2008 Matt

3-10 (0.231), 1,086.33 points (83.56 average)

12th place

4.77 expected wins (0.367)

53-90 all-play record (0.371)

+23.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 84.10 106.97 Ed -22.87
2 L 80.30 107.26 Derrek -26.96
3 L 82.07 91.49 Dave -9.42
4 W 125.27 69.67 Katie 55.60 Team Blangums
5 L 87.28 110.69 Pulley -23.41
6 L 91.73 114.39 Rob -22.66
7 L 69.03 92.40 Mike R. -23.37
8 L 66.02 113.14 Rabbit -47.12 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 72.43 108.37 Kevin -35.94
10 L 79.36 118.90 Babel -39.54
11 L 45.28 86.30 Allen -41.02
12 W 113.66 109.43 Ed 4.23
13 W 89.80 60.14 Derrek 29.66

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.23076923076923214.4%139.15384615384613103.1458776705226530.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.201698827538600.5%65.52747252747253139.9122583800252614.4%102.34065934065934129.5603925276856520.0%139.1538461538461365.06098611027609324.8%175.9670329670329675.54168901727195426.1%212.780219780219872.0518.0%249.593406593406693.4443851866118468.4%286.4065934065934118.8981408362996372.7%323.2197802197802134.0879994209666480.6%360.032967032967139.6793840166267390.1%396.8461538461538141.00832176874616100.0%433.6593406593406141.21091755952875110.0%470.4725274725274141.22979195033042120.0%507.2857142857143141.230749680466113Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845138.71328671328675111th60.68846153846153271.5804195804196212th109.6307692307692298.1538461538461337th158.5730769230769165.286713286713349th207.5153846153846218.4335664335664558th256.4576923076923191.860139860139969th305.4218.43356643356645710th354.3423076923077245.006993006993810th403.28461538461534245.006993006993911th452.226923076923271.58041958041961011th501.16923076923075271.58041958041961110th550.1115384615384245.0069930069931211th599.053846153846271.5804195804196139th11.746153846153845218.43356643356645111th60.68846153846153271.5804195804196212th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613311th158.5730769230769271.5804195804196411th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196511th256.4576923076923271.5804195804196612th305.4298.15384615384613712th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613812th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923298.153846153846131012th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131112th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131212th599.053846153846298.15384615384613136th11.746153846153845138.71328671328675110th60.68846153846153245.006993006993211th109.6307692307692271.580419580419636th158.5730769230769138.7132867132867547th207.5153846153846165.286713286713358th256.4576923076923191.860139860139968th305.4191.8601398601399710th354.3423076923077245.006993006993810th403.28461538461534245.006993006993911th452.226923076923271.58041958041961011th501.16923076923075271.58041958041961110th550.1115384615384245.0069930069931211th599.053846153846271.580419580419613Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Tom Brady QB
2.07 19 Larry Johnson RB
3.06 30 Chad Ochocinco WR
4.07 43 Reggie Bush RB
5.06 54 Roy Williams WR
6.07 67 Jerricho Cotchery WR
7.06 78 Kevin Smith RB
8.07 91 Nate Burleson WR
9.06 102 Owen Daniels TE
10.07 115 Ricky Williams RB
11.06 126 Nick Folk K
12.07 139 Aaron Rodgers QB
13.06 150 Dallas DEF
14.07 163 Kevin Walter WR
15.06 174 Buffalo DEF
16.07 187 Robert Meachem WR
Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.972121.9218934911242873.9301432388171840.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.857381.3301775147928781.90235443487094120.433413.75621301775146111.25897733197196130.33024.64378698224852118.4135331874899310.26657.069822485207105122.8121063883023420.29689.49585798816568120.7113501223016130.000121.921893491124286.62951724686513440.396154.34792899408282113.8263134679717350.469186.7739644970414108.7354979847321860.154219.2130.6028654823272270.123251.62603550295853132.6968461961524880.172284.0520710059171129.294748293377690.250316.4781065088757123.95407510864813100.052348.9041420118343137.62972630593265110.000381.3301775147928722.573939638972675120.000413.7562130177514681.287185433174713Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.23076923076923311126.9278106508875872.040160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.2295857988165141.230769230769231110396.986982248520778.2937062937063125430.74437869822486109.7622377622377613625.655621301775145103.468531468531471259.413017751479295128.643356643356642493.17041420118342116.0559440559440530126.927810650887582.769230769230773645160.6852071005917109.7622377622377653194.44260355029584122.3496503496503561228.2134.9370629370629370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692383295.7147928994083122.3496503496503592329.47218934911234128.64335664335664101363.2295857988165134.93706293706293110396.986982248520715.35664335664336120430.7443786982248678.2937062937063113All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2008 Matt 3-10 12th 83.56 0.367 19.42
1 973 2014 Allen 6-7 10th 88.24 0.365 16.78
2 972 2010 Allen 7-6 6th 85.16 0.375 22.29 4th place
3 967 2016 Pat 7-6 7th 88.96 0.364 16.09
4 966 2010 Pat 3-10 12th 84.05 0.352 20.89
5 964 2012 Kevin 5-8 10th 85.92 0.378 21.90
6 962 2013 Pat 5-8 12th 87.34 0.375 16.65
7 958 2013 Derrek 7-6 7th 88.08 0.374 23.77
8 958 2017 Allen 5-8 12th 85.50 0.357 12.53
9 955 2011 Pat 5-8 11th 87.91 0.358 24.21
10 953 2017 Matt 5-8 11th 86.79 0.381 16.42