2025 Pat

4-8 (0.333), 1,013.68 points (84.47 average)

11th place

3.87 expected wins (0.323)

51-105 all-play record (0.327)

-22.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 91.43 84.46 Ed 6.97
2 W 98.05 33.06 Richie 64.99
3 L 128.99 130.88 Scott -1.89
4 L 72.03 86.80 Kevin -14.77
5 W 134.30 67.92 Babel 66.38
6 L 59.19 141.42 Rabbit -82.23 Slapped Heartbeat
7 L 55.01 88.58 Pulley -33.57 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 84.15 86.67 Dave -2.52
9 W 93.89 93.37 Derrek 0.52
10 L 73.89 93.48 Mike R. -19.59
11 L 46.75 97.82 Rob -51.07 Slapped Heartbeat
12 L 76.00 79.16 Ed -3.16
13 Matt
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%41.37278106508876141.2307692307692300.0%95.81065088757397141.2307692307692310.0%150.24852071005915141.2307692307692320.0%204.68639053254438141.23076923076923331.4%259.124260355029672.040.0%313.56213017751486141.2307692307692350.0%368.0141.2307692307692360.0%422.4378698224852141.2307692307692370.0%476.87573964497045141.2307692307692380.0%531.3136094674556141.2307692307692390.0%585.7514792899409141.23076923076923100.0%640.189349112426141.23076923076923110.0%694.6272189349113141.23076923076923120.1%41.37278106508876141.107393660761701.4%95.81065088757397138.03774899613364110.9%150.24852071005915117.15535219745942226.9%204.6863905325443882.0451262012769630.0%259.12426035502962.7692307692307736420.1%313.5621301775148697.0205106558612457.4%368.0124.9626679874590761.6%422.4378698224852137.7289420692422470.2%476.87573964497045140.7968163173182580.0%531.3136094674556141.2014922592111490.0%585.7514792899409141.22980154721103100.0%640.189349112426141.2307547948992110.0%694.6272189349113141.2307691543164812Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th65.13776223776223230.69822485207124th118.5293706293706273.3017751479289937th171.92097902097902140.7573964497041544th225.312587412587473.3017751479289959th278.7041958041958185.7278106508876610th332.09580419580413208.2130177514793711th385.4874125874125230.698224852071811th438.87902097902094230.698224852071911th492.27062937062936230.6982248520711011th545.6622377622377230.6982248520711113th599.053846153846275.6686390532544127th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th65.1377622377622373.3017751479289924th118.5293706293706273.3017751479289937th171.92097902097902140.7573964497041544th225.312587412587473.3017751479289958th278.7041958041958163.24260355029585610th332.09580419580413208.2130177514793712th385.4874125874125253.18343195266272810th438.87902097902094208.2130177514793911th492.27062937062936230.6982248520711011th545.6622377622377230.6982248520711111th599.053846153846230.698224852071128th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th65.13776223776223230.69822485207124th118.5293706293706273.3017751479289939th171.92097902097902185.727810650887645th225.312587412587495.786982248520759th278.7041958041958185.7278106508876612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272712th385.4874125874125253.18343195266272811th438.87902097902094230.698224852071911th492.27062937062936230.6982248520711013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441114th599.053846153846298.1538461538461312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
6
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.07 7 Derrick Henry K RB
2.08 22 Mike Evans WR
3.07 35 Malik Nabers K WR
4.08 50 D'Andre Swift RB
5.07 63 David Montgomery RB
6.08 78 David Njoku TE
7.07 91 Caleb Williams QB
8.08 106 Rashid Shaheed WR
9.07 119 Trevor Lawrence QB
10.08 134 Joshua Palmer WR
11.07 147 Dalton Kincaid TE
12.08 162 Nick Chubb RB
13.07 175 Justice Hill RB
14.08 190 Detroit DEF
15.07 203 Kyle Monangai RB
16.08 218 Cam Little K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.37837.853846153846156115.029658084950310.49289.00769230769231107.2007804680039820.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.000191.3153846153846141.2307692307692340.936242.4692307692307376.443704511765350.000293.62307692307695141.2307692307692360.000344.7769230769231141.2307692307692370.000395.9307692307692141.2307692307692380.436447.0846153846154111.0376340381317890.000498.23846153846154141.23076923076923100.000549.3923076923077141.23076923076923110.000600.5461538461539141.23076923076923120.00037.85384615384615688.8285469391313710.00089.0076923076923173.1707917052387620.890140.1615384615384479.6470074854661830.120191.3153846153846132.957028637614240.000242.4692307692307311.65663979276138250.031293.62307692307695139.110980911320660.020344.7769230769231139.84846286811670.252395.9307692307692123.7755029332150880.000447.084615384615480.8444988454943390.142498.23846153846154131.40869559249288100.012549.3923076923077140.40105141337344110.164600.5461538461539129.8712806421627612Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112638.92115384615384109.278106508875741691.5173076923077109.2781065088757420144.1134615384615141.2307692307692330196.7096153846154141.23076923076923412249.3057692307692477.3254437869822550301.901923076923141.2307692307692360354.4980769230769141.2307692307692370407.09423076923076141.2307692307692387459.6903846153845103.9526627218934990512.2865384615385141.23076923076923100564.8826923076923141.23076923076923110617.4788461538461141.2307692307692312038.9211538461538477.325443786982251091.517307692307777.32544378698225212144.113461538461577.3254437869822531196.7096153846154135.9053254437869840249.3057692307692413.4201183431952750301.901923076923141.2307692307692360354.4980769230769141.2307692307692374407.09423076923076119.9289940828402380459.690384615384566.6745562130177591512.2865384615385135.90532544378698100564.8826923076923141.23076923076923112617.4788461538461130.5798816568047312All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Pat 4-8 11th 84.47 0.323 25.91
1 971 2024 Derrek 4-8 14th 87.03 0.321 18.23 4-10 14th
2 969 2013 Allen 4-8 13th 82.72 0.321 14.91 4-9 14th
3 968 2021 Rob 2-10 14th 85.79 0.319 16.50 2-12 14th
4 967 2016 Richie 5-7 11th 87.31 0.326 17.91 5-8 12th
5 964 2012 Pat 5-7 9th 79.04 0.329 25.04 5-8 11th
6 964 2022 Pulley 6-6 11th 86.36 0.320 14.40 7-7 8th
7 961 2013 Derrek 6-6 9th 84.02 0.335 19.96 7-6 7th
8 961 2010 Allen 6-6 6th 82.44 0.333 21.02 7-6 6th 4th place
9 956 2020 Pat 4-8 13th 88.35 0.328 17.02 5-8 12th
10 956 2025 Babel 3-9 13th 87.28 0.312 20.48