2021 Pat (through 3 weeks)

1-2 (0.333), 271.61 points (90.54 average)

10th place

1.07 expected wins (0.358)

14-25 all-play record (0.359)

+20.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 111.39 108.98 Mike R. 2.41
2 L 70.04 103.20 Dave -33.16 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 90.18 107.27 Rabbit -17.09
4 Mike R.
5 Pulley
6 Ed
7 Babel
8 Rob
9 Matt
10 Derrek
11 Kevin
12 Scott
13 Richie
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%50.0%50.0%01230.0%74.73076923076924141.23076923076923054.2%203.576923076923172.010.0%332.4230769230769141.2307692307692320.0%461.2692307692308141.23076923076923320.0%74.73076923076924115.6958658516352900.0%203.57692307692312.7692307692307736124.4%332.4230769230769110.0610370386141621.4%461.2692307692308139.385296417773933Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th305.4208.2130177514793211th599.053846153846230.69822485207134th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289918th305.4163.24260355029585210th599.053846153846208.213017751479334th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th305.4208.2130177514793211th599.053846153846230.6982248520713Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Tyreek Hill WR
2.09 23 Chris Carson RB
3.06 34 Miles Sanders RB
4.09 51 Kenny Golladay WR
5.06 62 Myles Gaskin RB
6.09 79 Michael Thomas WR
7.06 90 Dallas Goedert TE
8.09 107 Darrell Henderson, Jr. K RB
9.06 118 Justin Herbert K QB
10.09 135 Mike Gesicki TE
11.06 146 Washington DEF
12.09 163 Gabe Davis WR
13.06 174 Ryan Succop K
14.09 191 Jameis Winston QB
15.06 202 Dyami Brown WR
16.09 219 Mac Jones QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001230.68478.6871794871794993.8938783550401910.000219.20000000000002141.2307692307692320.000359.7128205128205141.2307692307692330.00078.6871794871794946.5569874793111310.065219.20000000000002136.7180705274784620.324359.7128205128205118.796951421138153Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131231081.917948717948787.9763313609467410228.19999999999996141.2307692307692320374.48205128205126141.230769230769233081.917948717948734.7218934911242510228.19999999999996141.2307692307692324374.48205128205126119.928994082840233All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Pat 1-2 10th 90.54 0.358 16.88 3-11 12th
1 984 2023 Ed 2-1 8th 89.29 0.356 12.98 11-3 1st 2nd place
2 970 2009 Pat 1-2 11th 88.30 0.350 13.58 6-7 8th
3 965 2012 Babel 1-2 12th 87.42 0.364 11.82 6-7 6th 2nd place
4 962 2010 Kevin 0-3 11th 84.96 0.353 13.99 5-8 10th
5 957 2017 Mike R. 1-2 11th 81.56 0.359 14.80 3-10 14th
6 953 2011 Pulley 1-2 12th 95.58 0.370 17.75 5-8 10th
7 946 2011 Dave 1-2 10th 96.88 0.368 13.26 3-10 12th
8 945 2018 Scott 1-2 11th 94.28 0.370 9.68 6-7 8th
9 941 2019 Mike R. 1-2 12th 92.57 0.382 18.30 8-5 4th 4th place
10 940 2024 Kevin 0-3 13th 86.88 0.340 12.29 5-9 11th