2014 Schertz (through 8 weeks)

5-3 (0.625), 760.74 points

5th place

3.49 expected wins (0.436)

48-56 all-play record (0.462)

-22.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 83.62 157.21 Dave -73.59
2 W 74.81 72.63 Ed 2.18
3 W 96.28 75.96 Mike R. 20.32
4 W 100.39 87.58 Babel 12.81
5 W 107.18 89.05 Allen 18.13
6 W 120.48 60.70 Kevin 59.78 Team Blangums
7 L 78.03 84.05 Matt -6.02
8 L 99.95 153.86 Rabbit -53.91
9 Rob
10 Pat
11 Derrek
12 Pulley
13 Richie

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.2307692307692330.0%268.0141.23076923076923415.4%325.2649572649573105.047008517269350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.4%38.940170940170944140.19130293134904.5%96.20512820512818130.63609133528263116.5%153.47008547008548102.53602517705043229.5%210.7350427350427372.0328.6%268.073.9812738051200140.0%325.264957264957368.8632478037693854.4%382.52991452991455130.8098315317621760.6%439.79487179487177139.7559230109011470.0%497.05982905982904141.151018660026358Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th95.64725274725272275.6686390532544211th179.54835164835166230.698224852071311th263.44945054945055230.698224852071410th347.3505494505494208.213017751479357th431.2516483516483140.7573964497041568th515.1527472527472163.2426035502958578th599.053846153846163.24260355029585811th11.746153846153845230.698224852071111th95.64725274725272230.69822485207128th179.54835164835166163.2426035502958534th263.4494505494505573.3017751479289943rd347.350549450549450.81656804733728453rd431.251648351648350.81656804733728464th515.152747252747273.3017751479289975th599.05384615384695.7869822485207811th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th95.64725274725272275.6686390532544211th179.54835164835166230.698224852071310th263.44945054945055208.2130177514793410th347.3505494505494208.213017751479357th431.2516483516483140.7573964497041568th515.1527472527472163.2426035502958578th599.053846153846163.242603550295858Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Matt Forte RB
2.13 27 Vincent Jackson WR
3.02 30 Pierre Garcon WR
4.13 55 Vernon Davis TE
5.02 58 Tom Brady QB
6.13 83 Ben Tate K RB
7.02 86 Terrance West RB
8.13 111 Justin Hunter WR
9.02 114 Jay Cutler QB
10.13 139 St. Louis DEF
11.02 142 Matt Prater K
12.13 167 Jonathan Grimes RB
13.02 170 Michael Crabtree K WR
14.13 195 Brandon Bostick TE
15.02 198 C.J. Anderson RB
16.13 223 Harry Douglas WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692310.13287.46923076923076132.0865371086562720.450140.16153846153844110.0626975207983130.515192.85384615384618105.6079270778466440.642245.5461538461538696.7552072435115950.828298.238461538461583.9022853787709360.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.000403.6230769230769141.2307692307692380.24434.776923076923076124.3134172541181810.00087.46923076923076122.9423049865433320.000140.1615384615384478.8946258108273930.000192.8538461538461869.9850849249240540.000245.5461538461538652.2796452562539450.000298.238461538461526.5738015267726460.169350.93076923076916129.5409539983981870.505403.6230769230769106.244322855411168Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678036.20480769230769141.230769230769231291.06057692307692130.5798816568047325145.91634615384615114.6035502958579935200.77211538461538114.60355029585799410255.627884615384687.97633136094674513310.4836538461538672.060365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.1951923076923141.230769230769238336.20480769230769125.254437869822481091.06057692307692119.9289940828402320145.9163461538461587.9763313609467430200.7721153846153887.9763313609467440255.627884615384634.7218934911242550310.483653846153862.769230769230773665365.3394230769231114.6035502958579975420.1951923076923114.603550295857998All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Schertz 5-3 5th 95.09 0.436 14.48 5-8 13th
1 987 2020 Babel 5-3 5th 96.36 0.434 12.81 8-5 3rd 3rd place
2 985 2015 Schertz 5-3 5th 93.00 0.439 14.62 9-4 2nd 2nd place
3 984 2022 Mike R. 5-3 4th 95.23 0.443 15.13 9-5 2nd Blingabowl XV champion
4 982 2012 Pulley 3-5 8th 92.62 0.438 12.91 4-9 12th
5 979 2012 Babel 3-5 9th 92.55 0.438 17.99 6-7 6th 2nd place
6 973 2023 Ed 5-3 6th 95.58 0.425 16.55 11-3 1st 2nd place
7 970 2008 Allen 5-3 5th 88.87 0.438 14.31 8-5 4th 5th place
8 969 2024 Schertz 3-5 11th 93.97 0.443 20.57 7-7 7th
9 968 2013 Schertz 4-4 7th 91.67 0.437 21.83 6-7 9th
10 968 2009 Dave 5-3 4th 92.67 0.425 13.82 5-8 11th