2010 Matt

5-8 (0.385), 1,247.80 points

9th place

5.72 expected wins (0.440)

62-81 all-play record (0.434)

-7.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 82.53 88.82 Derrek -6.29
2 W 165.35 68.08 Kevin 97.27 Team Blangums
3 L 91.27 109.18 Rabbit -17.91
4 W 89.88 51.64 Rob 38.24
5 L 76.32 149.15 Ed -72.83
6 L 104.91 128.22 Pulley -23.31
7 L 93.55 94.54 Mike R. -0.99
8 W 84.54 47.94 Allen 36.60
9 L 90.61 90.77 Pat -0.16
10 L 95.96 115.89 Babel -19.93
11 W 98.01 87.74 Dave 10.27
12 L 81.20 98.11 Rabbit -16.91
13 W 93.67 83.35 Mike R. 10.32

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%4.0%4.0%8.0%8.0%12.0%12.0%16.0%16.0%20.0%20.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.23076923076923422.5%212.780219780219874.3786267508093550.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.2%65.52747252747253140.633169610583211.7%102.34065934065934136.084644849376526.6%139.15384615384613121.4731176365535315.1%175.9670329670329696.4376961114940240.0%212.78021978021987.5264842708494655523.3%249.593406593406672.0617.1%286.406593406593490.2140351166592679.1%323.2197802197802114.2798885367263983.4%360.032967032967131.1047816302959590.9%396.8461538461538138.59340964111448100.2%433.6593406593406140.77910685338003110.0%470.4725274725274141.1851456661222120.0%507.2857142857143141.2287157994213713Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd60.6884615384615332.4195804195804325th109.6307692307692112.1398601398601637th158.5730769230769165.286713286713347th207.5153846153846165.286713286713355th256.4576923076923112.1398601398601666th305.4138.7132867132867576th354.3423076923077138.7132867132867587th403.28461538461534165.286713286713398th452.226923076923191.8601398601399107th501.16923076923075165.2867132867133119th550.1115384615384218.43356643356645128th599.053846153846191.8601398601399138th11.746153846153845191.860139860139915th60.68846153846153112.1398601398601627th109.6307692307692165.286713286713337th158.5730769230769165.286713286713348th207.5153846153846191.860139860139958th256.4576923076923191.860139860139969th305.4218.4335664335664578th354.3423076923077191.860139860139989th403.28461538461534218.43356643356645910th452.226923076923245.006993006993108th501.16923076923075191.8601398601399119th550.1115384615384218.43356643356645129th599.053846153846218.43356643356645138th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd60.6884615384615332.4195804195804322nd109.630769230769232.4195804195804333rd158.573076923076958.99300699300701544th207.515384615384685.5664335664335754th256.457692307692385.5664335664335764th305.485.5664335664335774th354.342307692307785.5664335664335784th403.2846153846153485.5664335664335795th452.226923076923112.13986013986016105th501.16923076923075112.13986013986016116th550.1115384615384138.71328671328675127th599.053846153846165.286713286713313Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Calvin Johnson WR
2.01 13 Ryan Mathews RB
3.12 36 C.J. Spiller RB
4.01 37 Jahvid Best RB
5.12 60 Chris Cooley TE
6.01 61 Dez Bryant WR
7.12 84 Johnny Knox WR
8.01 85 Aaron Rodgers K QB
9.12 108 Tim Hightower RB
10.01 109 Zach Miller TE
11.12 132 Steve Smith K WR
12.01 133 Matthew Stafford QB
13.12 156 Mason Crosby K
14.01 157 Pittsburgh DEF
15.12 180 Leon Washington RB
16.01 181 Jacoby Jones WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692311.02357.06982248520710571.9999999999999920.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.381121.92189349112428115.4631776469680940.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.300251.62603550295853120.9599259697195580.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.515348.9041420118343106.39076677891165110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.444413.75621301775146111.17682440942858130.27024.64378698224852122.980952625761510.00057.0698224852071052.76923076923074520.40089.49585798816568114.1972598514253330.000121.9218934911242889.6955860631669740.188154.34792899408282128.5443282009099450.636186.773964497041498.2067192761483660.441219.2111.3767061666195370.000251.62603550295853100.6890827086698780.390284.0520710059171114.8413232912628890.484316.4781065088757108.51173431354908100.000348.904142011834371.55076432705407110.247381.33017751479287124.53558851502454120.000413.7562130177514681.1228795880879313Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213025.655621301775145141.2307692307692311159.41301775147929572.02093.17041420118342141.2307692307692336126.92781065088758103.4685314685314740160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692376261.9573964497041103.4685314685314780295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923105363.2295857988165109.76223776223776110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923125430.74437869822486109.7622377622377613425.655621301775145116.055944055944051059.4130177514792952.76923076923077362693.17041420118342103.4685314685314730126.9278106508875865.7062937062937242160.6852071005917128.6433566433566459194.4426035502958484.5874125874125963228.2122.3496503496503570261.957396449704165.7062937062937283295.7147928994083122.3496503496503591329.47218934911234134.93706293706293100363.229585798816578.29370629370631111396.9869822485207134.93706293706293120430.7443786982248678.2937062937063113All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2010 Matt 5-8 9th 95.98 0.440 21.33
1 994 2021 Kevin 5-9 9th 96.60 0.440 23.11
2 993 2023 Pat 5-9 11th 95.77 0.440 18.28
3 989 2012 Allen 6-7 8th 94.79 0.442 21.78
4 984 2021 Pulley 5-9 10th 94.95 0.439 16.51
5 983 2014 Kevin 4-9 14th 92.81 0.440 23.07
6 981 2019 Scott 4-9 14th 94.50 0.434 20.89
7 979 2011 Dave 3-10 12th 96.89 0.448 22.01
8 978 2024 Pat 6-8 10th 97.23 0.432 20.62
9 976 2011 Derrek 8-5 3rd 97.76 0.448 21.11 6th place
10 974 2022 Mike R. 9-5 2nd 94.74 0.444 15.34 Blingabowl XV champion