2016 Richie

5-8 (0.385), 1,145.36 points

12th place

4.45 expected wins (0.342)

53-116 all-play record (0.314)

-5.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 85.25 72.19 Allen 13.06
2 L 75.70 139.75 Matt -64.05
3 W 84.08 67.22 Derrek 16.86
4 W 128.25 88.31 Rob 39.94
5 W 108.72 60.32 Mike R. 48.40
6 L 103.34 124.07 Rabbit -20.73
7 L 76.70 90.37 Kevin -13.67
8 L 86.15 125.04 Dave -38.89
9 L 69.02 145.34 Pulley -76.32 Slapped Heartbeat
10 L 74.86 89.80 Babel -14.94 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 94.05 65.83 Ed 28.22
12 L 61.63 95.28 Pat -33.65 Slapped Heartbeat
13 L 97.61 111.79 Schertz -14.18

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.23076923076923424.4%212.780219780219876.8684561187078350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.1%28.71428571428572140.9922543510002701.4%65.52747252747253137.5672866634851617.0%102.34065934065934122.66549299573572217.8%139.1538461538461394.29258540473433326.2%175.9670329670329672.040.0%212.780219780219812.506143006646425514.9%249.5934065934066101.9119110047242366.1%286.4065934065934125.117728938812471.7%323.2197802197802136.7800481406852780.3%360.032967032967140.4109190367939390.0%396.8461538461538141.1330198440575100.0%433.6593406593406141.2236707108523110.0%470.4725274725274141.2304919778199120.0%507.2857142857143141.230764972221413Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th60.68846153846153275.6686390532544214th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613311th158.5730769230769230.698224852071410th207.5153846153846208.213017751479359th256.4576923076923185.727810650887669th305.4185.7278106508876711th354.3423076923077230.698224852071811th403.28461538461534230.698224852071914th452.226923076923298.153846153846131014th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131114th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131214th599.053846153846298.15384615384613137th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415110th60.68846153846153208.213017751479328th109.6307692307692163.2426035502958534th158.573076923076973.3017751479289943rd207.515384615384650.81656804733728455th256.457692307692395.786982248520767th305.4140.7573964497041578th354.3423076923077163.24260355029585812th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272912th452.226923076923253.183431952662721010th501.16923076923075208.21301775147931111th550.1115384615384230.6982248520711212th599.053846153846253.183431952662721312th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th60.68846153846153275.6686390532544214th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613310th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793410th207.5153846153846208.213017751479359th256.4576923076923185.727810650887669th305.4185.7278106508876710th354.3423076923077208.2130177514793811th403.28461538461534230.698224852071912th452.226923076923253.183431952662721012th501.16923076923075253.183431952662721114th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131214th599.053846153846298.1538461538461313Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Rob Gronkowski K TE
2.04 18 Alshon Jeffery WR
3.11 39 Golden Tate WR
4.04 46 Matt Jones RB
5.11 67 Emmanuel Sanders WR
6.04 74 Carson Palmer QB
7.11 95 Justin Forsett RB
8.04 102 Corey Coleman WR
9.11 123 Thomas Rawls K RB
10.04 130 Tony Romo QB
11.11 151 Ladarius Green TE
12.04 158 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
13.11 179 Terrance Williams WR
14.04 186 Kendall Wright WR
15.11 207 Buffalo DEF
16.04 214 Adam Vinatieri K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.27924.64378698224852121.9231007893061510.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.26189.49585798816568123.1277070825532930.895121.9218934911242879.2845836924830840.672154.3479289940828294.7171812984227750.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.420348.9041420118343112.12715149893795110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.00024.64378698224852102.6154323478430710.14857.069822485207105130.9803764092869820.00089.49585798816568105.0246449343373530.000121.9218934911242817.33839815419693840.000154.3479289940828248.2035933660763250.575186.7739644970414101.4334295937912360.161219.2130.0598753738811470.293251.62603550295853120.9685071229593780.087284.0520710059171135.1964984356519390.141316.4781065088757131.4463090321467100.000348.904142011834383.02353376710667110.037381.33017751479287138.66258258131586120.477413.75621301775146108.217863151041613Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213225.655621301775145130.579881656804731059.413017751479295141.230769230769232293.17041420118342130.57988165680473310126.9278106508875887.9763313609467447160.6852071005917103.9526627218934950194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923108363.229585798816598.62721893491124110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.655621301775145119.928994082840231259.413017751479295130.579881656804732093.17041420118342119.9289940828402330126.9278106508875834.7218934911242540160.685207100591766.67455621301775510194.4426035502958487.9763313609467462228.2130.5798816568047372261.9573964497041130.5798816568047380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.229585798816556.02366863905324110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923128430.7443786982248698.6272189349112413All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2016 Richie 5-8 12th 88.10 0.342 17.42
1 991 2020 Pat 5-8 12th 89.15 0.341 16.59
2 989 2014 Schertz 5-8 13th 87.26 0.345 16.95
3 979 2016 Derrek 3-10 14th 88.82 0.349 14.97
4 977 2023 Derrek 5-9 12th 89.17 0.350 18.70
5 970 2009 Pulley 4-9 12th 88.20 0.355 19.15
6 965 2011 Pulley 5-8 10th 90.96 0.352 18.62
7 958 2017 Allen 5-8 12th 85.50 0.353 12.53
8 957 2014 Allen 6-7 10th 88.24 0.363 16.78
9 953 2011 Pat 5-8 11th 87.91 0.358 24.21
10 952 2023 Kevin 4-10 14th 87.18 0.321 18.57