2023 Pat

5-9 (0.357), 1,340.79 points

11th place

6.16 expected wins (0.440)

77-105 all-play record (0.423)

+20.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 56.18 120.90 Rabbit -64.72 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 99.99 88.68 Derrek 11.31
3 W 132.84 125.95 Matt 6.89
4 L 93.83 103.39 Pulley -9.56
5 L 107.37 118.00 Scott -10.63
6 W 90.72 86.28 Babel 4.44
7 L 110.68 144.61 Dave -33.93
8 L 107.48 129.08 Rabbit -21.60
9 W 91.18 79.26 Kevin 11.92
10 L 117.18 122.53 Rob -5.35
11 W 90.06 86.87 Mike R. 3.19
12 L 83.25 93.06 Richie -9.81 Slapped Heartbeat
13 L 84.00 126.28 Ed -42.28
14 L 76.03 98.35 Schertz -22.32

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910111213140.0%27.48717948717949141.2307692307692300.0%61.84615384615385141.2307692307692310.0%96.2051282051282141.2307692307692320.0%130.56410256410257141.2307692307692330.0%164.92307692307696141.23076923076923419.4%199.2820512820512786.407992264009150.0%233.6410256410257141.2307692307692360.0%268.0141.2307692307692370.0%302.3589743589743141.2307692307692380.0%336.71794871794873141.2307692307692390.0%371.0769230769231141.23076923076923100.0%405.4358974358974141.23076923076923110.0%439.7948717948718141.23076923076923120.0%474.15384615384613141.23076923076923130.0%508.5128205128205141.23076923076923140.0%27.48717948717949141.2197487388767200.1%61.84615384615385140.981218934751210.8%96.2051282051282139.0441851456556623.6%130.56410256410257130.973129943562310.4%164.92307692307696111.8667082223285740.0%199.2820512820512731.585215297248965524.5%233.641025641025772.0621.3%268.080.98019797478966712.8%302.3589743589743104.9043062606484185.3%336.71794871794873126.1822893900146691.5%371.0769230769231137.0556365028539100.3%405.4358974358974140.49516798793732110.0%439.7948717948718141.1570545810523120.0%474.15384615384613141.22760736662332130.0%508.5128205128205141.2307692307692314Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011121314Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th56.92366863905325208.213017751479328th102.10118343195265163.2426035502958538th147.27869822485206163.2426035502958548th192.45621301775148163.2426035502958557th237.6337278106509140.7573964497041566th282.8112426035503118.2721893491124177th327.98875739644967140.7573964497041588th373.16627218934906163.2426035502958597th418.3437869822485140.75739644970415107th463.5213017751479140.75739644970415118th508.6988165680473163.24260355029585128th553.8763313609467163.24260355029585138th599.053846153846163.242603550295851414th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th56.92366863905325208.213017751479327th102.10118343195265140.7573964497041538th147.27869822485206163.2426035502958549th192.45621301775148185.727810650887658th237.6337278106509163.2426035502958569th282.8112426035503185.7278106508876710th327.98875739644967208.213017751479389th373.16627218934906185.7278106508876910th418.3437869822485208.21301775147931010th463.5213017751479208.21301775147931110th508.6988165680473208.21301775147931210th553.8763313609467208.21301775147931311th599.053846153846230.6982248520711414th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th56.92366863905325253.1834319526627229th102.10118343195265185.727810650887639th147.27869822485206185.727810650887649th192.45621301775148185.727810650887658th237.6337278106509163.2426035502958567th282.8112426035503140.7573964497041578th327.98875739644967163.2426035502958588th373.16627218934906163.2426035502958597th418.3437869822485140.75739644970415107th463.5213017751479140.75739644970415118th508.6988165680473163.24260355029585128th553.8763313609467163.24260355029585138th599.053846153846163.2426035502958514Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Davante Adams WR
2.06 20 Ja'Marr Chase K WR
3.09 37 Lamar Jackson QB
4.06 48 Alvin Kamara RB
5.09 65 D'Andre Swift RB
6.06 76 A.J. Dillon RB
7.09 93 Chris Olave K WR
8.06 104 Dalton Kincaid TE
9.09 121 Dalton Schultz TE
10.06 132 Kenneth Gainwell RB
11.09 149 Devin Singletary RB
12.06 160 K.J. Osborn WR
13.09 177 Matthew Stafford QB
14.06 188 New England DEF
15.09 205 Jason Myers K
16.06 216 Josh Downs WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910111213140.00023.485714285714284141.118956912733810.49653.5956043956044106.7918221358907820.90583.7054945054944978.529144167146630.000113.81538461538459141.118956912733840.000143.9252747252747141.118956912733850.341174.03516483516484117.5223286366795660.000204.1450549450549141.118956912733870.000234.25494505494504141.118956912733880.348264.36483516483514117.0567722699786790.000294.4747252747253141.1189569127338100.332324.58461538461535118.1468554700588110.000354.69450549450545141.1189569127338120.000384.80439560439555141.1189569127338130.000414.91428571428565141.118956912733814-0.00123.485714285714284141.1748630717515310.00053.595604395604472.4646873590477720.00083.7054945054944915.93933142155938830.398113.81538461538459113.5594220030549240.635143.925274725274797.2195290351871550.000174.0351648351648493.925700360625360.684204.145054945054993.7789539349342470.637234.2549450549450497.0719136018429780.000264.3648351648351492.9945876272235290.779294.474725274725387.24980976778764100.000324.5846153846153595.17475402738378110.227354.69450549450545125.43678687059466120.241384.80439560439555124.4602540038562130.135414.91428571428565131.7842505043945814Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121314024.449999999999996141.230769230769231555.79615384615384114.6035502958579921287.1423076923076877.3254437869822530118.48846153846152141.2307692307692340149.83461538461538141.2307692307692357181.18076923076924103.9526627218934960212.52692307692305141.2307692307692370243.87307692307692141.2307692307692387275.21923076923076103.9526627218934990306.56538461538463141.23076923076923106337.91153846153844109.27810650887574110369.2576923076923141.23076923076923120400.6038461538461141.23076923076923130431.95141.2307692307692314024.449999999999996141.230769230769231055.7961538461538487.976331360946742087.1423076923076813.4201183431952735118.48846153846152114.6035502958579947149.83461538461538103.9526627218934950181.1807692307692466.67455621301775610212.5269230769230587.9763313609467474243.87307692307692119.9289940828402380275.2192307692307666.6745562130177598306.5653846153846398.62721893491124100337.9115384615384477.32544378698225110369.2576923076923141.23076923076923124400.6038461538461119.92899408284023132431.95130.5798816568047314All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2023 Pat 5-9 11th 95.77 0.440 18.28
1 993 2010 Matt 5-8 9th 95.98 0.440 21.33
2 991 2021 Pulley 5-9 10th 94.95 0.439 16.51
3 987 2021 Kevin 5-9 9th 96.60 0.440 23.11
4 984 2012 Allen 6-7 8th 94.79 0.442 21.78
5 981 2022 Mike R. 9-5 2nd 94.74 0.444 15.34 Blingabowl XV champion
6 978 2014 Kevin 4-9 14th 92.81 0.440 23.07
7 977 2019 Scott 4-9 14th 94.50 0.434 20.89
8 974 2024 Pat 6-8 10th 97.23 0.432 20.62
9 972 2019 Pat 6-7 9th 97.81 0.446 14.73
10 972 2011 Dave 3-10 12th 96.89 0.448 22.01