2024 Pat

6-8 (0.429), 1,361.16 points

10th place

6.05 expected wins (0.432)

78-104 all-play record (0.429)

-5.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 90.24 75.23 Derrek 15.01
2 W 82.85 72.58 Kevin 10.27
3 L 128.26 134.07 Ed -5.81
4 W 108.54 87.50 Pulley 21.04
5 L 81.26 126.18 Mike R. -44.92
6 W 145.60 81.08 Babel 64.52 Team Blangums
7 W 113.45 102.58 Rabbit 10.87
8 L 89.72 93.48 Derrek -3.76
9 L 78.82 79.14 Matt -0.32 Slapped Heartbeat
10 L 89.43 144.70 Dave -55.27
11 L 106.44 135.76 Rob -29.32
12 W 99.46 66.82 Richie 32.64
13 L 67.19 94.07 Scott -26.88 Slapped Heartbeat
14 L 79.90 115.90 Schertz -36.00

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910111213140.0%27.48717948717949141.2307692307692300.0%61.84615384615385141.2307692307692310.0%96.2051282051282141.2307692307692320.0%130.56410256410257141.2307692307692330.0%164.92307692307696141.2307692307692340.0%199.28205128205127141.23076923076923525.6%233.641025641025772.060.0%268.0141.2307692307692370.0%302.3589743589743141.2307692307692380.0%336.71794871794873141.2307692307692390.0%371.0769230769231141.23076923076923100.0%405.4358974358974141.23076923076923110.0%439.7948717948718141.23076923076923120.0%474.15384615384613141.23076923076923130.0%508.5128205128205141.23076923076923140.0%27.48717948717949141.226191172051600.1%61.84615384615385141.072881870216210.7%96.2051282051282139.4196353527435723.6%130.56410256410257131.36444983292574311.2%164.92307692307696111.0168276662826421.0%199.2820512820512784.3700119631922750.0%233.64102564102572.7692307692307736620.8%268.084.9751325127452711.5%302.3589743589743110.1992358020504284.3%336.71794871794873129.5625074757439891.1%371.0769230769231138.2706185770414100.2%405.4358974358974140.73893321245598110.0%439.7948717948718141.18046622735406120.0%474.15384615384613141.22798857269314130.0%508.5128205128205141.2307098904285914Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011121314Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th56.92366863905325230.69822485207128th102.10118343195265163.2426035502958536th147.27869822485206118.2721893491124149th192.45621301775148185.727810650887655th237.633727810650995.786982248520764th282.811242603550373.3017751479289975th327.9887573964496795.786982248520789th373.16627218934906185.7278106508876910th418.3437869822485208.2130177514793108th463.5213017751479163.24260355029585118th508.6988165680473163.242603550295851211th553.8763313609467230.6982248520711311th599.053846153846230.698224852071145th11.74615384615384595.786982248520714th56.9236686390532573.3017751479289925th102.1011834319526595.786982248520733rd147.2786982248520650.81656804733728447th192.45621301775148140.7573964497041554th237.633727810650973.3017751479289962nd282.811242603550328.33136094674557673rd327.9887573964496750.81656804733728486th373.16627218934906118.2721893491124197th418.3437869822485140.75739644970415107th463.5213017751479140.75739644970415117th508.6988165680473140.75739644970415128th553.8763313609467163.242603550295851310th599.053846153846208.2130177514793147th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th56.92366863905325230.69822485207127th102.10118343195265140.7573964497041534th147.2786982248520673.3017751479289948th192.45621301775148163.2426035502958554th237.633727810650973.3017751479289964th282.811242603550373.3017751479289975th327.9887573964496795.786982248520787th373.16627218934906140.7573964497041597th418.3437869822485140.75739644970415106th463.5213017751479118.27218934911241117th508.6988165680473140.75739644970415129th553.8763313609467185.72781065088761311th599.053846153846230.69822485207114Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Derrick Henry RB
2.12 26 Kenneth Walker III RB
3.03 31 Malik Nabers WR
4.12 54 Aaron Jones RB
5.03 59 Chris Olave K WR
6.12 82 Courtland Sutton WR
7.03 87 Caleb Williams QB
8.12 110 Dalton Kincaid K TE
9.03 115 Jakobi Meyers WR
10.12 138 Tua Tagovailoa QB
11.03 143 Cole Kmet TE
12.12 166 Ray Davis RB
13.03 171 Braelon Allen RB
14.12 194 Jermaine Burton WR
15.03 199 Jake Elliott K
16.12 222 Houston DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910111213140.33023.485714285714284118.3914895722418510.21853.5956043956044126.153245216466320.00083.70549450549449141.2307692307692330.645113.8153846153845996.5722057700296140.000143.9252747252747141.2307692307692350.948174.0351648351648475.5711451104003460.723204.145054945054991.1855700813584670.000234.25494505494504141.2307692307692380.000264.36483516483514141.2307692307692390.000294.4747252747253141.23076923076923100.000324.58461538461535141.23076923076923110.484354.69450549450545107.74322450834973120.000384.80439560439555141.23076923076923130.000414.91428571428565141.23076923076923140.00023.48571428571428495.5522099137144810.00053.5956043956044111.0757212021633820.87183.7054945054944980.9123239578168730.000113.8153846153845951.9136423092940.193143.9252747252747127.8465125532004850.000174.035164835164849.91152099003144860.000204.145054945054941.14037093194771470.321234.25494505494504118.9937927188654280.164264.36483516483514129.892070409657990.318294.4747252747253119.2324411354521100.610324.5846153846153599.01551098746484110.000354.6945054945054574.25567978593023120.047384.80439560439555137.96065973235093130.176414.91428571428565129.0511188464476214Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121314724.449999999999996103.952662721893491255.79615384615384130.579881656804732087.14230769230768141.2307692307692339118.4884615384615293.3017751479289940149.83461538461538141.23076923076923513181.1807692307692472.0610212.5269230769230587.9763313609467470243.87307692307692141.2307692307692380275.21923076923076141.2307692307692390306.56538461538463141.23076923076923100337.91153846153844141.23076923076923116369.2576923076923109.27810650887574120400.6038461538461141.23076923076923130431.95141.2307692307692314024.44999999999999666.674556213017751055.79615384615384119.9289940828402321287.1423076923076877.3254437869822530118.4884615384615245.37278106508874541149.83461538461538135.9053254437869850181.180769230769242.769230769230773660212.5269230769230534.7218934911242571243.87307692307692135.9053254437869880275.21923076923076141.2307692307692396306.56538461538463109.27810650887574108337.9115384615384498.62721893491124110369.257692307692377.32544378698225120400.6038461538461141.23076923076923133431.95125.2544378698224814All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2024 Pat 6-8 10th 97.23 0.432 20.62
1 985 2019 Scott 4-9 14th 94.50 0.434 20.89
2 978 2010 Matt 5-8 9th 95.98 0.440 21.33
3 977 2021 Kevin 5-9 9th 96.60 0.440 23.11
4 975 2023 Schertz 6-8 9th 95.75 0.423 20.54
5 974 2023 Pat 5-9 11th 95.77 0.440 18.28
6 970 2015 Ed 4-9 12th 91.44 0.433 22.66
7 970 2021 Pulley 5-9 10th 94.95 0.439 16.51
8 967 2012 Allen 6-7 8th 94.79 0.442 21.78
9 965 2011 Derrek 8-5 3rd 97.76 0.448 21.11 6th place
10 964 2011 Dave 3-10 12th 96.89 0.448 22.01