2008 Matt (through 6 weeks)

1-5 (0.167), 550.75 points

11th place

2.79 expected wins (0.464)

31-35 all-play record (0.470)

+25.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 84.10 106.97 Ed -22.87
2 L 80.30 107.26 Derrek -26.96
3 L 82.07 91.49 Dave -9.42
4 W 125.27 69.67 Katie 55.60 Team Blangums
5 L 87.28 110.69 Pulley -23.41
6 L 91.73 114.39 Rob -22.66
7 Mike R.
8 Rabbit
9 Kevin
10 Babel
11 Allen
12 Ed
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%47.120879120879124141.23076923076923010.8%120.74725274725276119.0920843381293810.0%194.3736263736264141.2307692307692320.0%268.0141.2307692307692330.0%341.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%415.2527472527472141.2307692307692350.0%488.8791208791208141.2307692307692360.4%47.120879120879124140.4404857255253200.0%120.7472527472527696.95339944548952129.9%194.373626373626480.07063011951425233.9%268.071.99999999999999319.1%341.6263736263736102.3046257322074645.3%415.2527472527472130.4187167630127850.6%488.8791208791208140.045334755599876Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845138.71328671328675111th129.2076923076923271.5804195804196212th246.66923076923075298.1538461538461336th364.1307692307692138.7132867132867547th481.59230769230766165.286713286713358th599.053846153846191.860139860139969th11.746153846153845218.43356643356645111th129.2076923076923271.5804195804196212th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613311th364.1307692307692271.5804195804196411th481.59230769230766271.5804195804196511th599.053846153846271.580419580419666th11.746153846153845138.71328671328675110th129.2076923076923245.006993006993211th246.66923076923075271.580419580419636th364.1307692307692138.7132867132867547th481.59230769230766165.286713286713358th599.053846153846191.86013986013996Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Tom Brady QB
2.07 19 Larry Johnson RB
3.06 30 Chad Ochocinco WR
4.07 43 Reggie Bush RB
5.06 54 Roy Williams WR
6.07 67 Jerricho Cotchery WR
7.06 78 Kevin Smith RB
8.07 91 Nate Burleson WR
9.06 102 Owen Daniels TE
10.07 115 Ricky Williams RB
11.06 126 Nick Folk K
12.07 139 Aaron Rodgers QB
13.06 150 Dallas DEF
14.07 163 Kevin Walter WR
15.06 174 Buffalo DEF
16.07 187 Robert Meachem WR
Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.00043.55897435897436141.2307692307692310.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692320.000184.07179487179485141.2307692307692330.962254.3282051282051374.656384160816240.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692350.000394.8410256410256141.2307692307692360.35043.55897435897436117.0335244204252710.292113.8153846153846121.045090661144520.319184.07179487179485119.1359033284509230.000254.328205128205138.08199909086317840.399324.58461538461535113.6356255366432650.466394.8410256410256108.999027728673166Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456045.347435897435886141.2307692307692310118.48846153846152141.2307692307692320191.62948717948714141.23076923076923311264.770512820512872.040337.9115384615384141.2307692307692350411.05256410256413141.230769230769236645.347435897435886103.4685314685314712118.48846153846152128.6433566433566424191.62948717948714116.0559440559440530264.77051282051282.769230769230773645337.9115384615384109.7622377622377653411.05256410256413122.349650349650356All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2008 Matt 1-5 11th 91.79 0.464 15.42 3-10 12th
1 979 2012 Babel 2-4 10th 96.59 0.465 15.77 6-7 6th 2nd place
2 974 2010 Pulley 4-2 5th 91.94 0.459 22.89 8-5 4th 5th place
3 973 2017 Kevin 4-2 5th 88.26 0.467 18.94 10-3 2nd 4th place
4 967 2014 Schertz 5-1 3rd 97.13 0.470 14.93 5-8 13th
5 965 2017 Ed 1-5 13th 89.51 0.454 13.03 4-9 13th
6 960 2023 Pat 3-3 8th 96.82 0.467 22.79 5-9 11th
7 959 2012 Rob 2-4 11th 94.74 0.451 13.91 3-10 13th
8 954 2020 Derrek 3-3 9th 100.58 0.465 20.02 8-5 5th 5th place
9 953 2024 Kevin 1-5 13th 98.31 0.469 20.96 5-9 11th
10 950 2012 Kevin 3-3 7th 95.00 0.447 13.96 5-8 10th