2025 Pat

3-5 (0.375), 723.15 points (90.39 average)

12th place

3.08 expected wins (0.386)

41-63 all-play record (0.394)

-22.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 91.43 84.46 Ed 6.97
2 W 98.05 33.06 Richie 64.99
3 L 128.99 130.88 Scott -1.89
4 L 72.03 86.80 Kevin -14.77
5 W 134.30 67.92 Babel 66.38
6 L 59.19 141.42 Rabbit -82.23 Slapped Heartbeat
7 L 55.01 88.58 Pulley -33.57 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 84.15 86.67 Dave -2.52
9 Derrek
10 Mike R.
11 Rob
12 Ed
13 Matt
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%53.470085470085465141.2307692307692300.0%132.1025641025641141.2307692307692310.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923239.3%289.3675213675213672.030.0%368.0141.2307692307692340.0%446.6324786324787141.2307692307692350.0%525.2649572649573141.2307692307692360.0%603.897435897436141.2307692307692370.0%682.5299145299145141.2307692307692380.2%53.470085470085465140.9380634193057603.8%132.1025641025641134.5045904282114124.1%210.7350427350427398.7659577895291520.0%289.367521367521362.7692307692307736325.1%368.097.0161278133644546.7%446.6324786324787129.430748858995850.7%525.2649572649573140.0272827483702360.0%603.897435897436141.192999280148270.0%682.5299145299145141.23041798137578Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th95.64725274725272230.69822485207124th179.5483516483516673.3017751479289937th263.44945054945055140.7573964497041544th347.350549450549473.3017751479289959th431.2516483516483185.7278106508876610th515.1527472527472208.2130177514793711th599.053846153846230.69822485207187th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th95.6472527472527273.3017751479289924th179.5483516483516673.3017751479289937th263.44945054945055140.7573964497041544th347.350549450549473.3017751479289958th431.2516483516483163.24260355029585610th515.1527472527472208.2130177514793712th599.053846153846253.1834319526627288th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th95.64725274725272230.69822485207124th179.5483516483516673.3017751479289939th263.44945054945055185.727810650887645th347.350549450549495.786982248520759th431.2516483516483185.7278106508876612th515.1527472527472253.18343195266272712th599.053846153846253.183431952662728Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
6

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.07 7 Derrick Henry K RB
2.08 22 Mike Evans WR
3.07 35 Malik Nabers K WR
4.08 50 D'Andre Swift RB
5.07 63 David Montgomery RB
6.08 78 David Njoku TE
7.07 91 Caleb Williams QB
8.08 106 Rashid Shaheed WR
9.07 119 Trevor Lawrence QB
10.08 134 Joshua Palmer WR
11.07 147 Dalton Kincaid TE
12.08 162 Nick Chubb RB
13.07 175 Justice Hill RB
14.08 190 Detroit DEF
15.07 203 Kyle Monangai RB
16.08 218 Cam Little K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.38250.642307692307696114.7576974498326810.480127.37307692307691107.9809188361062420.000204.10384615384615141.2307692307692330.000280.8346153846154141.2307692307692340.931357.5653846153846376.8002680822187850.000434.29615384615386141.2307692307692360.000511.0269230769231141.2307692307692370.000587.7576923076922141.2307692307692380.00050.64230769230769688.2846256688961310.000127.3730769230769174.7310684414432720.882204.1038461538461580.1368197643116530.119280.8346153846154133.023478186544940.000357.5653846153846312.3697669336683350.026434.29615384615386139.3978593161211660.017511.0269230769231140.044394015137870.246587.7576923076922124.196573666361598Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678652.07019230769231109.2781065088757416130.96442307692305109.2781065088757420209.85865384615386141.2307692307692330288.75288461538463141.23076923076923412367.647115384615477.3254437869822550446.5413461538462141.2307692307692360525.435576923077141.2307692307692370604.3298076923076141.230769230769238052.0701923076923177.3254437869822510130.9644230769230577.32544378698225212209.8586538461538677.3254437869822531288.75288461538463135.9053254437869840367.647115384615413.4201183431952750446.5413461538462141.2307692307692360525.435576923077141.2307692307692374604.3298076923076119.928994082840238All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Pat 3-5 12th 90.39 0.386 27.57
1 991 2014 Derrek 3-5 12th 89.45 0.387 28.51 5-8 12th
2 973 2014 Allen 4-4 8th 90.76 0.385 15.09 6-7 10th
3 972 2013 Derrek 5-3 5th 90.32 0.392 20.09 7-6 7th
4 970 2020 Derrek 4-4 9th 92.01 0.393 23.77 8-5 5th 5th place
5 962 2012 Kevin 3-5 10th 88.05 0.381 17.59 5-8 10th
6 959 2014 Kevin 2-6 13th 91.43 0.395 18.46 4-9 14th
7 958 2008 Mike R. 2-6 10th 86.72 0.391 19.57 5-8 8th
8 956 2010 Kevin 2-6 11th 86.20 0.388 16.73 5-8 10th
9 954 2023 Richie 1-7 14th 92.48 0.381 12.88 4-10 13th
10 953 2008 Matt 1-7 12th 85.73 0.382 17.01 3-10 12th