2025 Pat (through 3 weeks)

2-1 (0.667), 318.47 points (106.16 average)

4th place

1.77 expected wins (0.592)

24-15 all-play record (0.615)

-21.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 91.43 84.46 Ed 6.97
2 W 98.05 33.06 Richie 64.99
3 L 128.99 130.88 Scott -1.89
4 Kevin
5 Babel
6 Rabbit
7 Pulley
8 Dave
9 Derrek
10 Mike R.
11 Rob
12 Ed
13 Matt
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%01230.0%102.61538461538461141.2307692307692300.0%279.53846153846155141.23076923076923146.7%456.4615384615384572.020.0%633.3846153846154141.2307692307692333.3%102.61538461538461136.38457077308846033.0%279.5384615384615592.2599112604740410.0%456.461538461538452.7692307692307736217.0%633.3846153846154115.944294613720933Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th305.4230.69822485207124th599.05384615384673.3017751479289937th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th305.473.3017751479289924th599.05384615384673.3017751479289938th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th305.4230.69822485207124th599.05384615384673.301775147928993Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.07 7 Derrick Henry K RB
2.08 22 Mike Evans WR
3.07 35 Malik Nabers K WR
4.08 50 D'Andre Swift RB
5.07 63 David Montgomery RB
6.08 78 David Njoku TE
7.07 91 Caleb Williams QB
8.08 106 Rashid Shaheed WR
9.07 119 Trevor Lawrence QB
10.08 134 Joshua Palmer WR
11.07 147 Dalton Kincaid TE
12.08 162 Nick Chubb RB
13.07 175 Justice Hill RB
14.08 190 Detroit DEF
15.07 203 Kyle Monangai RB
16.08 218 Cam Little K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001230.384114.58461538461539114.6733166241569510.497319.2106.8444390072106420.000523.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.000114.5846153846153988.1158640175446810.000319.272.4581087836520720.895523.815384615384679.290666024672823Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131236117.8153846153846109.2781065088757416328.2109.2781065088757420538.5846153846153141.2307692307692330117.815384615384677.3254437869822510328.277.32544378698225212538.584615384615377.325443786982253All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Pat 2-1 4th 106.16 0.592 16.37
1 979 2025 Pulley 0-3 14th 104.32 0.591 10.48
2 961 2024 Mike R. 1-2 10th 105.50 0.583 25.90 9-5 2nd 3rd place
3 955 2020 Pulley 3-0 1st 113.15 0.588 11.78 8-5 4th 4th place
4 955 2015 Mike R. 2-1 4th 105.78 0.608 11.26 8-5 4th 6th place
5 948 2025 Derrek 2-1 5th 103.82 0.574 12.68
6 948 2021 Schertz 2-1 4th 109.87 0.579 22.72 9-5 7th
7 945 2024 Ed 1-2 9th 107.17 0.613 20.46 6-8 9th
8 943 2009 Allen 2-1 2nd 101.86 0.584 4.31 6-7 7th
9 938 2020 Derrek 2-1 5th 111.87 0.577 12.03 8-5 5th 5th place
10 938 2019 Scott 1-2 8th 105.82 0.562 16.78 4-9 14th