2021 Schertz

9-5 (0.643), 1,425.29 points

7th place

7.35 expected wins (0.525)

98-84 all-play record (0.538)

-8.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 86.22 148.29 Rabbit -62.07
2 W 140.53 81.70 Richie 58.83
3 W 102.87 68.93 Scott 33.94
4 W 103.15 64.75 Dave 38.40
5 W 148.35 112.78 Rabbit 35.57
6 W 137.45 90.81 Mike R. 46.64 Team Blangums
7 W 110.96 102.97 Pulley 7.99
8 L 104.34 113.83 Ed -9.49
9 L 66.28 118.94 Babel -52.66
10 W 111.54 57.44 Rob 54.10
11 L 72.46 92.08 Matt -19.62
12 L 44.40 125.59 Derrek -81.19 Slapped Heartbeat
13 W 87.36 80.53 Kevin 6.83
14 W 109.38 98.94 Pat 10.44

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910111213140.0%27.48717948717949141.2307692307692300.0%61.84615384615385141.2307692307692310.0%96.2051282051282141.2307692307692320.0%130.56410256410257141.2307692307692330.0%164.92307692307696141.2307692307692340.0%199.28205128205127141.2307692307692350.0%233.6410256410257141.2307692307692360.0%268.0141.2307692307692370.0%302.3589743589743141.23076923076923815.0%336.71794871794873101.8118372730407290.0%371.0769230769231141.23076923076923100.0%405.4358974358974141.23076923076923110.0%439.7948717948718141.23076923076923120.0%474.15384615384613141.23076923076923130.0%508.5128205128205141.23076923076923140.0%27.48717948717949141.2307371109391200.0%61.84615384615385141.228457340546510.0%96.2051282051282141.169015486734120.3%130.56410256410257140.4480850573562832.0%164.92307692307696136.083521375198747.4%199.28205128205127121.62794045888847517.5%233.641025641025795.06702293879512626.3%268.072.0725.1%302.358974358974375.0144339234281180.0%336.7179487179487362.3929053153122295.3%371.0769230769231127.38753131977955101.0%405.4358974358974138.61646870154652110.1%439.7948717948718141.00753768573776120.0%474.15384615384613141.22438665127908130.0%508.5128205128205141.2307692307692314Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011121314Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.69822485207115th56.9236686390532595.786982248520724th102.1011834319526573.3017751479289936th147.27869822485206118.2721893491124146th192.45621301775148118.2721893491124153rd237.633727810650950.81656804733728462nd282.811242603550328.33136094674557673rd327.9887573964496750.81656804733728484th373.1662721893490673.3017751479289994th418.343786982248573.30177514792899104th463.521301775147973.30177514792899116th508.6988165680473118.27218934911241126th553.8763313609467118.27218934911241136th599.053846153846118.272189349112411411th11.746153846153845230.69822485207115th56.9236686390532595.786982248520724th102.1011834319526573.3017751479289935th147.2786982248520695.786982248520744th192.4562130177514873.3017751479289952nd237.633727810650928.33136094674557662nd282.811242603550328.33136094674557672nd327.9887573964496728.33136094674557687th373.16627218934906140.7573964497041596th418.3437869822485118.27218934911241107th463.5213017751479140.75739644970415117th508.6988165680473140.75739644970415127th553.8763313609467140.75739644970415137th599.053846153846140.757396449704151411th11.746153846153845230.69822485207115th56.9236686390532595.786982248520724th102.1011834319526573.3017751479289936th147.27869822485206118.2721893491124145th192.4562130177514895.786982248520753rd237.633727810650950.81656804733728462nd282.811242603550328.33136094674557672nd327.9887573964496728.33136094674557684th373.1662721893490673.3017751479289993rd418.343786982248550.816568047337284105th463.521301775147995.7869822485207116th508.6988165680473118.27218934911241127th553.8763313609467140.75739644970415137th599.053846153846140.7573964497041514Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Derrick Henry K RB
2.11 25 Mike Evans WR
3.04 32 Julio Jones WR
4.11 53 Stefon Diggs K WR
5.04 60 Tom Brady QB
6.11 81 Trey Sermon RB
7.04 88 Ryan Tannehill QB
8.11 109 Devin Singletary RB
9.04 116 Kenyan Drake RB
10.11 137 Pittsburgh DEF
11.04 144 Adam Trautman TE
12.11 165 Younghoe Koo K
13.04 172 Latavius Murray RB
14.11 193 Xavier Jones RB
15.04 200 Tre'Quan Smith WR
16.11 221 Darrel Williams RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910111213140.00023.485714285714284139.8892340969749210.94753.595604395604474.9710834601546720.55483.70549450549449101.9246625778456830.559113.81538461538459101.5420230413106140.966143.925274725274773.6881156023606150.935174.0351648351648475.7588707412562960.696204.145054945054992.1448461881699170.000234.25494505494504139.8892340969749280.000264.36483516483514139.8892340969749290.704294.474725274725391.62715740344599100.000324.58461538461535139.88923409697492110.000354.69450549450545139.88923409697492120.300384.80439560439555119.28974507412845130.671414.9142857142856593.87797820659347140.28423.485714285714284120.4039013716864410.00053.595604395604410.0529328233344320.00083.7054945054944963.9600910587164430.000113.8153846153845963.1948119856463140.000143.92527472527477.48699710774630550.000174.0351648351648411.6285073855376660.000204.145054945054944.4004582793649170.581234.25494505494504100.0564813112332880.053264.36483516483514136.2496798258446890.000294.474725274725343.365080709917066100.106324.58461538461535132.648366540808711-0.010354.69450549450545140.56000166387207120.000384.8043956043955598.69025605128198130.000414.9142857142856547.8667223162120214Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121314024.449999999999996141.2307692307692311255.7961538461538477.325443786982252787.14230769230768103.9526627218934936118.48846153846152109.27810650887574412149.8346153846153877.32544378698225513181.1807692307692472.0610212.5269230769230587.9763313609467470243.87307692307692141.2307692307692380275.21923076923076141.23076923076923912306.5653846153846377.32544378698225100337.91153846153844141.23076923076923110369.2576923076923141.23076923076923123400.6038461538461125.25443786982248137431.95103.9526627218934914324.449999999999996125.254437869822481055.7961538461538413.420118343195272087.1423076923076866.6745562130177530118.4884615384615277.3254437869822540149.8346153846153813.4201183431952750181.180769230769242.769230769230773660212.5269230769230534.7218934911242578243.8730769230769298.6272189349112482275.21923076923076130.5798816568047390306.5653846153846313.42011834319527103337.91153846153844125.25443786982248110369.2576923076923141.23076923076923120400.6038461538461109.27810650887574130431.9566.6745562130177514All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2021 Schertz 9-5 7th 101.81 0.525 28.10
1 990 2022 Rabbit 8-6 5th 101.88 0.529 27.75 5th place
2 985 2013 Rabbit 5-8 11th 101.31 0.519 27.66
3 979 2019 Mike R. 8-5 4th 102.54 0.522 22.23 4th place
4 975 2024 Matt 8-6 6th 101.70 0.529 20.21
5 974 2021 Dave 10-4 4th 101.01 0.514 28.50 Blingabowl XIV champion
6 974 2021 Matt 11-3 2nd 104.65 0.522 23.60 4th place
7 973 2011 Babel 7-6 7th 102.34 0.523 17.34
8 971 2013 Pulley 8-5 3rd 99.08 0.529 23.01 3rd place
9 971 2013 Kevin 6-7 8th 96.62 0.523 30.61
10 968 2023 Ed 11-3 1st 102.55 0.530 18.47 2nd place