2014 Schertz

5-8 (0.385), 1,134.35 points

13th place

4.49 expected wins (0.345)

57-112 all-play record (0.337)

-12.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 83.62 157.21 Dave -73.59
2 W 74.81 72.63 Ed 2.18
3 W 96.28 75.96 Mike R. 20.32
4 W 100.39 87.58 Babel 12.81
5 W 107.18 89.05 Allen 18.13
6 W 120.48 60.70 Kevin 59.78 Team Blangums
7 L 78.03 84.05 Matt -6.02
8 L 99.95 153.86 Rabbit -53.91
9 L 74.25 82.06 Rob -7.81
10 L 82.61 110.01 Pat -27.40
11 L 74.61 104.02 Derrek -29.41
12 L 89.67 101.83 Pulley -12.16
13 L 52.47 92.91 Richie -40.44 Slapped Heartbeat

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.23076923076923424.3%212.780219780219875.1199029277724750.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.1%28.71428571428572140.8991325173578601.5%65.52747252747253137.171525815484817.0%102.34065934065934122.31354320609984217.2%139.1538461538461394.61263968253868325.5%175.9670329670329672.040.0%212.78021978021989.009036624775717515.5%249.593406593406699.2281353463431266.6%286.4065934065934123.1919510679964871.9%323.2197802197802135.9858547103259280.4%360.032967032967140.212684688511590.0%396.8461538461538141.10351876762206100.0%433.6593406593406141.22127661365303110.0%470.4725274725274141.23041251366732120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307652003959213Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th60.68846153846153275.6686390532544211th109.6307692307692230.698224852071311th158.5730769230769230.698224852071410th207.5153846153846208.213017751479357th256.4576923076923140.7573964497041568th305.4163.2426035502958578th354.3423076923077163.2426035502958589th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876911th452.226923076923230.6982248520711012th501.16923076923075253.183431952662721112th550.1115384615384253.183431952662721214th599.053846153846298.153846153846131311th11.746153846153845230.698224852071111th60.68846153846153230.69822485207128th109.6307692307692163.2426035502958534th158.573076923076973.3017751479289943rd207.515384615384650.81656804733728453rd256.457692307692350.81656804733728464th305.473.3017751479289975th354.342307692307795.786982248520786th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124198th452.226923076923163.24260355029585109th501.16923076923075185.72781065088761111th550.1115384615384230.6982248520711213th599.053846153846275.66863905325441311th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th60.68846153846153275.6686390532544211th109.6307692307692230.698224852071310th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793410th207.5153846153846208.213017751479357th256.4576923076923140.7573964497041568th305.4163.2426035502958578th354.3423076923077163.2426035502958588th403.28461538461534163.24260355029585910th452.226923076923208.21301775147931011th501.16923076923075230.6982248520711112th550.1115384615384253.183431952662721214th599.053846153846298.1538461538461313Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Matt Forte RB
2.13 27 Vincent Jackson WR
3.02 30 Pierre Garcon WR
4.13 55 Vernon Davis TE
5.02 58 Tom Brady QB
6.13 83 Ben Tate K RB
7.02 86 Terrance West RB
8.13 111 Justin Hunter WR
9.02 114 Jay Cutler QB
10.13 139 St. Louis DEF
11.02 142 Matt Prater K
12.13 167 Jonathan Grimes RB
13.02 170 Michael Crabtree K WR
14.13 195 Brandon Bostick TE
15.02 198 C.J. Anderson RB
16.13 223 Harry Douglas WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.14657.069822485207105131.1419729823184620.46489.49585798816568109.1181333944604730.528121.92189349112428104.6633629515088240.656154.3479289940828295.8106431171737550.842186.773964497041482.9577212524331260.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.25824.64378698224852123.3688531277803410.00057.069822485207105121.0531767338676720.00089.4958579881656877.0054975581517330.000121.9218934911242868.0959566722483940.000154.3479289940828250.3905170035782750.000186.773964497041424.68467327409699460.182219.2128.5963898720603470.519251.62603550295853105.2997587290733580.139284.0520710059171131.6192698154918690.245316.4781065088757124.27798995287252100.144348.9041420118343131.27834350608228110.350381.33017751479287117.02762377276241120.018413.75621301775146139.9833286063398513Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231259.413017751479295130.579881656804732593.17041420118342114.6035502958579935126.92781065088758114.60355029585799410160.685207100591787.97633136094674513194.4426035502958472.060228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313325.655621301775145125.254437869822481059.413017751479295119.928994082840232093.1704142011834287.9763313609467430126.9278106508875887.9763313609467440160.685207100591734.7218934911242550194.442603550295842.769230769230773665228.2114.6035502958579975261.9573964497041114.6035502958579983295.7147928994083125.2544378698224892329.47218934911234130.57988165680473101363.2295857988165135.90532544378698113396.9869822485207125.25443786982248120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2014 Schertz 5-8 13th 87.26 0.345 16.95
1 989 2016 Richie 5-8 12th 88.10 0.342 17.42
2 983 2016 Derrek 3-10 14th 88.82 0.349 14.97
3 982 2020 Pat 5-8 12th 89.15 0.341 16.59
4 980 2023 Derrek 5-9 12th 89.17 0.350 18.70
5 972 2009 Pulley 4-9 12th 88.20 0.355 19.15
6 969 2017 Allen 5-8 12th 85.50 0.353 12.53
7 968 2011 Pulley 5-8 10th 90.96 0.352 18.62
8 961 2014 Allen 6-7 10th 88.24 0.363 16.78
9 961 2010 Pat 3-10 12th 84.05 0.355 20.89
10 957 2011 Pat 5-8 11th 87.91 0.358 24.21