2021 Schertz (through 13 weeks)

8-5 (0.615), 1,315.91 points

7th place

6.76 expected wins (0.520)

91-78 all-play record (0.538)

-7.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 86.22 148.29 Rabbit -62.07
2 W 140.53 81.70 Richie 58.83
3 W 102.87 68.93 Scott 33.94
4 W 103.15 64.75 Dave 38.40
5 W 148.35 112.78 Rabbit 35.57
6 W 137.45 90.81 Mike R. 46.64 Team Blangums
7 W 110.96 102.97 Pulley 7.99
8 L 104.34 113.83 Ed -9.49
9 L 66.28 118.94 Babel -52.66
10 W 111.54 57.44 Rob 54.10
11 L 72.46 92.08 Matt -19.62
12 L 44.40 125.59 Derrek -81.19 Slapped Heartbeat
13 W 87.36 80.53 Kevin 6.83
14 Pat

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.23076923076923719.8%323.219780219780293.2386727335592780.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307193538952700.0%65.52747252747253141.2266889574812610.0%102.34065934065934141.1121854269194720.6%139.15384615384613139.6958457062094733.9%175.96703296703296131.88353699778975412.7%212.7802197802198110.37938424251473524.6%249.593406593406681.65291591571689628.6%286.406593406593471.9999999999999970.0%323.219780219780245.2465762363493387.9%360.032967032967122.2147996607199291.6%396.8461538461538137.25873969559603100.2%433.6593406593406140.85790694961048110.0%470.4725274725274141.21894666300523120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307692307692313Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.69822485207115th60.6884615384615395.786982248520724th109.630769230769273.3017751479289936th158.5730769230769118.2721893491124146th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124153rd256.457692307692350.81656804733728462nd305.428.33136094674557673rd354.342307692307750.81656804733728484th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289994th452.22692307692373.30177514792899104th501.1692307692307573.30177514792899116th550.1115384615384118.27218934911241126th599.053846153846118.272189349112411311th11.746153846153845230.69822485207115th60.6884615384615395.786982248520724th109.630769230769273.3017751479289935th158.573076923076995.786982248520744th207.515384615384673.3017751479289952nd256.457692307692328.33136094674557662nd305.428.33136094674557672nd354.342307692307728.33136094674557687th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041596th452.226923076923118.27218934911241107th501.16923076923075140.75739644970415117th550.1115384615384140.75739644970415127th599.053846153846140.757396449704151311th11.746153846153845230.69822485207115th60.6884615384615395.786982248520724th109.630769230769273.3017751479289936th158.5730769230769118.2721893491124145th207.515384615384695.786982248520753rd256.457692307692350.81656804733728462nd305.428.33136094674557672nd354.342307692307728.33136094674557684th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289993rd452.22692307692350.816568047337284105th501.1692307692307595.7869822485207116th550.1115384615384118.27218934911241127th599.053846153846140.7573964497041513Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Derrick Henry K RB
2.11 25 Mike Evans WR
3.04 32 Julio Jones WR
4.11 53 Stefon Diggs K WR
5.04 60 Tom Brady QB
6.11 81 Trey Sermon RB
7.04 88 Ryan Tannehill QB
8.11 109 Devin Singletary RB
9.04 116 Kenyan Drake RB
10.11 137 Pittsburgh DEF
11.04 144 Adam Trautman TE
12.11 165 Younghoe Koo K
13.04 172 Latavius Murray RB
14.11 193 Xavier Jones RB
15.04 200 Tre'Quan Smith WR
16.11 221 Darrel Williams RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852140.807098065550410.95457.06982248520710574.9909715172544720.56089.49585798816568102.1249744862864330.566121.92189349112428101.7397736090642640.972154.3479289940828273.6994156348036950.942186.773964497041475.784032146829560.703219.292.279693241990570.000251.62603550295853140.807098065550480.000284.0520710059171140.807098065550490.711316.478106508875791.75853911398403100.000348.9041420118343140.8070980655504110.000381.33017751479287140.8070980655504120.307413.75621301775146119.60629664963355130.29124.64378698224852120.7279109686039610.00057.0698224852071059.17484496895852420.00089.4958579881656863.4428509070224630.000121.9218934911242862.67244915257812540.000154.347928994082826.59173320405696550.000186.773964497041410.760966228108660.000219.243.75228841843059570.588251.62603550295853100.2442878504370580.060284.0520710059171136.6797590606277690.000316.478106508875742.709980162417665100.112348.9041420118343133.0543390397132811-0.003381.33017751479287141.01893364815982120.000413.7562130177514698.4054952337166913Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.2307692307692311259.41301775147929577.325443786982252793.17041420118342103.9526627218934936126.92781065088758109.27810650887574412160.685207100591777.32544378698225513194.4426035502958472.0610228.287.9763313609467470261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.23076923076923912329.4721893491123477.32544378698225100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923123430.74437869822486125.2544378698224813325.655621301775145125.254437869822481059.41301775147929513.420118343195272093.1704142011834266.6745562130177530126.9278106508875877.3254437869822540160.685207100591713.4201183431952750194.442603550295842.769230769230773660228.234.7218934911242578261.957396449704198.6272189349112482295.7147928994083130.5798816568047390329.4721893491123413.42011834319527103363.2295857988165125.25443786982248110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923120430.74437869822486109.2781065088757413All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Schertz 8-5 7th 101.22 0.520 29.08 9-5 7th
1 994 2013 Rabbit 5-8 11th 101.31 0.519 27.66 5-8 11th
2 978 2019 Mike R. 8-5 4th 102.54 0.522 22.23 8-5 4th 4th place
3 974 2015 Schertz 9-4 2nd 101.30 0.509 27.25 9-4 2nd 2nd place
4 973 2013 Kevin 6-7 8th 96.62 0.523 30.61 6-7 8th
5 967 2009 Mike R. 5-8 10th 100.81 0.515 19.33 5-8 10th
6 966 2022 Rabbit 8-5 2nd 101.02 0.504 28.62 8-6 5th 5th place
7 966 2011 Babel 7-6 7th 102.34 0.523 17.34 7-6 7th
8 966 2023 Ed 10-3 1st 101.94 0.515 19.03 11-3 1st 2nd place
9 965 2024 Matt 8-5 4th 101.55 0.529 20.96 8-6 6th
10 962 2013 Pulley 8-5 3rd 99.08 0.529 23.01 8-5 3rd 3rd place