2011 Matt

7-6 (0.538), 1,368.78 points

6th place (regular season)

2nd place (playoffs)

7.28 expected wins (0.560)

75-68 all-play record (0.524)

-1.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 112.66 94.22 Ed 18.44
2 L 70.57 114.87 Allen -44.30 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 107.03 114.03 Pulley -7.00
4 W 112.60 82.65 Mike R. 29.95
5 L 98.46 154.68 Kevin -56.22
6 W 111.24 102.68 Rabbit 8.56
7 W 110.89 59.96 Derrek 50.93
8 L 72.51 90.89 Pat -18.38
9 L 86.04 113.55 Rob -27.51
10 W 141.75 81.24 Babel 60.51 Team Blangums
11 W 120.82 97.57 Dave 23.25 Team Blangums
12 L 115.91 127.70 Kevin -11.79
13 W 108.30 94.37 Mike R. 13.93
14 W 125.62 115.30 Derrek 10.32 Quarterfinals

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.23076923076923625.1%286.406593406593472.070.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2302013248532300.0%65.52747252747253141.2125235113395510.1%102.34065934065934140.9928489367120.6%139.15384615384613139.507636670415732.8%175.96703296703296133.3947696177820348.6%212.7802197802198117.51966553189342517.7%249.593406593406692.2645507967746760.0%286.40659340659342.7692307692307736723.9%323.219780219780275.34212470364798814.7%360.032967032967100.6990710598645695.4%396.8461538461538126.27694646975787101.1%433.6593406593406138.3244153819158110.1%470.4725274725274140.9880097015951120.0%507.2857142857143141.223805892948713Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek5th11.746153846153845112.13986013986016111th60.68846153846153271.5804195804196210th109.6307692307692245.00699300699338th158.5730769230769191.860139860139949th207.5153846153846218.4335664335664558th256.4576923076923191.860139860139966th305.4138.7132867132867579th354.3423076923077218.4335664335664589th403.28461538461534218.4335664335664595th452.226923076923112.13986013986016105th501.16923076923075112.13986013986016114th550.111538461538485.56643356643357124th599.05384615384685.56643356643357135th11.746153846153845112.13986013986016110th60.68846153846153245.006993006993211th109.6307692307692271.580419580419638th158.5730769230769191.860139860139949th207.5153846153846218.4335664335664559th256.4576923076923218.4335664335664565th305.4112.1398601398601677th354.3423076923077165.286713286713389th403.28461538461534218.4335664335664597th452.226923076923165.2867132867133107th501.16923076923075165.2867132867133117th550.1115384615384165.2867132867133126th599.053846153846138.71328671328675135th11.746153846153845112.13986013986016111th60.68846153846153271.5804195804196211th109.6307692307692271.5804195804196310th158.5730769230769245.00699300699349th207.5153846153846218.43356643356645510th256.4576923076923245.00699300699367th305.4165.286713286713379th354.3423076923077218.4335664335664589th403.28461538461534218.4335664335664596th452.226923076923138.71328671328675105th501.16923076923075112.13986013986016114th550.111538461538485.56643356643357124th599.05384615384685.5664335664335713Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
  • Pick 1.05 - from Rob
  • Pick 2.08 - from Rob
  • Pick 1.02 - to Rob
  • Pick 2.11 - to Rob

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Maurice Jones-Drew RB
2.08 20 Reggie Wayne WR
3.02 26 Felix Jones RB
4.11 47 Jahvid Best K RB
5.02 50 Ben Roethlisberger QB
6.11 71 Dez Bryant K WR
7.02 74 Mike Thomas WR
8.11 95 Johnny Knox WR
9.02 98 Ronnie Brown RB
10.11 119 Chicago DEF
11.02 122 Jimmy Graham TE
12.11 143 Danny Amendola WR
13.02 146 Matthew Stafford QB
14.11 167 DeMarco Murray RB
15.02 170 Todd Heap TE
16.11 191 Jay Feeley K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.69324.6437869822485293.2403647037340610.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.693121.9218934911242893.2744573346750240.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.674186.773964497041494.5813415207450360.669219.294.9449962507818870.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.923316.478106508875777.30774184399367100.801348.904142011834385.76271431735091110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.627413.7562130177514697.85423409107686130.00024.6437869822485245.24996017669890610.06257.069822485207105136.9698459906677520.60889.4958579881656899.104297225578630.000121.9218934911242845.318145438580840.452154.34792899408282109.968482285430150.000186.773964497041447.9319138107208360.000219.248.65922327079455670.079251.62603550295853135.765239697420680.253284.0520710059171123.7191767649492890.000316.478106508875713.38471445721811100.000348.904142011834330.2946594039326110.744381.3301775147928789.69473108587458120.000413.7562130177514654.477698951384513Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213725.65562130177514597.174825174825171059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.2307692307692335126.92781065088758109.7622377622377640160.6852071005917141.2307692307692359194.4426035502958484.5874125874125968228.290.8811188811188870261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.23076923076923911329.4721893491123472.01011363.229585798816572.0110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923126430.74437869822486103.4685314685314713025.65562130177514553.118881118881121059.413017751479295141.230769230769232593.17041420118342109.7622377622377630126.9278106508875878.2937062937063145160.6852071005917109.7622377622377650194.4426035502958427.94405594405594760228.240.5314685314685371261.9573964497041134.9370629370629381295.7147928994083134.9370629370629390329.472189349112342.7692307692307736100363.22958579881652.7692307692307736116396.9869822485207103.46853146853147120430.7443786982248665.7062937062937213All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2011 Matt 8-6 6th 106.74 0.580 18.81 2nd place
1 987 2020 Matt 8-5 2nd 104.39 0.558 21.15 2nd place
2 986 2014 Rob 8-5 3rd 102.85 0.560 17.29 5th place
3 986 2022 Ed 7-7 7th 103.26 0.563 18.34
4 983 2020 Babel 8-5 3rd 104.19 0.555 17.75 3rd place
5 981 2020 Ed 4-9 13th 103.98 0.555 16.72
6 978 2020 Pulley 8-5 4th 104.06 0.553 17.06 4th place
7 978 2022 Scott 6-8 10th 103.95 0.555 22.32
8 976 2010 Babel 8-5 3rd 102.19 0.564 20.22 6th place
9 976 2011 Allen 7-6 5th 105.44 0.568 15.17 5th place
10 976 2009 Kevin 6-7 6th 103.07 0.561 12.42 5th place