
6 976 2015 Rabbit 5-8 11th 95.43 0.488 19.68 5-8 11th
7 974 2016 Ed 6-7 9th 98.03 0.496 17.88 6-7 9th
8 974 2024 Schertz 6-7 9th 98.08 0.477 20.64 7-7 7th
9 972 2012 Babel 6-7 6th 96.69 0.493 18.92 6-7 6th 2nd place
10 971 2024 Ed 6-7 7th 100.66 0.494 15.17 6-8 9th