2021 Richie (through 13 weeks)

8-5 (0.615), 1,474.26 points

6th place

8.72 expected wins (0.671)

121-48 all-play record (0.716)

+7.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 87.24 80.17 Scott 7.07
2 L 81.70 140.53 Schertz -58.83
3 W 145.54 52.91 Dave 92.63 Team Blangums
4 W 134.52 83.89 Rabbit 50.63 Team Blangums
5 W 135.53 121.31 Mike R. 14.22
6 L 112.41 118.21 Pulley -5.80
7 W 123.50 113.70 Ed 9.80
8 W 108.72 108.36 Babel 0.36
9 W 92.92 61.19 Rob 31.73
10 L 98.77 100.77 Matt -2.00
11 L 137.82 149.50 Derrek -11.68
12 W 104.20 66.69 Kevin 37.51
13 L 111.39 136.19 Pat -24.80
14 Scott

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.23076923076923723.7%323.219780219780280.7250618756888180.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307686352600.0%65.52747252747253141.2307154800784310.0%102.34065934065934141.228815230667220.0%139.15384615384613141.1932057523160630.2%175.96703296703296140.8097556609133741.1%212.7802197802198138.3524746390571454.8%249.5934065934066128.87584004406747613.3%286.4065934065934107.2340017118775470.0%323.219780219780220.21935452060839827.1%360.03296703296772.00000000000001919.4%396.846153846153891.54356658382493108.3%433.6593406593406120.00454462708511111.9%470.4725274725274136.3860712698999120.2%507.2857142857143140.7839151678507513Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793113th60.68846153846153275.668639053254428th109.6307692307692163.2426035502958535th158.573076923076995.786982248520745th207.515384615384695.786982248520755th256.457692307692395.786982248520763rd305.450.81656804733728472nd354.342307692307728.33136094674557682nd403.2846153846153428.33136094674557693rd452.22692307692350.816568047337284103rd501.1692307692307550.816568047337284113rd550.111538461538450.816568047337284122nd599.05384615384628.331360946745576137th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415110th60.68846153846153208.213017751479326th109.6307692307692118.2721893491124134th158.573076923076973.3017751479289943rd207.515384615384650.81656804733728454th256.457692307692373.3017751479289963rd305.450.81656804733728473rd354.342307692307750.81656804733728482nd403.2846153846153428.33136094674557695th452.22692307692395.7869822485207105th501.1692307692307595.7869822485207115th550.111538461538495.7869822485207126th599.053846153846118.272189349112411310th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793113th60.68846153846153275.668639053254426th109.6307692307692118.2721893491124134th158.573076923076973.3017751479289944th207.515384615384673.3017751479289955th256.457692307692395.786982248520764th305.473.3017751479289973rd354.342307692307750.81656804733728482nd403.2846153846153428.33136094674557692nd452.22692307692328.331360946745576102nd501.1692307692307528.331360946745576111st550.11153846153845.846153846153811122nd599.05384615384628.33136094674557613Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
3
8
12

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Austin Ekeler RB
2.07 21 James Conner RB
3.08 36 Calvin Ridley K WR
4.07 49 Ja'Marr Chase WR
5.08 64 Curtis Samuel WR
6.07 77 DK Metcalf K WR
7.08 92 Noah Fant TE
8.07 105 Trevor Lawrence QB
9.08 120 Gus Edwards RB
10.07 133 Tua Tagovailoa QB
11.08 148 Jared Cook TE
12.07 161 Bryan Edwards WR
13.08 176 Christian Kirk WR
14.07 189 Chicago DEF
15.08 204 Byron Pringle WR
16.07 217 Mason Crosby K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.30524.64378698224852120.1467248595638910.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.96789.4958579881656874.2580436130362930.928121.9218934911242876.9854540883128240.933154.3479289940828276.6217993582759550.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.857219.281.8720645231832770.667251.6260355029585395.0318200663925180.395284.0520710059171113.8964091870551890.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.585381.33017751479287100.75938206447323120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.00024.6437869822485299.0626804883585510.21957.069822485207105126.1015710639176520.00089.495857988165687.28531799530335930.000121.9218934911242812.74013894585641540.000154.3479289940828212.01282948578267550.722186.773964497041491.2134454010053760.000219.222.51335981559729870.000251.6260355029585348.832870902015880.000284.052071005917186.5620491433411390.491316.4781065088757107.25971036388228100.944348.904142011834375.86039726726125110.000381.3301775147928760.28799489817723120.709413.7562130177514692.1339464364112113Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213425.655621301775145119.928994082840231059.413017751479295141.2307692307692321393.1704142011834272.0313126.9278106508875872.0410160.685207100591787.9763313609467450194.44260355029584141.23076923076923612228.277.32544378698225712261.957396449704177.3254437869822588295.714792899408398.6272189349112490329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923119396.986982248520793.30177514792899120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.65562130177514598.627218934911241359.413017751479295125.254437869822482093.170414201183422.769230769230773630126.927810650887582.769230769230773640160.685207100591734.7218934911242557194.44260355029584103.9526627218934960228.213.4201183431952770261.957396449704113.4201183431952780295.714792899408356.0236686390532498329.4721893491123498.627218934911241012363.229585798816577.32544378698225110396.986982248520745.3727810650887451210430.7443786982248687.9763313609467413All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Richie 8-5 6th 113.40 0.671 19.81 9-5 5th 6th place
1 989 2023 Pulley 7-6 6th 115.61 0.670 20.50 8-6 4th 6th place
2 977 2022 Schertz 6-7 8th 114.02 0.666 25.06 6-8 9th
3 976 2023 Rabbit 8-5 4th 112.23 0.665 23.88 8-6 6th 4th place
4 972 2019 Matt 8-5 2nd 113.86 0.682 17.43 8-5 2nd 2nd place
5 972 2023 Matt 8-5 3rd 114.28 0.683 19.93 9-5 2nd 3rd place
6 971 2017 Pulley 11-2 1st 109.18 0.674 23.01 11-2 1st 3rd place
7 967 2014 Pulley 9-4 2nd 113.88 0.686 20.48 9-4 2nd 3rd place
8 964 2021 Babel 9-4 3rd 111.66 0.657 19.68 10-4 3rd 5th place
9 964 2012 Rabbit 12-1 1st 110.66 0.680 23.11 12-1 1st 3rd place
10 957 2024 Rob 11-2 1st 110.70 0.656 20.52 12-2 1st