2016 Richie (through 6 weeks)

4-2 (0.667), 585.34 points

5th place

2.69 expected wins (0.449)

33-45 all-play record (0.423)

-25.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 85.25 72.19 Allen 13.06
2 L 75.70 139.75 Matt -64.05
3 W 84.08 67.22 Derrek 16.86
4 W 128.25 88.31 Rob 39.94
5 W 108.72 60.32 Mike R. 48.40
6 L 103.34 124.07 Rabbit -20.73
7 Kevin
8 Dave
9 Pulley
10 Babel
11 Ed
12 Pat
13 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%47.120879120879124141.2307692307692300.0%120.74725274725276141.2307692307692310.0%194.3736263736264141.2307692307692320.0%268.0141.23076923076923317.3%341.6263736263736108.0976156581133840.0%415.2527472527472141.2307692307692350.0%488.8791208791208141.2307692307692361.0%47.120879120879124139.32554423719645010.6%120.74725274725276120.82018796404293131.3%194.373626373626481.22722394215879236.1%268.071.9999999999999930.0%341.626373626373674.9644620854575443.5%415.2527472527472134.5188986737407550.2%488.8791208791208140.769535629194486Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th129.2076923076923275.6686390532544214th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613311th364.1307692307692230.698224852071410th481.59230769230766208.213017751479359th599.053846153846185.727810650887667th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415110th129.2076923076923208.213017751479328th246.66923076923075163.2426035502958534th364.130769230769273.3017751479289943rd481.5923076923076650.81656804733728455th599.05384615384695.7869822485207612th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th129.2076923076923275.6686390532544214th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613310th364.1307692307692208.2130177514793410th481.59230769230766208.213017751479359th599.053846153846185.72781065088766Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Rob Gronkowski K TE
2.04 18 Alshon Jeffery WR
3.11 39 Golden Tate WR
4.04 46 Matt Jones RB
5.11 67 Emmanuel Sanders WR
6.04 74 Carson Palmer QB
7.11 95 Justin Forsett RB
8.04 102 Corey Coleman WR
9.11 123 Thomas Rawls K RB
10.04 130 Tony Romo QB
11.11 151 Ladarius Green TE
12.04 158 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
13.11 179 Terrance Williams WR
14.04 186 Kendall Wright WR
15.11 207 Buffalo DEF
16.04 214 Adam Vinatieri K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.25643.55897435897436123.4850136731292310.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692320.239184.07179487179485124.6896199663763730.872254.3282051282051380.8464965763061840.649324.5846153846153596.2790941822458650.000394.8410256410256141.2307692307692360.00043.55897435897436105.7392581154892410.126113.8153846153846132.5422892931100320.000184.07179487179485108.1484707019835130.000254.3282051282051320.4622239218431240.000324.5846153846153551.32741913372248650.552394.8410256410256102.99534247761436Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456245.347435897435886130.5798816568047310118.48846153846152141.2307692307692322191.62948717948714130.57988165680473310264.770512820512887.9763313609467447337.9115384615384103.9526627218934950411.05256410256413141.230769230769236045.347435897435886119.9289940828402312118.48846153846152130.5798816568047320191.62948717948714119.9289940828402330264.770512820512834.7218934911242540337.911538461538466.67455621301775510411.0525641025641387.976331360946746All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Richie 4-2 5th 97.56 0.449 17.85 5-8 12th
1 983 2019 Mike R. 3-3 9th 96.91 0.446 22.07 8-5 4th 4th place
2 979 2012 Kevin 3-3 7th 95.00 0.447 13.96 5-8 10th
3 977 2012 Rob 2-4 11th 94.74 0.451 13.91 3-10 13th
4 976 2020 Matt 3-3 8th 101.14 0.447 20.15 8-5 2nd 2nd place
5 974 2013 Pat 3-3 10th 95.52 0.446 12.31 5-8 12th
6 970 2015 Ed 3-3 8th 95.14 0.443 22.12 4-9 12th
7 966 2014 Mike R. 2-4 10th 96.03 0.444 26.63 6-7 7th
8 961 2012 Babel 2-4 10th 96.59 0.465 15.77 6-7 6th 2nd place
9 956 2021 Pat 1-5 12th 98.80 0.430 17.09 3-11 12th
10 952 2023 Pat 3-3 8th 96.82 0.467 22.79 5-9 11th