2021 Pat (through 7 weeks)

1-6 (0.143), 677.51 points (96.79 average)

12th place

2.83 expected wins (0.404)

34-57 all-play record (0.374)

+28.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 111.39 108.98 Mike R. 2.41
2 L 70.04 103.20 Dave -33.16 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 90.18 107.27 Rabbit -17.09
4 L 122.50 133.41 Mike R. -10.91
5 L 107.40 108.34 Pulley -0.94
6 L 91.28 125.74 Ed -34.46
7 L 84.72 106.59 Babel -21.87
8 Rob
9 Matt
10 Derrek
11 Kevin
12 Scott
13 Richie
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%58.38461538461538141.2307692307692309.8%146.84615384615384121.5750288372142910.0%235.30769230769232141.2307692307692320.0%323.7692307692308141.2307692307692330.0%412.2307692307692141.2307692307692340.0%500.6923076923077141.2307692307692350.0%589.1538461538461141.2307692307692360.0%677.6153846153845141.2307692307692371.2%58.38461538461538138.7637139956610200.0%146.84615384615384101.91928844365935127.5%235.3076923076923286.20787675256585234.6%323.769230769230872.0320.5%412.2307692307692100.1696085113068645.7%500.6923076923077129.7700787227465850.6%589.1538461538461139.9339481701458460.0%677.6153846153845141.20319386507097Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th109.6307692307692208.2130177514793211th207.5153846153846230.69822485207138th305.4163.2426035502958549th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876511th501.16923076923075230.698224852071612th599.053846153846253.1834319526627274th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289918th109.6307692307692163.24260355029585210th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793310th305.4208.2130177514793410th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793512th501.16923076923075253.18343195266272612th599.053846153846253.1834319526627274th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th109.6307692307692208.2130177514793211th207.5153846153846230.69822485207138th305.4163.2426035502958549th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876511th501.16923076923075230.698224852071612th599.053846153846253.183431952662727Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Tyreek Hill WR
2.09 23 Chris Carson RB
3.06 34 Miles Sanders RB
4.09 51 Kenny Golladay WR
5.06 62 Myles Gaskin RB
6.09 79 Michael Thomas WR
7.06 90 Dallas Goedert TE
8.09 107 Darrell Henderson, Jr. K RB
9.06 118 Justin Herbert K QB
10.09 135 Mike Gesicki TE
11.06 146 Washington DEF
12.09 163 Gabe Davis WR
13.06 174 Ryan Succop K
14.09 191 Jameis Winston QB
15.06 202 Dyami Brown WR
16.09 219 Mac Jones QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.64456.1230769230769396.6462450375751610.000143.81538461538463141.2307692307692320.000231.5076923076923141.2307692307692330.000319.2141.2307692307692340.000406.89230769230767141.2307692307692350.000494.5846153846154141.2307692307692360.000582.276923076923141.2307692307692370.00056.1230769230769352.06172084438108510.026143.81538461538463139.398273689163220.285231.5076923076923121.4770953921322830.784319.286.9410069505980140.585406.89230769230767100.7541240150320250.303494.5846153846154120.2640963075255960.204582.276923076923127.11270529917077Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345671057.705494505494587.9763313609467410147.87032967032965141.2307692307692320238.0351648351648141.2307692307692330328.19999999999993141.2307692307692340418.36483516483514141.2307692307692350508.52967032967035141.2307692307692360598.6945054945054141.230769230769237057.705494505494534.7218934911242510147.87032967032965141.2307692307692324238.0351648351648119.92899408284023310328.1999999999999387.9763313609467444418.36483516483514119.9289940828402354508.52967032967035119.9289940828402362598.6945054945054130.579881656804737All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Pat 1-6 12th 96.79 0.404 16.57 3-11 12th
1 987 2021 Pulley 2-5 10th 97.18 0.408 14.58 5-9 10th
2 986 2018 Babel 2-5 12th 98.81 0.402 17.00 4-9 12th
3 977 2023 Derrek 2-5 11th 92.27 0.406 15.54 5-9 12th
4 976 2020 Pat 3-4 12th 96.02 0.395 17.85 5-8 12th
5 972 2020 Matt 3-4 11th 97.84 0.412 20.33 8-5 2nd 2nd place
6 969 2019 Mike R. 4-3 8th 94.53 0.411 21.25 8-5 4th 4th place
7 968 2019 Ed 3-4 10th 95.81 0.414 21.44 5-8 11th
8 967 2022 Mike R. 4-3 7th 91.20 0.404 11.47 9-5 2nd Blingabowl XV champion
9 966 2023 Ed 4-3 8th 92.47 0.397 15.35 11-3 1st 2nd place
10 965 2012 Kevin 3-4 9th 89.81 0.407 18.13 5-8 10th